Dominate Fantasy - Sync your team
MLB
WSH
BAL
6
4
FINALFINAL
CIN
PIT
4
9
FINALFINAL
TEX
TOR
3
2
FINALFINAL
SEA
CLE
5
6
FINALFINAL
HOU
DET
7
5
FINALFINAL
PHI
NYM
5
4
FINALFINAL
ARI
TB
1
5
FINALFINAL
KC
CHW
5
4
FINALFINAL
CHC
MIL
4
3
FINALFINAL
COL
MIN
2
3
FINALFINAL
MIA
STL
1
2
FINALFINAL
ATH
LAA
1
4
FINALFINAL
ATL
SF
2
3
FINALFINAL
LAD
SD
4
2
FINALFINAL
NYY
BOS
4
5
FINALFINAL

Erik Sabrowski or Kevin Kelly

Who Should I Start? - Week 16 • Start New
Erik Sabrowski

Erik Sabrowski

RPCleveland Guardians CLE
Kevin Kelly

Kevin Kelly

RPTampa Bay Rays TB
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Sabrowski over Kelly

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Erik Sabrowski

Sabrowski Returns to Guardians Bullpen in Long Relief Role

Sabrowski was activated from the injured list on June 19, rejoining a first-place Guardians team that currently holds a 42-39 record. While he was a productive high-leverage arm earlier this season with 18 holds, he is currently slotted into a long-relief role in the bullpen hierarchy. His return to action has been difficult; in just 0.3 innings of work over his last two outings, he surrendered three earned runs on three hits, resulting in an immediate spike to his recent ratios.

While the recent blow-up is a product of an extremely small sample size, Sabrowski's profile remains a mix of high-strikeout upside and efficiency risk. Our models project a 3.90 ERA and 1.37 WHIP for the season, which aligns with his career-long struggle to limit traffic on the bases. His 2025 campaign featured an elite 18.08 K/9, but until he stabilizes a season WHIP that currently sits at 1.40, he will remain a volatile and risky fantasy asset in most formats.

Cleveland finishes the week with three home games against the Mariners. Seattle brings a formidable rotation to town, including Logan Gilbert (3.29 ERA) and George Kirby (3.94 ERA), which could lead to tight games where the Guardians rely on their primary high-leverage arms. Given his current deployment in long relief and his recent lack of command since returning from the IL, fantasy managers should keep him on the bench until he earns back a high-leverage role. Sit.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Erik Sabrowski
Loading...
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Kelly over Sabrowski

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Kevin Kelly

Kevin Kelly emerges as a premier high-leverage stabilizer for the Rays

Kelly has been nearly perfect lately, maintaining a spotless 0.00 ERA over his last three appearances and a sharp 1.88 ERA over the past month. The second-place Rays, currently 45-33 and riding a two-game win streak, continue to rely on him as a primary setup option in the bullpen. Despite several injuries to the Tampa Bay pitching staff, including the recent loss of Steven Matz to an ankle injury, Kelly remains a healthy and durable bridge to the late innings.

His current season ratios, featuring a 2.97 ERA and 1.02 WHIP, are notably better than our season projection of a 3.89 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. While some minor regression toward his career norms is possible, his 4.00 K/BB ratio suggests his success is backed by elite command rather than luck. With 16 holds and three saves already on his resume this year, he has solidified his status as a high-floor relief asset for fantasy managers chasing ratios and holds.

Looking at the remaining schedule, the Rays host the Diamondbacks for a three-game series to close out the week. Arizona’s scheduled starters, Zac Gallen and Merrill Kelly, have both struggled with ERAs north of 5.70 this year, which could lead to several late-game leads and high-leverage situations for the Tampa Bay bullpen. Given his recent form and consistent usage, Kelly is a definitive Start in all formats that reward holds and relief efficiency.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Kevin Kelly
Loading...
Performance Erik Sabrowski
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
9.000-020202.002
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
24.550-020313.643
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Kevin Kelly
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.900-030200.973
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.430-141511.486
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Erik Sabrowski
OWN
43%
+1.87 compared to last week
START
37%
+7.18 compared to last week
OWN/START Kevin Kelly
OWN
34%
+2.8 compared to last week
START
33%
+3.86 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Erik Sabrowski
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Kevin Kelly
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Erik Sabrowski

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among RP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 137th.
  • The current leader among RP's is Cade Smith
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 199th in WHIP with 1.59
  • Currently ranked 139th in ERA with 3.91
  • Not too impressive with strikeouts and is currently ranked 142nd with 21
  • Top 20 in holds and is currently ranked 18th with 8
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 1.1 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +2, L: EVEN, WHIP: +1.4, ERA: +3.66, K's: +40, Walks: +14
Breakdown Kevin Kelly

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among RP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 67th.
  • The current leader among RP's is Cade Smith
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 75 in WHIP and is currently ranked 57th with 1.11
  • Top 50 in ERA and is currently ranked 44th with 2.07
  • Not too impressive with strikeouts and is currently ranked 228th with 19
  • Currently ranked 173rd in wins with 2
  • Top 75 in saves and is currently ranked 73rd with 1
  • He holds a lot of games and is currently ranked 1st with 15
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.2 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +4, L: +3, WHIP: -0.248, ERA: -1.07, K's: +18, Walks: +5
Next Up Health Check
Injury Erik Sabrowski

No Injury Reported

Injury Kevin Kelly

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Erik Sabrowski
DateOpponentResult
Jun 29VS TEXJacob deGrom
Jun 30VS TEXMacKenzie Gore
Jul 01VS TEXNathan Eovaldi
Jul 02VS CHW
Jul 03VS CHWAnthony Kay
Jul 04VS CHWSean Burke
Jul 05VS CHWErick Fedde
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
45.000-0101010.001
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Kevin Kelly
DateOpponentResult
Jun 30@KCNoah Cameron
Jul 01@KCSeth Lugo
Jul 02@KCStephen Kolek
Jul 03@HOUSpencer Arrighetti
Jul 04@HOUKai-Wei Teng
Jul 05@HOUHunter Brown
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.000-010000.001
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Erik Sabrowski
8.85
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Kevin Kelly
8.67
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Erik Sabrowski
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2024 CLE 13 15.2 307 27 7 1 0-0 0.57 1.09 15.5 59
2025 CLE 36 24.0 534 44 22 0 0-1 3 1.58 16.5 74
2026 CLE 28 17.2 406 42 14 0 2-0 3.57 1.36 21.4 78
ON PACE 54 34 792 81 27 0 3-0 3.57 1.36 21.4 151
3-YEAR AVG 25 18 421 36 15 1 0-1 2.41 1.5 17.4 66
Career 77 55.0 1247 113 43 0 0-0 2.62 1.44 18.5
Career Kevin Kelly
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2023 TB 57 57.2 1066 56 15 2 5-2 3.75 1.2 8.7 157
2024 TB 68 61.1 1033 63 9 1 5-2 3.08 1.11 9.2 169
2025 TB 41 35.0 588 35 9 0 2-5 6.69 1.54 9 46
2026 TB 36 33.1 549 30 7 3 4-3 2.97 1.02 8.1 98
ON PACE 72 68 1111 60 14 6 8-6 2.97 1.02 8.1 198
3-YEAR AVG 55 50 896 51 11 1 4-3 4.26 1.26 9.1 124
Career 202 185.0 3236 184 40 0 0-0 3.99 1.22 9
Think the Start Tool is good? Try this!
  • Optimal Lineups
  • Predictive Analytics Waiver Advice
  • Trade Suggestions & More

RECENT DECISIONS

Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs SF 09:40 EDT EST Eduardo Rodriguez
Tyler Mahle
ATH vs LAD 09:40 EDT EST Gage Jump
Eric Lauer
BAL vs CHW 06:35 EDT EST Shane Baz
Sean Burke
BOS vs WAS 07:10 EDT EST Ranger Suarez
Miles Mikolas
CHC vs SD 08:05 EDT EST
Griffin Canning
CIN @MIL 07:40 EDT EST Nick Lodolo
Robert Gasser
CLE vs TEX 07:10 EDT EST Parker Messick
Jacob deGrom
COL vs MIA 08:40 EDT EST Sean Sullivan
Sandy Alcantara
DET @NYY 07:05 EDT EST Casey Mize
Ryan Weathers
HOU vs MIN 08:10 EDT EST Peter Lambert
Zebby Matthews
LAA @SEA 09:40 EDT EST Ryan Johnson
George Kirby
NYM @TOR 07:07 EDT EST Nolan McLean
Trey Yesavage
PHI vs PIT 06:40 EDT EST Aaron Nola
Braxton Ashcraft
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled