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Brendan Donovan or Nick Lodolo

Who Should I Start? - Week 16 • Start New
Brendan Donovan

Brendan Donovan

3BSeattle Mariners SEA
Nick Lodolo

Nick Lodolo

SPCincinnati Reds CIN
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Donovan over Lodolo

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Brendan Donovan

Donovan Nearing Rehab Assignment as Groin Injury Lingers

Donovan remains on the injured list with a left groin strain that has sidelined him since mid-May. He has recently begun a running program in Seattle and is eyeing a rehab assignment in the coming weeks. The first-place Mariners (41-41) are currently leaning on J.P. Crawford as the primary starter at third base while Donovan recovers from his surgery-related setbacks.

Before the injury, Donovan was productive through 25 games, slashing .274/.390/.452 with three home runs. Our projection for the rest of the season remains steady at a .272 average, which aligns closely with his career .280 mark. Given his elite plate discipline and high contact rate, he should return to being a reliable on-base asset once he regains his health.

With the Mariners concluding their road trip against the Guardians this weekend, Donovan is not expected to be active for any of the remaining matchups. While the team faces rotation options like Joey Cantillo and Gavin Williams, Donovan will continue his progression in Seattle. Keep him on your bench or IL until his rehab assignment is officially underway. Verdict: Sit.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Brendan Donovan
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Lodolo over Donovan

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Nick Lodolo

Lodolo's status is uncertain following a premature exit due to a left wrist contusion earlier this week.

Nick Lodolo's week was cut short on Tuesday when he exited after just four innings against the Brewers with a left wrist contusion. Despite the injury, he looked sharp in that limited outing, striking out six and allowing no runs, but he remains questionable for his next turn in the rotation. The fifth-place Reds are currently on a three-game losing streak and will need their number three starter back healthy as they navigate a difficult stretch in the NL Central.

Before the injury exit, Lodolo was struggling to find his dominant 2025 form, carrying a ballooned 5.83 ERA and 1.56 WHIP through nine starts this season. Our data suggests significant positive regression is coming, as our season projection of a 4.05 ERA and 1.20 WHIP aligns more closely with his career baseline of nearly 10 strikeouts per nine innings. While his 1.65 WHIP over the last fortnight is concerning, his elite strikeout upside remains a major asset if the wrist injury proves minor.

With the Reds finishing a road series against the Pirates this weekend, Lodolo does not have a scheduled start remaining for the current scoring period. If he avoids the injured list, he could return early next week, but fantasy managers should monitor news updates closely given his current questionable status. Because he will not take the mound again before Monday, he belongs on the bench for the remainder of the week. Verdict: Sit.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Nick Lodolo
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Performance Brendan Donovan
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
..0
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
..0
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Nick Lodolo
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.000-000610.751
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
7.680-100831.952
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Brendan Donovan
OWN
49%
-1.09 compared to last week
START
 
2%
-0.68 compared to last week
OWN/START Nick Lodolo
OWN
56%
-6.37 compared to last week
START
21%
-7.84 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Brendan Donovan
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Nick Lodolo
53rd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Brendan Donovan

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among 3B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 50th.
  • The current leader among 3B's is Miguel Vargas
  • In the past two weeks he has had an awful lot of time off and he's listed on the injury report. He may have some nagging injuries with his Groin (Since May 16, 2026). Look at his player news.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 377th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.240
  • Ranked 331st in batting average with 0.214
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 372nd with 0.267
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 346th with 0.321
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 370th with 0.588
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 624th in RBI with 0
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 558th in runs scored with 2
  • Decline in numbers lately by 3.1 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: -0.028, OBP: +0.018, HRs: -3, RBI: -23, Runs: -36, Wlks: -17, Stls: -2,
Breakdown Nick Lodolo

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 54th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 147th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He is doing dreadful lately. If he is star player then he should rebound.
  • In the past two weeks he has had an awful lot of time off and he's listed on the injury report. He may have some nagging injuries with his Wrist (Since Jun 23, 2026). Stay clear of him if its going to stick around, otherwise now is the time to get a guy at a bargain price since he is hurt. Check out his player news.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 141st in WHIP with 1.56
  • Currently ranked 140th in ERA with 5.83
  • Top 75 in walks and is currently ranked 63rd with 18
  • Currently ranked 167th in wins with 2
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 2.4 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: -3, L: -3, WHIP: +0.371, ERA: +1.926, K's: -42, Walks: EVEN
Next Up Health Check
Injury Brendan Donovan

GROIN - Since May 16, 2026

Donovan is dealing with a left groin muscle strain and has been placed on the 10-day injured list.
Injury Nick Lodolo

WRIST - Since Jun 23, 2026

Lodolo is battling a left wrist contusion but is expected to make his next scheduled start for the Reds.
Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Brendan Donovan
DateOpponentResult
Jun 29VS LAARyan Johnson
Jun 30VS LAAJose Soriano
Jul 02VS LAAWalbert Urena
Jul 03VS TORDylan Cease
Jul 04VS TORShane Bieber
Jul 05VS TORTrey Yesavage
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.000000.0000.00001
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Nick Lodolo
DateOpponentResult
Jun 29@MILRobert Gasser
Jun 30@MILBrandon Sproat
Jul 01@MILShane Drohan
Jul 02@MILJacob Misiorowski
Jul 03VS BALBrandon Young
Jul 04VS BALKyle Bradish
Jul 05VS BALShane Baz
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.000-000610.751
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Brendan Donovan
8.41
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Nick Lodolo
8.65
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Brendan Donovan
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2022 STL 113 101 5 51 43 2 54 .278 .387 .377 336
2023 STL 90 91 10 47 31 5 30 .280 .356 .409 288
2024 STL 152 162 14 65 73 5 47 .277 .341 .418 510
2025 STL 118 133 10 64 50 3 42 .289 .355 .424 408
2026 SEA 23 23 3 9 8 1 9 .274 .378 .452 74
ON PACE 44 44 5 17 15 1 17 .274 .378 .452 142
3-YEAR AVG 120 129 11 59 51 4 40 .282 .350 .418 402
Career 496 510 42 236 205 16 182 .281 .359 .411
Career Nick Lodolo
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2022 CIN 16 87.1 1488 114 30 0 4-5 3.61 1.26 11.8 213
2023 CIN 7 34.1 650 47 10 0 1-1 6.29 1.75 12.3 65
2024 CIN 21 113.0 1864 122 37 0 9-6 4.86 1.22 9.7 262
2025 CIN 30 153.2 2492 156 31 0 9-8 3.4 1.11 9.1 387
2026 CIN 9 46.2 816 38 18 0 2-2 5.59 1.5 7.3 73
ON PACE 18 93 1632 76 36 0 4-4 5.59 1.5 7.3 146
3-YEAR AVG 19 99 1669 108 26 0 6-5 4.33 1.23 9.8 238
Career 83 430.1 7310 477 126 0 0-0 4.33 1.27 10
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs SF 09:40 EDT EST Eduardo Rodriguez
Tyler Mahle
ATH vs LAD 09:40 EDT EST Gage Jump
Eric Lauer
BAL vs CHW 06:35 EDT EST Shane Baz
Sean Burke
BOS vs WAS 07:10 EDT EST Ranger Suarez
Miles Mikolas
CHC vs SD 08:05 EDT EST
Griffin Canning
CIN @MIL 07:40 EDT EST Nick Lodolo
Robert Gasser
CLE vs TEX 07:10 EDT EST Parker Messick
Jacob deGrom
COL vs MIA 08:40 EDT EST Sean Sullivan
Sandy Alcantara
DET @NYY 07:05 EDT EST Casey Mize
Ryan Weathers
HOU vs MIN 08:10 EDT EST Peter Lambert
Zebby Matthews
LAA @SEA 09:40 EDT EST Ryan Johnson
George Kirby
NYM @TOR 07:07 EDT EST Nolan McLean
Trey Yesavage
PHI vs PIT 06:40 EDT EST Aaron Nola
Braxton Ashcraft
Matchup Time
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Matchup Time
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