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Kevin Kelly or Anthony Kay

Who Should I Start? - Week 16 • Start New
Kevin Kelly

Kevin Kelly

RPTampa Bay Rays TB
Anthony Kay

Anthony Kay

SPChicago White Sox CHW
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Kelly over Kay

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Kevin Kelly

Kevin Kelly emerges as a premier high-leverage stabilizer for the Rays

Kelly has been nearly perfect lately, maintaining a spotless 0.00 ERA over his last three appearances and a sharp 1.88 ERA over the past month. The second-place Rays, currently 45-33 and riding a two-game win streak, continue to rely on him as a primary setup option in the bullpen. Despite several injuries to the Tampa Bay pitching staff, including the recent loss of Steven Matz to an ankle injury, Kelly remains a healthy and durable bridge to the late innings.

His current season ratios, featuring a 2.97 ERA and 1.02 WHIP, are notably better than our season projection of a 3.89 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. While some minor regression toward his career norms is possible, his 4.00 K/BB ratio suggests his success is backed by elite command rather than luck. With 16 holds and three saves already on his resume this year, he has solidified his status as a high-floor relief asset for fantasy managers chasing ratios and holds.

Looking at the remaining schedule, the Rays host the Diamondbacks for a three-game series to close out the week. Arizona’s scheduled starters, Zac Gallen and Merrill Kelly, have both struggled with ERAs north of 5.70 this year, which could lead to several late-game leads and high-leverage situations for the Tampa Bay bullpen. Given his recent form and consistent usage, Kelly is a definitive Start in all formats that reward holds and relief efficiency.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Kevin Kelly
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Kay over Kelly

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Anthony Kay

Anthony Kay has found a groove in the White Sox rotation, coming off a dominant eight-strikeout performance.

Kay has been sharp lately, posting a 0.00 ERA and 0.83 WHIP with eight strikeouts over six innings in his most recent outing. The second-place White Sox are currently 41-38 and locked in a tight divisional race, making Kay’s emergence as a reliable starter vital given the team's lengthy injury list. He is currently entrenched as a primary fixture in the Chicago rotation and appears to have secured his spot for the foreseeable future.

While his season ERA of 4.38 is a significant improvement over his career marks, a 1.43 WHIP indicates he still navigates a fair amount of traffic on the basepaths. Our data suggests an expected 4.60 ERA for the remainder of the season, implying that while his recent strikeout surge is encouraging, he remains a volatile asset who relies heavily on managing high-stress innings to keep his ratios intact.

Kay serves as a productive two-start option this week, having already handled Cleveland before preparing for a Sunday home start against the last-place Royals. He is scheduled to face Luinder Avila, who enters the matchup struggling with a 5.06 ERA and a 1.62 WHIP. This represents a highly favorable environment for Kay to secure another quality start and build on his six wins. Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Anthony Kay
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Performance Kevin Kelly
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.900-030200.973
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.430-141511.486
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Anthony Kay
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.000-000820.831
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.600-1001031.202
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Kevin Kelly
OWN
34%
+2.8 compared to last week
START
33%
+3.86 compared to last week
OWN/START Anthony Kay
OWN
39%
+18.18 compared to last week
START
31%
+12.95 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Kevin Kelly
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Anthony Kay
38th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Kevin Kelly

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among RP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 67th.
  • The current leader among RP's is Cade Smith
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 75 in WHIP and is currently ranked 57th with 1.11
  • Top 50 in ERA and is currently ranked 44th with 2.07
  • Not too impressive with strikeouts and is currently ranked 228th with 19
  • Currently ranked 173rd in wins with 2
  • Top 75 in saves and is currently ranked 73rd with 1
  • He holds a lot of games and is currently ranked 1st with 15
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.2 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +4, L: +3, WHIP: -0.248, ERA: -1.07, K's: +18, Walks: +5
Breakdown Anthony Kay

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 38th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 50th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He should be doing a bit better than this. Look for him to bounce back.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 75 in WHIP and is currently ranked 72nd with 1.25
  • Top 50 in ERA and is currently ranked 47th with 3.35
  • Top 100 in walks and is currently ranked 77th with 16
  • Top 35 in wins and is currently ranked 34th with 5
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +6, L: +2, WHIP: +1.43, ERA: +4.38, K's: +63, Walks: +30
Next Up Health Check
Injury Kevin Kelly

No Injury Reported

Injury Anthony Kay

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Kevin Kelly
DateOpponentResult
Jun 30@KCNoah Cameron
Jul 01@KCSeth Lugo
Jul 02@KCStephen Kolek
Jul 03@HOUSpencer Arrighetti
Jul 04@HOUKai-Wei Teng
Jul 05@HOUHunter Brown
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.000-010000.001
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Anthony Kay
DateOpponentResult
Jun 29@BALShane Baz
Jun 30@BALTrey Gibson
Jul 01@BALTrevor Rogers
Jul 02@CLESlade Cecconi
Jul 03@CLEGavin Williams
Jul 04@CLEParker Messick
Jul 05@CLETanner Bibee
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.000-000820.831
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Kevin Kelly
8.67
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Anthony Kay
7.74
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Kevin Kelly
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2023 TB 57 57.2 1066 56 15 2 5-2 3.75 1.2 8.7 157
2024 TB 68 61.1 1033 63 9 1 5-2 3.08 1.11 9.2 169
2025 TB 41 35.0 588 35 9 0 2-5 6.69 1.54 9 46
2026 TB 36 33.1 549 30 7 3 4-3 2.97 1.02 8.1 98
ON PACE 72 68 1111 60 14 6 8-6 2.97 1.02 8.1 198
3-YEAR AVG 55 50 896 51 11 1 4-3 4.26 1.26 9.1 124
Career 202 185.0 3236 184 40 0 0-0 3.99 1.22 9
Career Anthony Kay
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2019 TOR 3 14.0 258 13 5 0 1-0 5.79 1.43 8.4 26
2020 TOR 13 21.0 409 22 14 0 2-0 5.14 1.71 9.4 42
2021 TOR 11 35.0 649 39 18 0 1-2 5.4 1.6 10 52
2022 TOR 1 2.0 39 3 1 0 0-0 4.5 1.5 13.5 5
2023 CHC 17 15.0 255 11 9 0 0-0 6.6 1.6 6.6 18
2026 CHW 16 74.0 1422 63 30 0 6-2 4.38 1.43 7.7 156
ON PACE 32 148 2844 126 60 0 12-4 4.38 1.43 7.7 311
3-YEAR AVG 17 13 255 11 9 0 0-0 6.6 1.6 6.6 18
Career 61 156.1 3032 151 77 0 0-0 5.18 1.57 8.7
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs SF 09:40 EDT EST Eduardo Rodriguez
Tyler Mahle
ATH vs LAD 09:40 EDT EST Gage Jump
Eric Lauer
BAL vs CHW 06:35 EDT EST Shane Baz
Sean Burke
BOS vs WAS 07:10 EDT EST Ranger Suarez
Miles Mikolas
CHC vs SD 08:05 EDT EST
Griffin Canning
CIN @MIL 07:40 EDT EST Nick Lodolo
Robert Gasser
CLE vs TEX 07:10 EDT EST Parker Messick
Jacob deGrom
COL vs MIA 08:40 EDT EST Sean Sullivan
Sandy Alcantara
DET @NYY 07:05 EDT EST Casey Mize
Ryan Weathers
HOU vs MIN 08:10 EDT EST Peter Lambert
Zebby Matthews
LAA @SEA 09:40 EDT EST Ryan Johnson
George Kirby
NYM @TOR 07:07 EDT EST Nolan McLean
Trey Yesavage
PHI vs PIT 06:40 EDT EST Aaron Nola
Braxton Ashcraft
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled