Outlook Curtis Mead
Curtis Mead’s elite power surge continues to anchor the Nationals' lineup despite a dip in batting average.
Mead has been a consistent power source for the fourth-place Nationals, launching three home runs over his last seven games. While the 41-41 club is looking to snap a three-game losing streak, Mead has solidified his role as the starting third baseman and a primary run producer in the middle of the order. He continues to see everyday playing time, especially against right-handed pitching, where he has been most effective this season.
Although his batting average has dipped to .146 over the last fortnight, the underlying power output remains elite with four homers in his last 12 starts. This boom-or-bust profile is a significant pivot from his earlier career marks, as he has already surpassed our season projection of 10 home runs by reaching 14 before July. While the .223 season average is a slight categorical drag, his .476 slugging percentage suggests the power is legitimate.
The Nationals finish the week with a three-game series against the Orioles. Mead draws a favorable matchup today against Trevor Rogers, who carries a 5.48 ERA and 1.40 WHIP, followed by tougher tests against Brandon Young and Kyle Bradish. Given the volume of home runs he is providing and his secure spot in the batting order, he should remain in lineups for those chasing home runs and RBIs. Verdict: Start.
Updated 2 days ago
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Outlook Trevor Larnach
Trevor Larnach is surging with a 1.010 OPS over the last two weeks, making him a priority fantasy start.
Larnach has been a consistent bright spot for the third-place Twins, who currently hold a 38-44 record and are working to snap a three-game losing streak. Over his last 14 days, the left fielder has been exceptional, batting .371 with two home runs and seven RBI. Our data confirms he is the primary starter in left field, providing much-needed stability to a Minnesota lineup currently navigating several key injuries to the supporting cast.
While our projection forecasted a more modest .247 batting average for the season, Larnach is significantly outperforming that mark with a .276 clip through 66 games. This surge is backed by an improved .373 on-base percentage, which is a notable jump from his career averages. Although his historical data suggests some power volatility may return, his current underlying contact metrics indicate that this high-OBP production is sustainable for the foreseeable future.
The upcoming weekend schedule is incredibly favorable as the Twins host the Rockies for a three-game series. Larnach will match up against a struggling Colorado rotation featuring Tomoyuki Sugano and Ryan Feltner, who both have ERAs near 4.70, and Michael Lorenzen, who carries a bloated 7.33 ERA and 1.87 WHIP. Given these soft matchups and his peak form, he is an easy play to close out the week. Verdict: Start.
Updated 2 days ago
