| G | AST | PTS | SOG | +/- | PIM | FSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -5 | 4 | 7.62 |
| Compare to same point last season | ||||||
Morgan Rielly | Fantasy Outlook
Rielly brings steady floor into home matchup against Sabres
Morgan Rielly and the Maple Leafs return to Scotiabank Arena tonight to host the Buffalo Sabres in a projected higher-scoring Atlantic Division tilt. Toronto (3-3-1) enters as slight home favorites against a 3-4-1 Buffalo club that is likely deploying Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (unconfirmed) between the pipes. Through five appearances this season, the veteran blueliner has collected two assists and eight blocked shots while averaging nearly 19 minutes of ice time per contest. Operating on Toronto’s second defensive pairing with PP2 duties, Rielly’s fantasy start percentage jumped by six points to 65% today as fantasy managers tap into Toronto’s favorable matchup.
Our daily projections suggest a steady floor for Rielly tonight, forecasting ~0.5–1.0 point alongside ~1–2 shots on goal and over a block, translating to 2.0 fantasy points. While he is unlikely to score a goal himself, his puck-moving abilities provide modest power-play and secondary assist upside. Across Toronto's three-game weekly slate, our models project roughly 1.5 fantasy points overall, with only one game remaining after tonight on Saturday against the Islanders. Because his PP2 role caps his offensive ceiling compared to past seasons, set realistic expectations. Today’s action: Cautious Start.
FantasySP AI Analysis
Updated 1 day ago
Morgan Rielly Fantasy
| DATE | OPP | G | AST | +/- | SOG | PIM | TOI | FPTS | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/15 | BUF | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 2 | 18:35:00 | -0.5 | 12.5 |
| 10/13 | @UTA | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0 | 16:09:00 | -1.0 | 13.5 |
| 10/10 | @COL | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:48:00 | 4.0 | 3.5 |
| 10/08 | @VEG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20:57:00 | 1.5 | 11 |
| 10/06 | NAS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20:39:00 | 1.5 | 8.5 |
| 10/03 | OTT | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 18:23:00 | 2.5 | 9 |
| 09/30 | NYI | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19:49:00 | 3.5 | 6 |
| 09/29 | MON | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 21:30:00 | 1.5 | 18.5 |
| Totals: | 0 | 4 | -5 | 10 | 4 | 19:21:15.0000 | 13.0 | ||
Fantasy Chart Loading...
| YEAR | TEAM | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | SOG | TOI/G | HIT | FOW | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13-14 | TOR | 74 | 2 | 25 | 27 | -14 | 12 | 96 | 17 | 95 | 0 | 92 |
| 14-15 | TOR | 82 | 8 | 22 | 30 | -18 | 14 | 149 | 20 | 99 | 0 | 105 |
| 15-16 | TOR | 82 | 9 | 26 | 35 | -18 | 28 | 170 | 23 | 60 | 0 | 121 |
| 16-17 | TOR | 77 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -20 | 21 | 173 | 22 | 47 | 0 | 122 |
| 17-18 | TOR | 77 | 6 | 49 | 55 | -4 | 14 | 187 | 21 | 49 | 0 | 86 |
| 18-19 | TOR | 82 | 20 | 51 | 71 | 24 | 14 | 223 | 23 | 61 | 0 | 114 |
| 19-20 | TOR | 47 | 3 | 24 | 27 | 5 | 24 | 123 | 24 | 38 | 0 | 67 |
| 21-22 | TOR | 51 | 4 | 30 | 34 | 16 | 12 | 92 | 23 | 53 | 0 | 54 |
| 21-22 | TOR | 85 | 11 | 59 | 70 | 20 | 40 | 225 | 23 | 92 | 0 | 88 |
| 22-23 | TOR | 73 | 7 | 42 | 49 | -1 | 23 | 138 | 21 | 81 | 0 | 102 |
| 23-24 | TOR | 87 | 7 | 52 | 59 | 10 | 27 | 188 | 21 | 94 | 0 | 143 |
| 24-25 | TOR | 88 | 9 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 25 | 136 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 144 |
| 25-26 | TOR | 82 | 11 | 25 | 36 | -18 | 29 | 140 | 20 | 35 | 0 | 113 |
| 26-27 | TOR | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| ON PACE | 61 | 0 | 20 | 20 | -4 | 41 | 82 | 18 | 20 | 0 | 82 | |
| 3-YEAR AVG | 89 | 10 | 39 | 48 | -19 | 27 | 158 | 57 | 0 | 142 | ||
| Totals | 1031 | 112 | 480 | 592 | -32 | 312 | 2116 | 21 | 892 | 0 | 1423 | |
Rielly Projection
View All| G | AST | PTS | PPP | PPG | PPA | SHP | SHG | SHA | SOG | +/- | PIM | HIT | BLK | FOW | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03 | 0.41 | 0.44 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.38 | -4.55 | 2.51 | 0.44 | 2.24 | 0.00 | 0.5 |
| G | AST | PTS | PPP | PPG | PPA | SHP | SHG | SHA | SOG | +/- | PIM | HIT | BLK | FOW | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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OWN START TRENDS
Depth Chart
Toronto Maple Leafs
Roster Breakdown| NAME | OWN | START |
|---|---|---|
| Sergei Bobrovsky | 89% | 67% |
| Anthony Stolarz | 25% | 16% |
| NAME | OWN | START |
|---|---|---|
| Darren Raddysh | 100% | 92% |
| Jake McCabe | 26% | 17% |
| Morgan Rielly | 71% | 61% |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 9% | 6% |
| NAME | OWN | START |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin McKenna | 91% | 58% |
| Nick Paul | 1% | 1% |
| Matthew Knies | 95% | 33% |
| NAME | OWN | START |
|---|---|---|
| Easton Cowan | 44% | 33% |
| William Nylander | 100% | 93% |
| NAME | OWN | START |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Roslovic | 30% | 19% |
| Auston Matthews | 100% | 89% |
| John Tavares | 96% | 65% |
Line Combinations
Morgan Rielly's Current Assignments
Pair 2PP2PK2
| LINE | LEFT WING (LW) | CENTER (C) | RIGHT WING (RW) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Line 1 | Jack Roslovic | Auston Matthews | William Nylander |
| Line 2 | John Tavares | Nick Paul | Kirill Marchenko |
| Line 3 | Gavin McKenna | Colton Sissons | Easton Cowan |
| Line 4 | Brandon Duhaime | Teddy Blueger | Zack MacEwen |
| PAIR | LEFT DEFENSE (LD) | RIGHT DEFENSE (RD) |
|---|---|---|
| Pair 1 | Jake McCabe | Darren Raddysh |
| Pair 2 | Morgan Rielly | Troy Stecher |
| Pair 3 | Oliver Ekman-Larsson | Nick Blankenburg |
| UNIT | SKATER 1 | SKATER 2 | SKATER 3 | SKATER 4 | SKATER 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PP1 | John Tavares | Darren Raddysh | William Nylander | Auston Matthews | Kirill Marchenko |
| PP2 | Morgan Rielly | Jack Roslovic | Auston Matthews | Nick Blankenburg | Easton Cowan |
| UNIT | SKATER 1 | SKATER 2 | SKATER 3 | SKATER 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK1 | Jake McCabe | Colton Sissons | Teddy Blueger | Troy Stecher |
| PK2 | Morgan Rielly | Nick Paul | Darren Raddysh | Brandon Duhaime |
| ORDER | GOALIE | ROLE | ROTATION STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Sergei Bobrovsky | Starter (1A) | Tandem (1A) |
| #1 | Anthony Stolarz | Starter (1B) | Tandem (1B) |
Team Injuries
| PLAYER | STATUS | NOTES |
|---|---|---|
| Dakota Joshua #81 · C | OutIRCore | Joshua is dealing with a core muscle injury and has been placed on the long-term injured reserve list. He will miss an extended period of time. INJ SINCE: Sep 26 |
| Max Domi #11 · C | OutIRBack | Domi is battling a back injury and has been placed on the long-term injured reserve list. INJ SINCE: Sep 26 |
| Miles Wood #18 · LW | OutIRUndisclosed | Wood is dealing with and undisclosed injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. INJ SINCE: Oct 15 |
| John Tavares #91 · C | QuestionableDTDUndisclosed | Tavares is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the ice for the Maple Leafs. INJ SINCE: Oct 15 |
| PLAYER | STATUS | NOTES |
|---|---|---|
| Cade Webber D | OutIRElbow | Webber is dealing with an elbow injury and has been placed on the non-roster injured reserve list. INJ SINCE: Sep 29 |
| Christopher Tanev #8 · D | OutIRUpper Body | Tanev is dealing with an upper-body injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. INJ SINCE: Oct 10 |
| William Villeneuve D | OutIRKnee | Villeneuve is recovering from knee surgery and has been placed on the injured reserve list. INJ SINCE: Sep 26 |
| PLAYER | STATUS | NOTES |
|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins G | OutIRShoulder | Merzlikins is recovering from shoulder surgery and has been placed on the non-roster injured reserve list. INJ SINCE: Aug 17 |
Team Rankings
G
28
7th
A
48
8th
SOG
223
7th
FOW
240
7th
PPG
8
3rd
PPA
14
7th
PPP
22
5th
SHG
0
30th
SHP
0
22nd
HITS
154
21st
BLK
119
8th
GA
27
27th
| Team | W-L | Win % | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|
 Senators | 6-2-0 | 0.750 | 12 |
 Bruins | 5-2-0 | 0.714 | 10 |
 Lightning | 5-2-0 | 0.714 | 10 |
 Panthers | 4-2-2 | 0.500 | 10 |
 Sabres | 4-3-1 | 0.500 | 9 |
| Maple Leafs | 3-3-2 | 0.375 | 8 |
 Canadiens | 3-3-1 | 0.429 | 7 |
 Red Wings | 2-3-2 | 0.286 | 6 |
Team Stats
| Player | GP | G | A | SOG | +/- | PIM | PPG | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 8 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 2 | |
| Jack Roslovic | 8 | 3 | 3 | 25 | -2 | 4 | 0 | |
| John Tavares | 7 | 2 | 5 | 17 | -5 | 4 | 1 | |
| Colton Sissons | 8 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Teddy Blueger | 8 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Zack MacEwen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Bo Groulx | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Player | GP | G | A | SOG | +/- | PIM | PPG | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Nylander | 8 | 5 | 7 | 27 | -1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Kirill Marchenko | 8 | 4 | 5 | 20 | -1 | 8 | 2 | |
| Easton Cowan | 8 | 3 | 3 | 17 | -2 | 4 | 1 | |
| Gavin McKenna | 8 | 2 | 3 | 13 | -3 | 4 | 0 | |
| Nick Paul | 8 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -3 | 4 | 0 | |
| Miles Wood | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Brandon Duhaime | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 4 | 0 |
| Player | GP | G | A | SOG | +/- | PIM | PPG | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Rielly | 8 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -5 | 4 | 0 | |
| Darren Raddysh | 8 | 0 | 4 | 18 | -2 | 4 | 0 | |
| Christopher Tanev | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Jake McCabe | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 12 | 0 | |
| Troy Stecher | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -2 | 7 | 0 | |
| Nick Blankenburg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Marshall Rifai | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | GP | W | L | OTL | SA | SV | GA | SO | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Stolarz | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 80 | 70 | 10 | 0 | |
| Sergei Bobrovsky | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 164 | 147 | 17 | 0 |
Owned Breakdown
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Schedule
| DATE | OPP | SCORE |
|---|---|---|
| 10-13 | @UTA | L 4-5 |
| 10-15 | BUF | L 4-5 |
| 10-17 | NYI | 7:00 PM |
Player Timeline
Oct 3rd
Morgan Rielly Records an Assist in Each of Toronto’s First Three Games ...
Sep 21st
Morgan Rielly Grateful to Remain with Maple Leafs After Offseason Uncertainty ...
Jun 23rd
Morgan Rielly Opens Door to Western Canadian Trade Options
Jun 16th
Morgan Rielly Trade Rumors Grow as Maple Leafs Explore Deal
Jun 11th
Rumors Swirl Around Morgan Rielly’s Future with the Maple Leafs Amid ...
Apr 27th
Team Canada Adds Celebrini, McKenna, Scheifele, Barzal, and Morgan Rielly ...
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C.J. Stroud Calls 24-Year-Old Marvin Harrison Jr. a “Smart Kid”
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Cowboys’ DeMarvion Overshown and Joey Porter Jr. Listed as Questionable
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C.J. Stroud QB • HOU
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Joe Milton QB • DAL
Eagles QB Joe Milton Goes Viral After Nearly Hitting a Fan With a Powerful Throw During Catch
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Kam Curl S • LAR
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Bo Nix QB • DEN
Ryan Fitzpatrick’s Strong Praise for Bo Nix Sparks Speculation About Broncos’ Influence
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Justin Herbert QB • LAC
Article examines Justin Herbert’s struggles with the Chargers in the 2026 season.
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Isaac Paredes 3B • HOU
Yankees Urged to Explore Isaac Paredes as a Third-Base Fix
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Framber Valdez SP • DET
Tigers To Hire Martín Maldonado As Quality Control Coach
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Carlos Narvaez C • BAL
Orioles Could Pursue Catching Help
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Shohei Ohtani DH • LAD
Dodgers Face Questions Over Ohtani’s Health, Roster Age and Potential Salary Cap
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Sebastian Walcott SS • TEX
Rangers Prospect Sebastian Walcott Hits First Fall League Homer—a Grand Slam, His Seventh RBI in Five Games
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Stephen Vogt C •
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Chris Cenac Jr. C • BOS
Celtics-Sixers Starters Announced, With LeBron James and Jaylen Brown in Philadelphia’s Lineup
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Obi Toppin PF • IND
Obi Toppin Gives Young Fan a Chance to Throw Him a Lob During Pregame Warmups
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Alijah Martin SG • TOR
Raptors Name Starting Five for Detroit Game Amid 10 Player Absences
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Jerami Grant PF • MEM
Grizzlies Injury Update: GG Jackson Day-to-Day With Ankle Issue, Jerami Grant Sidelined by Soreness
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Chris Cenac Jr. C • BOS
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Moussa Diabate PF • CHA
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Olen Zellweger D • BUF
Sabres say Olen Zellweger is already living up to expectations after seven games
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McNabb Hit in the Face by Backlund’s High Stick, Remains on Bench
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Waiver Trends
More Trends| Fraser Minten BOS C | +15.8 |
| Neal Pionk WPG D | +10.0 |
| Mason McTavish STL C | +8.7 |
| Will Borgen BOS D | +6.2 |
| Michael Brandsegg-Nygard DET RW | +5.9 |
| Daniil Tarasov DET G | +5.3 |
| Pavel Zacha BOS C | +5.0 |
| Akira Schmid FLA G | +5.0 |
| Devon Levi EDM G | +4.8 |
| Seth Jones FLA D | +4.0 |
| Stuart Skinner WPG G | +3.8 |
| Nikita Zadorov BOS D | +3.4 |
| Mark Kastelic BOS C | +3.4 |
| Logan Stanley D | +3.3 |
| Jack Quinn BUF RW | +3.3 |
| Boone Jenner WAS C | -6.0 |
| Charlie Lindgren WAS G | -5.1 |
| Jakub Dobes MON G | -4.8 |
| Jared Spurgeon MIN D | -4.3 |
| Chris Kreider MON LW | -3.3 |
| Ryan Leonard WAS RW | -2.6 |
| Luca Cagnoni SJ D | -2.2 |
| Igor Shesterkin NYR G | -2.2 |
| Paul Cotter VAN C | -2.2 |
| Luke Evangelista NJ RW | -2.1 |
| Esa Lindell DAL D | -1.8 |
| Quinton Byfield LA RW | -1.7 |
| Tyler Seguin DAL C | -1.7 |
| Parker Kelly COL C | -1.7 |
| Porter Martone PHI RW | -1.7 |
