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JJ Bleday or Miguel Vargas

Who Should I Start? - Week 15 • Start New
JJ Bleday

JJ Bleday

LFCincinnati Reds CIN
Miguel Vargas

Miguel Vargas

3BChicago White Sox CHW
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Bleday over Vargas

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook JJ Bleday

JJ Bleday slumps after an elite stretch but remains a vital everyday asset for the Reds

Though locked in as Cincinnati's everyday starter in left field, Bleday has slumped recently, batting just .190 over his last 14 days. This cold spell comes as the fifth-place Reds (37-39) look to build momentum while navigating injuries to key lineup anchors like Elly De La Cruz.

Despite the temporary dip, Bleday's overall 2026 campaign remains a massive breakout, featuring 13 home runs and a robust .907 OPS. While our models expect some regression toward a .225 batting average and nine home runs rest-of-season, his outstanding walk rate stabilizes his on-base floor and makes him worth holding through his current slump.

This week, Cincinnati plays six games, split between the Brewers and Pirates. While he will face tough challenges against Brandon Woodruff and Paul Skenes, Bleday should capitalize on vulnerable matchups against Brandon Sproat (6.16 ERA) and Jared Jones (5.75 ERA). Keep him active in all lineups.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News JJ Bleday
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Vargas over Bleday

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Miguel Vargas

Miguel Vargas looks to snap out of a brief slump during a six-game homestand.

Vargas has hit a rough patch, batting just .100 over his last seven days. However, he remains the everyday third baseman for the second-place White Sox, who currently sit at 39-37. With teammate Munetaka Murakami on the injured list, Vargas's high-volume role in the heart of the lineup remains completely secure.

Despite the recent quiet stretch, Vargas is enjoying a major breakout campaign, already boasting 16 home runs and 10 steals. This is a dramatic step up from his career baseline and easily outpaces our remaining season projection of 14 homers. His elite plate discipline suggests this cold streak is a temporary blip rather than a true regression.

Chicago has six home games scheduled, starting with a tough series against Cleveland's Parker Messick (2.77 ERA) and Gavin Williams (3.83 ERA). However, matchups ease up later in the week against Kansas City, highlighted by a meeting with Luinder Avila (5.50 ERA). Our weekly model expects him to rebound with a projected .328 OBP and a home run, making him an excellent active option. Start him.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Miguel Vargas
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Performance JJ Bleday
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.053012.2170.10506
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.167378.3140.429012
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Miguel Vargas
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.125000.1250.16707
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.205134.2390.318112
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START JJ Bleday
OWN
78%
-1.11 compared to last week
START
69%
-5.37 compared to last week
OWN/START Miguel Vargas
OWN
97%
-1.52 compared to last week
START
88%
+7.94 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus JJ Bleday
33rd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Miguel Vargas
8th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown JJ Bleday

    Overview

  • He is eligible to play multiple positions including: LF DH . However, he plays LF most often.
  • Experts rank this player at 33rd among OF's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 9th.
  • The current leader among OF's is Juan Soto
  • He is doing much better than most people thought he would.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 335th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.254
  • Ranked 205th in batting average with 0.249
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 118th with 0.352
  • Top 25 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 25th with 0.536
  • Top 35 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 35th with 0.888
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 181st with 2
  • Top 100 in RBI and is currently ranked 100th with 35
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 164th in runs scored with 28
  • Top 75 in HRs and is currently ranked 61st with 13
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.051, OBP: +0.059, HRs: +5, RBI: +13, Runs: -1, Wlks: +1, Stls: +1,
Breakdown Miguel Vargas

    Overview

  • He is eligible to play multiple positions including: 3B 1B . However, he plays 3B most often.
  • Experts rank this player at 8th among 3B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 1st.
  • The current leader among 3B's is Miguel Vargas
  • He is putting up better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 293rd in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.271
  • Ranked 176th in batting average with 0.255
  • Top 100 on base percentage and is currently ranked 79th with 0.362
  • Top 100 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 89th with 0.474
  • Top 100 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 77th with 0.836
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 129th with 6
  • Top 35 in walks and is currently ranked 33rd with 29
  • Top 75 in RBI and is currently ranked 67th with 32
  • Top 50 in runs scored and is currently ranked 45th with 33
  • Top 75 in HRs and is currently ranked 59th with 11
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 1.6 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: -0.003, OBP: +0.036, HRs: +6, RBI: +10, Runs: +12, Wlks: +16, Stls: +7,
Next Up Health Check
Injury JJ Bleday

No Injury Reported

Injury Miguel Vargas

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups JJ Bleday
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22VS MILTrevor MegillL 1-2
Jun 23VS MILBrandon Sproat
Jun 24VS MILShane Drohan
Jun 26@PITPaul Skenes
Jun 27@PITJared Jones
Jun 28@PITMitch Keller
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.231123.3330.53804
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Miguel Vargas
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22VS CLEChris MurphyW 6-5
Jun 23VS CLEParker Messick
Jun 24VS CLETanner Bibee
Jun 26VS KCStephen Kolek
Jun 27VS KCMichael Wacha
Jun 28VS KCLuinder Avila
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.200013.3330.20007
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating JJ Bleday
9.74
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Miguel Vargas
13.78
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career JJ Bleday
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2022 MIA 53 30 5 17 13 4 24 .172 .279 .328 109
2023 OAK 81 50 10 35 27 5 42 .195 .310 .355 214
2024 OAK 156 139 20 74 60 2 65 .243 .322 .437 484
2025 ATH 95 64 14 47 39 1 34 .208 .287 .401 249
2026 CIN 49 45 13 28 35 2 28 .249 .352 .536 199
ON PACE 103 94 27 58 73 4 58 .249 .352 .536 418
3-YEAR AVG 111 84 15 52 42 3 47 .223 .310 .409 316
Career 434 328 62 201 174 14 193 .220 .311 .415
Career Miguel Vargas
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2022 LAD 10 5 1 1 7 1 0 .179 .172 .321 23
2023 LAD 79 50 7 36 32 3 36 .195 .299 .367 222
2024 LAD 68 30 5 21 15 3 23 .148 .242 .251 128
2025 CHW 138 118 16 80 60 6 56 .234 .317 .401 448
2026 CHW 75 65 16 51 44 10 44 .236 .352 .462 304
ON PACE 157 136 33 107 92 21 92 .236 .352 .462 639
3-YEAR AVG 95 66 9 46 36 4 38 .206 .297 .360 266
Career 370 268 45 189 158 23 159 .212 .306 .382
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @STL 07:45 EDT EST Eduardo Rodriguez
Kyle Leahy
ATH @SF 09:45 EDT EST Aaron Civale
Robbie Ray
ATL @SD 09:40 EDT EST JR Ritchie
Griffin Canning
BAL @LAA 09:38 EDT EST Shane Baz
Ryan Johnson
BOS @COL 08:40 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Sean Sullivan
CHC @NYM 07:10 EDT EST Edward Cabrera
Kodai Senga
CHW vs CLE 07:40 EDT EST Sean Burke
Parker Messick
CIN vs MIL 07:10 EDT EST Nick Lodolo
Brandon Sproat
DET vs NYY 06:40 EDT EST Casey Mize
Carlos Rodon
HOU @TOR 04:07 EDT EST Peter Lambert
Shane Bieber
KC @TB 06:40 EDT EST Luinder Avila
Shane McClanahan
LAD @MIN 07:40 EDT EST Justin Wrobleski
Kendry Rojas
MIA vs TEX 06:40 EDT EST Sandy Alcantara
Cal Quantrill
PHI @WAS 06:45 EDT EST Jesus Luzardo
Zack Littell
PIT vs SEA 06:40 EDT EST Mitch Keller
George Kirby
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
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