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Nick Lodolo or Cade Cavalli

Who Should I Start? - Week 13 • Start New
Nick Lodolo

Nick Lodolo

SPCincinnati Reds CIN
Cade Cavalli

Cade Cavalli

SPWashington Nationals WAS
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Lodolo over Cavalli

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Nick Lodolo

Nick Lodolo looks to stabilize his ratios as he searches for consistency in the Reds' rotation.

Lodolo has endured a rocky stretch, posting a 5.45 ERA and 1.59 WHIP over his last five starts, including a tough outing last week where he surrendered nine hits in five innings. He remains locked into a starting rotation role for a fifth-place Reds squad currently mired in a four-game losing streak and dealing with several key pitching injuries.

While his 5.71 ERA on the season is discouraging, our models project him for a much improved 4.05 ERA and 1.20 WHIP over 149 innings. His strikeout upside remains intact, and if he can regain the form that led to a stellar 3.41 ERA last season, he will quickly reward patient fantasy managers.

Lodolo is scheduled for a single home start this week on June 12 against the Diamondbacks, drawing a tough matchup against Eduardo Rodriguez and his elite 2.52 ERA. Given his recent control issues and the difficult opponent, fantasy managers should park him on the bench. Verdict: Sit.

Updated 11 hrs ago

Latest News Nick Lodolo
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Cavalli over Lodolo

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Cade Cavalli

Cavalli settling in as Washington's staff anchor with strong strikeout upside

Serving as the staff anchor for the third-place Nationals (33-33), Cavalli has taken on a heavy burden with rotation mates Josiah Gray and Jake Irvin currently on the injured list. Over his last 30 days, the young right-hander has excelled with a 3.67 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP, showcasing frontline capability despite a minor speed bump in his most recent outing.

While our models project a 4.20 ERA and 1.34 WHIP over 137.0 innings for the season, Cavalli's underlying progress is highly encouraging. His strikeout upside is very real, supported by 36 strikeouts over his last 34.1 innings, suggesting his recent success is a sustainable step forward rather than a flash in the pan.

Cavalli is slated for a single home start this week on June 13 against Seattle. He draws a highly favorable matchup against Mariners starter Luis Castillo, who has struggled to a 5.53 ERA and 1.43 WHIP over 53.7 innings. Given the soft matchup and his elite strikeout potential, he is an excellent fantasy option. Verdict: Start.

Updated 11 hrs ago

Latest News Cade Cavalli
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Performance Nick Lodolo
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
7.200-000312.001
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.192-0001451.453
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Cade Cavalli
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
5.400-100841.602
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.941-1001561.443
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Nick Lodolo
OWN
75%
-4.14 compared to last week
START
48%
-9.97 compared to last week
OWN/START Cade Cavalli
OWN
65%
+4.61 compared to last week
START
58%
+15.07 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Nick Lodolo
47th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Cade Cavalli
81st
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Nick Lodolo

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 48th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 206th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • Can't be doing much worse than he is right now. Failing to live up to expectations is one thing, but playing this bad is another.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 138th in WHIP with 1.52
  • Currently ranked 140th in ERA with 5.71
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 2.4 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: -2, L: -3, WHIP: +0.379, ERA: +2.297, K's: -39, Walks: EVEN
Breakdown Cade Cavalli

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 82nd among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 58th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • He is doing much better than most people thought he would.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 122nd in WHIP with 1.45
  • Top 100 in ERA and is currently ranked 89th
  • Top 100 in walks and is currently ranked 77th with 16
  • Top 50 in strikeouts and is currently ranked 42nd with 65
  • Top 100 in wins and is currently ranked 99th
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.1 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +3, L: +4, WHIP: +1.45, ERA: +3.9, K's: +76, Walks: +25
Next Up Health Check
Injury Nick Lodolo

No Injury Reported

Injury Cade Cavalli

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Nick Lodolo
DateOpponentResult
Jun 08@SDWalker Buehler
Jun 09@SDLucas Giolito
Jun 10@SDMichael King
Jun 12VS ARIEduardo Rodriguez
Jun 13VS ARIMichael Soroka
Jun 14VS ARIZac Gallen
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Cade Cavalli
DateOpponentResult
Jun 08@SFLogan Webb
Jun 09@SFAdrian Houser
Jun 10@SFRobbie Ray
Jun 12VS SEABryce Miller
Jun 13VS SEALuis Castillo
Jun 14VS SEAEmerson Hancock
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.250-000501.751
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Nick Lodolo
10.52
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Cade Cavalli
9.60
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Nick Lodolo
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2022 CIN 16 87.1 1488 114 30 0 4-5 3.61 1.26 11.8 213
2023 CIN 7 34.1 650 47 10 0 1-1 6.29 1.75 12.3 65
2024 CIN 21 113.0 1864 122 37 0 9-6 4.86 1.22 9.7 262
2025 CIN 30 153.2 2492 156 31 0 9-8 3.4 1.11 9.1 387
2026 CIN 6 32.2 555 25 14 0 2-1 5.51 1.47 6.9 57
ON PACE 15 82 1404 63 35 0 5-2 5.51 1.47 6.9 145
3-YEAR AVG 19 99 1669 108 26 0 6-5 4.33 1.23 9.8 238
Career 80 416.1 7049 464 122 0 0-0 4.28 1.26 10
Career Cade Cavalli
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2022 WAS 1 5.0 99 6 2 0 0-1 12.6 1.6 10.8 -1
2025 WAS 10 48.2 788 40 15 0 3-1 4.25 1.48 7.4 94
2026 WAS 14 69.2 1188 76 25 0 3-4 3.88 1.44 9.8 145
ON PACE 34 170 2916 186 61 0 7-9 3.88 1.44 9.8 356
3-YEAR AVG 3 16 263 13 5 0 1-0 4.41 1.47 7.2 31
Career 25 121.0 2075 122 42 0 0-0 4.46 1.49 9.1
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ATH vs MIL 10:05 EDT EST Jeffrey Springs
Kyle Harrison
BAL vs SEA 06:35 EDT EST Chris Bassitt
Emerson Hancock
BOS @TB 06:40 EDT EST Connelly Early
Ian Seymour
CIN @SD 09:40 EDT EST Andrew Abbott
Walker Buehler
CLE vs NYY 06:40 EDT EST Gavin Williams
Will Warren
HOU @LAA 09:38 EDT EST Spencer Arrighetti
Grayson Rodriguez
PHI @TOR 07:07 EDT EST Cristopher Sanchez
Patrick Corbin
SF vs WAS 09:45 EDT EST Logan Webb
Miles Mikolas
Matchup Time
NY vs SA 8:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled