Outlook Zebby Matthews
Matthews looks to stabilize his rotation spot amid control struggles and Twins rotation injuries.
Matthews has experienced a bumpy stretch, posting a 6.32 ERA and 1.35 WHIP over his last 14 days, though he did log a quality start in his last outing. The third-place Twins, currently on a two-game losing streak, are leaning heavily on Matthews as a starter due to rotation injuries to Pablo Lopez and Bailey Ober. Recent analysis highlights unusual wildness for Matthews, who has issued seven walks over his last 17.1 innings despite carrying a historically strong walk rate in the minors.
Looking under the hood, Matthews' current 4.19 ERA and 1.10 WHIP over the last month are a significant step forward from his career 5.68 ERA in 2025. However, our season model expects some regression, projecting a 4.65 ERA and 1.32 WHIP over 120.0 innings. While he offers solid strikeout upside with 123 projected punchouts, his recent drop-off in strikeouts and increased walk rate suggest he remains a volatile asset.
Matthews is scheduled for a single start on June 11 on the road against the Detroit Tigers, matching up against Keider Montero. Our weekly projection expects a solid 7.1 innings with a 3.93 ERA and 5.2 strikeouts, making him a viable option in deeper formats. Given the single matchup, he is best utilized as a streaming option this week. Verdict: Stream.
Updated 11 hrs ago
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Outlook Jared Jones
Jared Jones flashes elite velocity in his return, but faces a major test against the Dodgers.
Jared Jones recently returned from a long stint on the 60-day injured list, instantly hitting 101 mph and tossing five scoreless innings on June 4. He joins a third-place Pirates squad (34-32) that is fighting to stay in the postseason picture. Although currently listed in a long relief depth role on paper, his dominant return confirms he is locked back into a prominent starting spot.
Over his first two starts back, Jones has registered a 4.95 ERA and a 1.65 WHIP, though those inflated ratios are heavily skewed by his initial outing. Our projections expect a strong rest-of-season bounce-back toward a 4.05 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP, aligning nicely with his career 4.21 ERA. Given his elite raw stuff and high strikeout upside, his early-season struggles appear to be a temporary post-injury rust phase.
Jones is scheduled for a single start this week, taking the mound at home on June 10 in a highly challenging matchup against a dangerous Dodgers lineup and Shohei Ohtani. Given the elevated risk as he continues to build back his pitch count, it is best to leave him on your bench. Verdict: Sit.
Updated 11 hrs ago
