Outlook Zebby Matthews
Matthews looks to stabilize his rotation spot amid control struggles and Twins rotation injuries.
Matthews has experienced a bumpy stretch, posting a 6.32 ERA and 1.35 WHIP over his last 14 days, though he did log a quality start in his last outing. The third-place Twins, currently on a two-game losing streak, are leaning heavily on Matthews as a starter due to rotation injuries to Pablo Lopez and Bailey Ober. Recent analysis highlights unusual wildness for Matthews, who has issued seven walks over his last 17.1 innings despite carrying a historically strong walk rate in the minors.
Looking under the hood, Matthews' current 4.19 ERA and 1.10 WHIP over the last month are a significant step forward from his career 5.68 ERA in 2025. However, our season model expects some regression, projecting a 4.65 ERA and 1.32 WHIP over 120.0 innings. While he offers solid strikeout upside with 123 projected punchouts, his recent drop-off in strikeouts and increased walk rate suggest he remains a volatile asset.
Matthews is scheduled for a single start on June 11 on the road against the Detroit Tigers, matching up against Keider Montero. Our weekly projection expects a solid 7.1 innings with a 3.93 ERA and 5.2 strikeouts, making him a viable option in deeper formats. Given the single matchup, he is best utilized as a streaming option this week. Verdict: Stream.
Updated 11 hrs ago
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Outlook Kyle Leahy
Kyle Leahy's rotation spot remains intact, but a tough matchup in Minnesota limits his weekly appeal.
Slotting in at the back of the rotation for the second-place Cardinals, Kyle Leahy has struggled recently, posting a 6.75 ERA and a 1.75 WHIP over his last week of play. While St. Louis is currently riding an impressive four-game win streak, Leahy's 1.60 WHIP over his last 14 days highlights ongoing traffic issues. Despite some minor injuries to the Cardinals bullpen, his starting role remains secure for now.
Our models project Leahy to finish with a 4.31 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP over 117.0 innings, suggesting his elevated 1.60 WHIP is bound for positive regression. Still, his mediocre strikeout rate limits his ultimate fantasy ceiling, meaning he will struggle to provide consistent mixed-league value unless he drastically limits the base runners.
Leahy is lined up for a single start this week on June 12th against the Twins and Joe Ryan, who boasts an excellent 3.07 ERA. Given the difficult road matchup and Leahy's highly volatile recent form, fantasy managers should avoid the risk and sit him.
Updated 11 hrs ago
