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Josh Hader or JJ Bleday

Who Should I Start? - Week 12 • Start New
Josh Hader

Josh Hader

RPHouston Astros HOU
JJ Bleday

JJ Bleday

LFCincinnati Reds CIN
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Hader over Bleday

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Josh Hader

Elite closer looks to overcome spring injuries and anchor the Houston bullpen

Josh Hader enters his second full season in Houston with clear security at the back of the bullpen. Despite a delayed start to his preparation due to shoulder issues and biceps tendinitis, the veteran southpaw remains the undisputed staff anchor for ninth-inning duties. At 32 years old, Hader still possesses elite, late-inning swing-and-miss stuff, though the Astros' training staff has indicated they will restrict him to single-inning appearances in the early going to preserve his arm health.

Our projections expect Hader to deliver an excellent 3.09 ERA, a 1.06 WHIP, and 30 saves over 64.0 innings. This baseline aligns well with his stellar career metrics, such as his 2025 campaign where he compiled a pristine 2.10 ERA and 28 saves with 76 strikeouts in 51.5 frames. While his walk rates can occasionally tick upward, his premium strikeout upside (projected for 75 strikeouts) more than offsets any minor ratio inflation, maintaining his status as a true category-stabilizing asset.

Drafted around ADP 133, Hader represents a premium closer target for fantasy managers willing to accept mild early-season health risks. Because his late-spring injury delayed his ramp-up, he may require a brief adjustment period, but his elite ceiling makes him a top-tier relief option who can easily anchor a fantasy bullpen. He remains a high-floor, high-upside investment on a competitive Houston squad.

Updated 18 hrs ago

Latest News Josh Hader
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Bleday over Hader

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook JJ Bleday

May Player of the Month JJ Bleday remains a must-start on an absolute heater

JJ Bleday was just named the NL Player of the Month for May after hitting .301 with eight home runs, and he has kept the pedal down with a .348 average and three homers over his last seven days. The fifth-place Reds (31-30) currently need his offense more than ever with superstar Elly De La Cruz on the injured list with a hamstring strain. Fortunately, Bleday is locked in as Cincinnati's everyday starting left fielder and primary run producer.

Bleday's stellar 2026 campaign (.289 BA, 10 HR in 33 games) blows past our modest pre-season projection of a .225 average and nine total homers. While some regression is inevitable given his career sub-.220 batting average prior to this year, his improved plate discipline and outstanding power metrics suggest he has made tangible adjustments that elevate his rest-of-season floor.

With the weekly slate already underway, the Reds travel to St. Louis for a three-game weekend series starting Friday. Bleday gets highly favorable matchups against Kyle Leahy (4.25 ERA) and Matthew Liberatore (4.35 ERA) before a tougher Sunday draw against Michael McGreevy. Keep him active in all formats as a confident weekly Start.

Updated 18 hrs ago

Latest News JJ Bleday
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Performance Josh Hader
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.000-001111.001
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.000-001111.001
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance JJ Bleday
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.348363.4000.82606
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.273475.3470.591011
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Josh Hader
OWN
90%
-0.53 compared to last week
START
70%
+57.82 compared to last week
OWN/START JJ Bleday
OWN
83%
+22.43 compared to last week
START
57%
+9.38 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Josh Hader
14th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus JJ Bleday
44th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Josh Hader

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 15th among RP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 280th.
  • The current leader among RP's is Cade Smith
  • Can't be doing much worse than he is right now. Failing to live up to expectations is one thing, but playing this bad is another.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Not too impressive in saves and is currently ranked 121st with 1
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: -1, L: EVEN, WHIP: +0.269, ERA: -1.385, K's: -38, Walks: -5
Breakdown JJ Bleday

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 45th among OF's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 44th.
  • The current leader among OF's is James Wood
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 185th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.301
  • Top 75 in batting average with 0.289 and is currently ranked 57th
  • Top 35 on base percentage and is currently ranked 33rd with 0.386
  • Top 10 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 7th with 0.620
  • Among the best in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 6th with 1.006
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 221st with 1
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 164th in RBI with 27
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 262nd in runs scored with 19
  • Top 100 in HRs and is currently ranked 86th with 10
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.092, OBP: +0.097, HRs: +4, RBI: +9, Runs: -7, Wlks: -4, Stls: EVEN,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Josh Hader

No Injury Reported

Injury JJ Bleday

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Josh Hader
DateOpponentResult
Jun 02VS PITBubba ChandlerL 6-10
Jun 03VS PITAJ BlubaughW 11-9
Jun 04VS PITJared JonesL 1-5
Jun 05VS ATHJack Perkins
Jun 06VS ATHKade Morris
Jun 07VS ATHGage Jump
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.000-001111.001
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups JJ Bleday
DateOpponentResult
Jun 01VS KCLuinder AvilaL 2-9
Jun 02VS KCBrock BurkeW 4-3
Jun 03VS KCDaniel Lynch IVL 2-5
Jun 05@STLKyle Leahy
Jun 06@STLMatthew Liberatore
Jun 07@STLMichael McGreevy
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.100111.1820.25005
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Josh Hader
11.10
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating JJ Bleday
11.06
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Josh Hader
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2017 MIL 35 43.0 779 68 22 0 2-3 2.3 1.09 14.2 137
2018 MIL 55 74.1 1316 143 30 12 6-1 2.66 0.89 17.3 358
2019 MIL 62 72.0 1211 140 21 37 3-6 3 0.89 17.5 496
2020 MIL 23 21.1 413 35 10 14 1-2 3.38 0.89 14.8 156
2021 MIL 59 59.1 950 101 24 32 4-3 1.37 0.83 15.3 348
2022 MIL 55 51.0 930 85 20 36 2-4 3.88 1.08 15 306
2023 SD 61 54.0 1042 85 30 33 2-3 1.33 1.15 14.2 319
2024 HOU 73 71.0 1216 105 27 34 8-8 3.93 1.04 13.3 354
2025 HOU 48 52.2 847 76 16 28 6-2 2.05 0.85 13 307
2026 HOU 1 1.0 17 1 1 1 0-0 0 1 9 8
ON PACE 2 3 43 2 2 2 0-0 0 1 9 18
3-YEAR AVG 61 58 1035 89 24 32 5-4 2.58 1.01 13.5 326
Career 472 492.2 8721 839 201 0 0-0 2.69 0.98 15.3
Career JJ Bleday
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2022 MIA 53 30 5 17 13 4 24 .172 .279 .328 109
2023 OAK 81 50 10 35 27 5 42 .195 .310 .355 214
2024 OAK 156 139 20 74 60 2 65 .243 .322 .437 484
2025 ATH 95 64 14 47 39 1 34 .208 .287 .401 249
2026 CIN 33 35 10 19 27 1 19 .289 .386 .620 147
ON PACE 87 92 26 50 71 2 50 .289 .386 .620 390
3-YEAR AVG 111 84 15 52 42 3 47 .223 .310 .409 316
Career 418 318 59 192 166 13 184 .222 .312 .417
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs WAS 09:40 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Foster Griffin
ATH @HOU 08:10 EDT EST Jack Perkins
Peter Lambert
ATL vs PIT 07:15 EDT EST Martin Perez
Mitch Keller
BAL @TOR 07:07 EDT EST Brandon Young
Trey Yesavage
BOS @NYY 07:05 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Ryan Weathers
CHC vs SF 02:20 EDT EST Edward Cabrera
Robbie Ray
CHW @PHI 06:40 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Jesus Luzardo
CIN @STL 08:15 EDT EST Brady Singer
Kyle Leahy
CLE @TEX 08:15 EDT EST Parker Messick
Kumar Rocker
COL vs MIL 08:40 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Brandon Sproat
DET vs SEA 06:40 EDT EST Framber Valdez
Bryan Woo
KC @MIN 08:15 EDT EST Michael Wacha
Zebby Matthews
LAA @LAD 10:10 EDT EST Reid Detmers
Roki Sasaki
MIA vs TB 07:10 EDT EST Ryan Gusto
Drew Rasmussen
NYM @SD 09:40 EDT EST Christian Scott
Michael King
Matchup Time
NY @SA 8:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled