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Kyle Tucker or Ryne Nelson

Who Should I Start? - Week 12 • Start New
Kyle Tucker

Kyle Tucker

RFLos Angeles Dodgers LAD
Ryne Nelson

Ryne Nelson

SPArizona Diamondbacks ARI
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Tucker over Nelson

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Kyle Tucker

Kyle Tucker Primed for Rebound Week Amid Favorable Matchups

Tucker has hit a rough patch, batting just .150 over his last five games and .171 over the last fortnight with zero home runs. Despite his slump, he remains the everyday starter in right field for the first-place Dodgers (38-21) who lead the NL West. Tucker's offensive presence is even more vital now with fellow outfielder Teoscar Hernandez sidelined on the injured list with a hamstring strain.

While his current cold streak is frustrating, his underlying metrics and career track record suggest positive regression is right around the corner. Our models project Tucker for a robust .270 batting average, 26 home runs, and 20 stolen bases, which aligns closely with his consistent 20-plus homer and 20-plus steal outputs over the last several seasons. Do not panic-sell on an elite multi-category asset.

Tucker faces a promising seven-game slate this week, starting with four games in Arizona followed by three at home against the Angels. He will encounter several vulnerable arms, including Zac Gallen (5.61 ERA) and Ryne Nelson (5.00 ERA) in Arizona, and Jack Kochanowicz (5.23 ERA) of the Angels, though tougher assignments against Eduardo Rodriguez (2.31 ERA) and Jose Soriano (2.65 ERA) loom. Verdict: Start.

Updated 3 days ago

Latest News Kyle Tucker
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Nelson over Tucker

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Ryne Nelson

Ryne Nelson faces a highly challenging matchup against the Dodgers after a strong month of May

Ryne Nelson has been highly effective over the last 30 days, pitching to a strong 3.04 ERA and a stellar 1.01 WHIP across six starts. He currently slots in as the number two starter in the rotation for the third-place Diamondbacks, who are trying to snap a three-game losing streak and build on their 31-27 record despite dealing with several injuries to their pitching staff.

While his recent run of form has been a boon for fantasy managers, Nelson's overall 5.06 ERA on the year suggests his recent success might be a bit of a fluke. Our models project him to finish the year with a more realistic 4.19 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP, which aligns closely with his career track record of pitching to contact.

Nelson is scheduled for just one start this week, coming on June 4th against the division-rival Dodgers. He faces a very difficult matchup against Justin Wrobleski, who has a stellar 2.87 ERA and 1.01 WHIP. Given the tough opponent and lack of two-start volume, he is a risky play. Verdict: Sit.

Updated 3 days ago

Latest News Ryne Nelson
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Performance Kyle Tucker
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.227132.2920.40906
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.209156.2770.419011
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Ryne Nelson
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
7.060-100301.371
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.441-100631.222
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Kyle Tucker
OWN
99%
-0.68 compared to last week
START
95%
+4.93 compared to last week
OWN/START Ryne Nelson
OWN
48%
-10.34 compared to last week
START
35%
+3.02 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Kyle Tucker
7th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Ryne Nelson
46th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Kyle Tucker

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 7th among OF's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 15th.
  • The current leader among OF's is James Wood
  • He is putting up close to the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 233rd in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.286
  • Ranked 209th in batting average with 0.243
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 108th with 0.350
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 175th with 0.402
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 146th with 0.752
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 351st with 2
  • Top 75 in walks and is currently ranked 59th with 30
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 164th in RBI with 25
  • Top 75 in runs scored and is currently ranked 71st with 32
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: -0.04, OBP: -0.05, HRs: -7, RBI: -10, Runs: -6, Wlks: -8, Stls: -12,
Breakdown Ryne Nelson

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 46th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 77th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • He should be doing much better than this. You might be able to him now for a discount.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 75 in WHIP and is currently ranked 69th with 1.24
  • Currently ranked 114th in ERA with 4.84
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.9 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: EVEN, L: +3, WHIP: +0.187, ERA: +1.391, K's: +17, Walks: +8
Next Up Health Check
Injury Kyle Tucker

No Injury Reported

Injury Ryne Nelson

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Kyle Tucker
DateOpponentResult
Jun 01@ARITaylor ClarkeL 4-1
Jun 02@ARIBlake TreinenW 5-6
Jun 03@ARIShohei OhtaniW 0-7
Jun 04@ARIRyne Nelson
Jun 05VS LAAReid Detmers
Jun 06VS LAAJack Kochanowicz
Jun 07VS LAAJose Soriano
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.267177.3710.43328
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Ryne Nelson
DateOpponentResult
Jun 01VS LADTaylor ClarkeW 4-1
Jun 02VS LADBlake TreinenL 5-6
Jun 03VS LADShohei OhtaniL 0-7
Jun 04VS LADJustin Wrobleski
Jun 05VS WASFoster Griffin
Jun 06VS WASZack Littell
Jun 07VS WASCade Cavalli
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
8.570-000431.191
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Kyle Tucker
16.48
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Ryne Nelson
8.98
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Kyle Tucker
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2018 HOU 25 9 0 9 4 1 5 .141 .225 .203 27
2019 HOU 30 20 4 17 11 5 6 .253 .314 .481 69
2020 HOU 70 72 11 35 50 7 19 .281 .329 .500 219
2021 HOU 150 162 34 92 105 20 56 .291 .354 .554 652
2022 HOU 151 138 29 69 100 25 61 .249 .323 .450 576
2023 HOU 168 169 29 101 113 30 88 .275 .364 .498 734
2024 HOU 80 80 23 56 49 11 57 .282 .401 .570 370
2025 CHC 143 140 23 96 74 24 91 .266 .376 .459 601
2026 LAD 59 53 5 38 29 4 32 .243 .343 .399 206
ON PACE 154 138 13 99 75 10 83 .243 .343 .399 538
3-YEAR AVG 130 130 25 84 79 22 79 .273 .376 .498 568
Career 876 843 158 513 535 127 415 .267 .353 .487
Career Ryne Nelson
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2022 ARI 3 19.0 253 16 6 0 1-1 1.42 0.79 7.6 48
2023 ARI 32 145.2 2468 103 47 0 8-8 5.5 1.48 6.4 228
2024 ARI 28 146.0 2406 126 34 1 10-6 4.38 1.29 7.8 323
2025 ARI 33 151.2 2466 132 41 1 7-3 3.44 1.09 7.8 358
2026 ARI 12 63.0 1021 52 19 0 2-4 5 1.24 7.4 111
ON PACE 31 168 2711 138 50 0 5-10 5 1.24 7.4 293
3-YEAR AVG 31 147 2447 120 41 1 8-6 4.47 1.29 7.4 303
Career 108 523.0 8614 429 147 0 0-0 4.41 1.27 7.4
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs LAD 09:40 EDT EST Ryne Nelson
Justin Wrobleski
ATH @CHC 08:05 EDT EST J.T. Ginn
Shota Imanaga
ATL vs TOR 07:15 EDT EST Chris Sale
Mason Fluharty
BAL @BOS 01:35 EDT EST Trevor Rogers
Brayan Bello
CLE @NYY 01:35 EDT EST Slade Cecconi
Carlos Rodon
HOU vs PIT 08:10 EDT EST Kai-Wei Teng
Jared Jones
KC @MIN 07:40 EDT EST Seth Lugo
Andrew Morris
MIL vs SF 02:10 EDT EST Coleman Crow
Adrian Houser
PHI vs SD 01:05 EDT EST Zack Wheeler
Lucas Giolito
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
VGK @CAR 8:00 PM EST