Fantasy Football: Sneaky Running Back Picks Who Won't Pan Out Like You Hope
We will go over fantasy running backs that fantasy owners think are sneaky good, but will come away disappointed by season's end.
Zamir White, Las Vegas Raiders
White is currently being drafted as a sixth-round pick after coming in and being a league winner in the 2023 fantasy playoffs. The volume was incredible and he made the most of his opportunities. With Josh Jacobs gone and the only addition to the running back room being Alexander Mattison coming off a subpar season, White's ADP will likely only rise from here.
The issue here is that fantasy owners are putting a lot of stock in a very small sample size. Who is to even say that White is better than Mattison, who has also flashed in the past? The biggest concern is that White just isn't all that good. If he ends up in a timeshare he could be a fantasy disaster if you're relying on him as your RB2 or flex option.
The Raiders still have a bad offensive line and what could be one of the worst passing attacks in the league to keep the defense honest and from stacking the box. Even during his breakout final four weeks of the season, he had 84 carries, 13 targets and scored just one touchdown.
We've also never seen anything that would lead us to believe he is an effective pass-catcher. A lot of fantasy owners are going to fall in love with his potential volume while ignoring all the bright red flags and will end up very disappointed.
Tony Pollard, Tennessee Titans
Pollard proved last season in an elite offense with a high-powered passing attack and behind a strong offensive line that he's just not that guy. After a breakout 2022 season, the Cowboys took the training wheels off and put all their eggs in one basket. They ended up with a basket full of broken eggs and fantasy owners ended up with broken dreams and thoughts of what could have been.
Now he goes to a significantly worse offense, with one of the worst offensive lines in the league, and has a much more capable backup behind him. Tyjae Spears may even be better than Pollard and is a proven weapon in the passing attack. This is going to be much more of a split backfield than Pollard owners are hoping for. This isn't a backfield we would recommend buying in on, but if you have to pass on Pollard in the sixth round and just grab Spears in the ninth.
Zack Moss, Cincinnati Bengals
As someone who owned Zack Moss in both of my main leagues last season, it's easy to understand the love and attachment to Moss. What he did early in the season when Jonathan Taylor was sidelined is nothing short of incredible. When he gets the volume, he has proven he can be an asset even if he does lack consistency. However, what worries us here is Chase Brown. That kid is electric and probably better than Moss.
Even if they don't plan of giving him RB1 touches, he's going to be on the field a lot and eat into Moss's volume. Being that we are projecting Brown to be a breakout fantasy star in 2024, we have to believe it will come at Moss's expense. This is another sixth-round running back we are iffy on. With that said, we do like him better than anyone else mentioned on this list.
Nick Chubb, Cleveland Browns
Chubb is dangerous for two types of fantasy owners. Owners who think they are smarter than everyone else and owners who hold on to big names longer than they should. He is running back with over 1,300 touches who turns 29 this season and is coming off a second catastrophic knee injury.
His name may be tough to pass up on in the seventh round after seeing him go as a first-round pick year after year but do yourself a favor and resist the temptation. Raheem Mostert and Jonathan Brooks are going in the same round, take them or wait a round and take Devin Singletary. They are all better options. It's sad to say, nonetheless, Chubb's days as a productive fantasy weapon are over.
Blake Corum, Los Angeles Rams
Corum was one of the most polarizing players in the 2024 NFL Draft. Many people thought he was the top running back and others had him out of or near the bottom of their top 10. The love for Corum comes from the belief that he'll get a ton of goal-line work and lot more carries between the tackles than people are expecting with Kyren Williams there.
We just don't see the talent with Corum and this is coming from a guy who isn't all that high on Williams' talent either. This is essentially the worst case scenario for fantasy owners. Corum won't have enough fantasy value to start but will eat into Williams' production just enough to infuriate you.
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