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Dalton Kincaid or Jake Ferguson

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid

TEBuffalo Bills BUF
Jake Ferguson

Jake Ferguson

TEDallas Cowboys DAL
OR
πŸ”“ EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Kincaid over Ferguson

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Dalton Kincaid

Healthy and Primed for a High-Value TE1 Breakout in Buffalo's Potent Offense

Dalton Kincaid decided against offseason knee surgery and reports feeling the best of his career. Although listed behind veteran Dawson Knox on Buffalo's official depth chart, Kincaid is poised to act as the primary pass-catching tight end in an elite Josh Allen-led offense that features newcomers like DJ Moore.

Our models project Kincaid to take a meaningful step forward this year, anticipating 59 receptions on 86 targets for 701 yards and five touchdowns. This projection reflects his high-efficiency profile, building on his impressive 14.6 yards per catch mark from last season to cement his weekly fantasy floor.

Financially, Kincaid's market value is on the move. Once drafted in the late-110s, his ADP has climbed steadily toward the triple-digits. At this current price tag, our projections view him as a premier draft-day steal in 1.0 PPR formats, offering top-tier tight end upside without the premium cost.


Updated 13 hrs ago

Latest News Dalton Kincaid
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πŸ”“ EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Ferguson over Kincaid

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Jake Ferguson

Dallas Target Monster Set to Lock In Another High-Volume Campaign

Dallas tight end Jake Ferguson remains primed for a major role in the passing game, operating as the undisputed lead option at his position ahead of Luke Schoonmaker. Coming off an impressive 2025 season where he hauled in 87 receptions for 660 yards and eight touchdowns, Ferguson is positioned as a trusted target for Dak Prescott.

Our projections expect another heavily involved season for Ferguson, forecasting 72 receptions on 92 targets for 589 yards and six touchdowns. This strong expected usage is reflected in fantasy circles, where he boasts an excellent 90% ownership rate. Ferguson recently stated that the offense has barely scratched the surface.

In draft lobbies, Ferguson's ADP has steadily climbed from near 117 in early May to around 103 currently, indicating growing fantasy confidence. At this price point, our models view him as a fantastic value pick in PPR formats, offering a stable floor that few tight ends can match.


Updated 13 hrs ago

Latest News Jake Ferguson
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Performance Dalton Kincaid
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Jake Ferguson
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Redzone Touches
Redzone Touches Dalton Kincaid
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 @HOU πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
2 DET πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
3 LAC πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
4 NE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
5 @LAR πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
6 @LV πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
8 BYE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
9 BAL πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
10 @MIN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
11 @NYJ πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 MIA πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 KC πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
13 @NE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
14 @GB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
15 CHI πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
16 @DEN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
17 @MIA πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
18 NYJ πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
19 πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
20 πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Redzone Touches Jake Ferguson
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 @NYG πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
2 WAS πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
3 BAL πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
4 @HOU πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
5 TB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
6 @GB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
7 @PHI πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
8 ARI πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
9 @IND πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
11 SF πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 TEN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 PHI πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
13 @SEA πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
14 BYE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
15 @LAR πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
16 JAC πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
17 NYG πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
18 @WAS πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Dalton Kincaid
OWN
81%
-2.08 compared to last week
START
27%
0 compared to last week
OWN/START Jake Ferguson
OWN
90%
-1.91 compared to last week
START
60%
-1.28 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Dalton Kincaid
14th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Jake Ferguson
16th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Dalton Kincaid

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 14th among TE's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 13th with 110.20 total points (5.51 avg).
  • Currently 87.6 points behind the leader: Trey McBride
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.5.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 35 in receptions and is currently ranked 30th among TE.
  • Top 35 in targets and is currently ranked 33rd among TE.
  • Top 35 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 27th among TE.
  • Top 20 in reception yards with 571 and 14.64 YPC and is currently ranked 19th among TE.
  • Top 20 in Rec TDs with 5 and is currently ranked 16th among TE.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 3 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: -3, Rec Yards: +150 Rec TDs: +5,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!
  • Season Outlook

  • REC: 59, REC YDS: 701, REC TDS: 5
Breakdown Jake Ferguson

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 15th among TE's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 12th with 112.20 total points (6.23 avg).
  • Currently 85.6 points behind the leader: Trey McBride
  • He is putting up slightly better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 6.2.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 3 in receptions and is currently ranked 3rd among TE.
  • Top 10 in targets and is currently ranked 8th among TE.
  • Top 3 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 2nd among TE.
  • Top 3 in red zone receptions and is currently ranked 2nd among TE.
  • Top 15 in reception yards with 660 and 7.59 YPC and is currently ranked 13th among TE.
  • Top 6 in Rec TDs with 8 and is currently ranked 4th among TE.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: +24, Rec Yards: +109 Rec TDs: +8,
  • Season Outlook

  • REC: 72, REC YDS: 589, REC TDS: 6
Next Up Health Check
Injury Dalton Kincaid

No Injury Reported

Injury Jake Ferguson

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Dalton Kincaid

Week 1
Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
17.32288.1634215664.24
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 2nd with 196.00 total points (10.32 avg).
  • Currently 31 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 10.3.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 6 in total yards against with 322.06 per game and is currently ranked 5th among DST.
  • Top 4 in turnovers with 29 (1.71 per game) and is currently ranked 3rd among DST.
  • Top 4 in rush defense with 1736 (102.12 per game) and is currently ranked 4th among DST.
  • Top 10 in pass defense with 3739 (219.94 per game) and is currently ranked 10th among DST.
  • Top 8 in sacks with 47 (2.76 per game) and currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Top 4 in interceptions with 19 (1.12 per game) and currently ranked 3rd among DST.
  • Top 2 in points against with 17.35 per game and currently ranked 2nd among DST.
  • Top 8 in Total TDs with 4 (0.24 per game) and currently ranked 7th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +5.41, Turnovers: +1 Sacks: -7, INTs: -2, TDs: -2, Points Allowed: -3.73,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 44, INT: 12, TDS: 2, PA/G: 18.4, YDS/G: 294.6
Matchups Jake Ferguson

Week 1
Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
25.82405.531593923.76
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 25th with 77.00 total points (4.53 avg).
  • Currently 150 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.5 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 32nd in rush defense with 2707 (159.24 per game).
  • Ranked 19th in pass defense with 4187 (246.29 per game).
  • One of the worst in points against with 25.82 per game and currently ranked 26th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 17th in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +37.06, Turnovers: -7 Sacks: -13, INTs: EVEN, TDs: -1, Points Allowed: +2.06,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 41, INT: 12, TDS: 3, PA/G: 27.4, YDS/G: 382
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Dalton Kincaid
14.28
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Jake Ferguson
13.50
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Dalton Kincaid
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2023 BUF 16 91 73 673 9.2 2 0 0 0 0
2024 BUF 13 75 44 448 10.2 2 0 0 0 0
2025 BUF 12 49 39 571 14.6 5 0 0 0 0
3-YEAR AVG 15 78 57 622 11 3 0 0 0 0
Totals 48 246 179 1978 11.1 12 0 0 0 0
Career Jake Ferguson
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2022 DAL 11 22 19 174 9.2 2 0 0 0 0
2023 DAL 16 102 71 761 10.7 5 0 0 0 0
2024 DAL 14 86 59 494 8.4 0 0 0 0 0
2025 DAL 16 108 87 660 7.6 8 2 2 1 0
3-YEAR AVG 17 103 76 669 8.8 5 1 1 1 0
Totals 62 331 247 2216 9.0 18 2 2 1 0
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @MIA 06:40 EDT EST
ATH vs MIL 09:05 EDT EST
ATL @CHW 07:40 EDT EST
BAL vs SEA 06:35 EDT EST
BOS @TB 01:10 EDT EST
CHC @COL 08:40 EDT EST
CIN @SD 04:10 EDT EST
CLE vs NYY 01:10 EDT EST
DET vs MIN 06:40 EDT EST
HOU @LAA 09:38 EDT EST
KC vs TEX 07:40 EDT EST
LAD @PIT 06:40 EDT EST
NYM vs STL 07:10 EDT EST
PHI @TOR 07:07 EDT EST
SF vs WAS 03:45 EDT EST
Matchup Time
NY vs SA 8:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled