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Jalen Hurts or Patrick Mahomes

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts

QBPhiladelphia Eagles PHI
Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes

QBKansas City Chiefs KC
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Hurts over Mahomes

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Jalen Hurts

Innovative Scheme Upgrades and Dynamic Weapons Secure Elite Fantasy Ceiling

Hurts is adapting to a new offensive system under coordinator Sean Mannion, introducing more under-center looks where Hurts has historically excelled in accuracy. Our models project Hurts to command this Philadelphia offense with high efficiency, pairing his elite dual-threat ability with a highly productive playbook.

The Eagles' depth chart remains loaded with high-end playmakers, including DeVonta Smith, rookie wideout Makai Lemon, and newly acquired running back Saquon Barkley. Despite some off-field storylines regarding former teammates, Hurts' commanding leadership and absolute security under center make him a locked-in QB1 candidate.

Over the last month, Hurts' draft stock has experienced a steady surge, with his ADP rising from the mid-70s in May to 44 overall in June. Our projections expect 3,419 passing yards, 23 passing touchdowns, and 9 rushing scores, making him an outstanding target at his current market cost.


Updated 9 hrs ago

Latest News Jalen Hurts
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Mahomes over Hurts

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Patrick Mahomes

Ahead-of-Schedule ACL Recovery Sparks Hype and Rising Draft Stock

Patrick Mahomes is making outstanding progress in his recovery from a torn ACL, participating in Chiefs' OTAs ahead of schedule. While there remains some risk as he targets Week 1, our models project him to lead the passing attack as usual. He remains supported by a dynamic receiving group featuring Travis Kelce, Rashee Rice, and speedy deep-threat Xavier Worthy, along with rookie Cyrus Allen.

Looking at the draft market, Mahomes' ADP has experienced a massive climb, jumping from around pick 104 in early May up to 67 in June as positive practice reports emerge. Fantasy managers are growing increasingly comfortable with his recovery trajectory. Our projections view him as an outstanding draft-day value if he enters Week 1 without limitations.

We project Mahomes to throw for 3,879 yards and 27 touchdowns, while contributing 293 yards and two scores on the ground. Though his rushing mobility might be slightly limited early on, his elite passing volume and the return of offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy ensure a high-floor season. He remains a rock-solid starting quarterback option.


Updated 9 hrs ago

Latest News Patrick Mahomes
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Performance Jalen Hurts
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YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Patrick Mahomes
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YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
Redzone Touches Jalen Hurts

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Redzone Touches Patrick Mahomes

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Jalen Hurts
OWN
100%
No change since last week.
START
82%
No change since last week.
OWN/START Patrick Mahomes
OWN
69%
+1.3 compared to last week
START
31%
-3.43 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Jalen Hurts
5th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Patrick Mahomes
15th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Jalen Hurts

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 6th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 6th with 342.04 total points (18.00 avg).
  • Currently 92.2 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • Wow, would you look at that. The experts got it right on the money.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 18.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 15 in pass yards with 3513 (195.17 per game) and is currently ranked 15th among QB.
  • Top 10 in pass tds with 26 (1.44 per game) and is currently ranked 10th among QB.
  • Top 20 in pass completions with 321 (17.83 per game) and is currently ranked 18th.
  • Top 5 in rushing yards with 454 (25.22 per game) and is currently ranked 5th among QB.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 2 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +723, TDs: +9, INTs: EVEN
  • He has recorded some deep balls down the field. If your league gives out bonuses for long TD passes then he has some added value.
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3419, PASS TDS: 23, RUSH YDS: 486, RUSH TDS: 9
Breakdown Patrick Mahomes

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 15th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 10th with 301.76 total points (20.12 avg).
  • Currently 132.48 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up slightly better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games but is not listed on the injury report as of today. Check out his player news to see if he has any nagging injuries.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 20.1.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 10 in pass yards with 3939 (262.60 per game) and is currently ranked 8th among QB.
  • Top 20 in pass tds with 22 (1.47 per game) and is currently ranked 17th among QB.
  • Top 15 in pass completions with 344 (22.93 per game) and is currently ranked 11th.
  • Top 10 in interceptions with 12 (0.80 per game) and is currently ranked 10th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 2 less games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +11, TDs: -4, INTs: +1
  • He has recorded some deep balls down the field. If your league gives out bonuses for long TD passes then he has some added value.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3879, PASS TDS: 27, RUSH YDS: 293, RUSH TDS: 2
Next Up Health Check
Injury Jalen Hurts

No Injury Reported

Injury Patrick Mahomes

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Jalen Hurts

Week 1
Philadelphia Eagles VS Washington Commanders

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
26.53398.651084222.79
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 29th with 72.00 total points (4.24 avg).
  • Currently 155 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.2 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 27th in rush defense with 2406 (141.53 per game).
  • Ranked 23rd in pass defense with 4371 (257.12 per game).
  • One of the worst in points against with 26.53 per game and currently ranked 27th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 23rd in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +48.94, Turnovers: -7 Sacks: +3, INTs: EVEN, TDs: +1, Points Allowed: +2.12,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 25, INT: 11, TDS: 3, PA/G: 28.2, YDS/G: 408
Matchups Patrick Mahomes

Week 1
Kansas City Chiefs VS Denver Broncos

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
18.47271.2619127623.15
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 4th with 160.00 total points (8.42 avg).
  • Currently 67 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 8.4.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 2 in total yards against with 303.18 per game and is currently ranked 2nd among DST.
  • Top 2 in rush defense with 1548 (91.06 per game) and is currently ranked 2nd among DST.
  • Top 6 in pass defense with 3606 (212.12 per game) and is currently ranked 6th among DST.
  • Top 2 in sacks with 68 (4.00 per game) and currently ranked 1st among DST.
  • Top 4 in points against with 18.29 per game and currently ranked 3rd among DST.
  • Currently ranked 18th in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -75.68, Turnovers: -6 Sacks: +15, INTs: -3, TDs: -3, Points Allowed: +0.47,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 31, INT: 13, TDS: 3, PA/G: 19.4, YDS/G: 295.6
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Jalen Hurts
17.95
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Patrick Mahomes
17.17
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Jalen Hurts
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2020 PHI 14 1061 52% 6 4 77.6 357 3 2
2021 PHI 15 3144 61% 16 9 87.2 782 10 2
2022 PHI 15 3700 67% 22 6 101.5 760 13 2
2023 PHI 16 3858 65% 23 15 89.1 605 15 5
2024 PHI 15 2903 69% 18 5 103.7 630 14 5
2025 PHI 16 3513 65% 26 6 98.5 454 10 4
3-YEAR AVG 18 3750 67% 24 9 97.1 629 15 5
Totals 101 19598 65% 120 46 94.8 3874 72 20
Career Patrick Mahomes
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2018 KC 16 5097 66% 50 12 113.8 272 2 4
2019 KC 14 4031 66% 26 5 105.3 218 2 4
2020 KC 15 4740 66% 38 6 108.2 308 2 2
2021 KC 16 4839 66% 37 13 98.5 381 2 4
2022 KC 16 5250 67% 41 12 105.2 358 4 0
2023 KC 16 4184 67% 27 14 92.6 389 0 3
2024 KC 16 3928 68% 26 11 93.5 307 2 0
2025 KC 15 3939 63% 22 12 88.6 452 5 0
3-YEAR AVG 18 4978 68% 35 13 97.9 404 2 1
Totals 138 39109 66% 286 90 100.6 2976 22 20
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ATH vs MIL 10:05 EDT EST
BAL vs SEA 06:35 EDT EST
BOS @TB 06:40 EDT EST
CIN @SD 09:40 EDT EST
CLE vs NYY 06:40 EDT EST
HOU @LAA 09:38 EDT EST
PHI @TOR 07:07 EDT EST
SF vs WAS 09:45 EDT EST
Matchup Time
NY vs SA 8:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled