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Justin Jefferson or DK Metcalf

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Justin Jefferson

Justin Jefferson

WRMinnesota Vikings MIN
DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf

WRPittsburgh Steelers PIT
OR
πŸ”“ EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Jefferson over Metcalf

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Justin Jefferson

Elite Target Share Solidifies Top-Tier Status With a Massive QB Upgrade

Justin Jefferson remains the clear number-one option in Minnesota's passing game. With the Vikings signing dual-threat quarterback Kyler Murray to lead the offense, Jefferson's ceiling is incredibly high. He anchors a talented receiving corps that includes Jordan Addison and tight end T.J. Hockenson. We project Jefferson to lead the team with 139 targets, serving as the focal point of this revamped passing attack.

While his 2025 campaign was slightly quieter with 1,096 yards and two touchdowns, our models forecast a strong rebound. We project Jefferson to haul in 94 receptions for 1,242 yards and six touchdowns. At 27 years old, his unmatched route-running ability guarantees consistent, high-value targets.

The fantasy market is reacting enthusiastically to Minnesota's upgraded quarterback room. After dipping to an ADP of 14 in mid-May, Jefferson's draft cost has steadily climbed to an elite first-round price tag of 6.0 in 1.0 PPR formats. At this cost, we view him as a premier, high-floor foundation piece who easily justifies his top-tier draft capital.


Updated 9 hrs ago

Latest News Justin Jefferson
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πŸ”“ EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Metcalf over Jefferson

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Primed for a High-Value Season with Aaron Rodgers Under Center

DK Metcalf enters his second season in Pittsburgh locked in as a primary target in an upgraded offense. Now paired with veteran quarterback Aaron Rodgers alongside Michael Pittman Jr., Metcalf's role in the passing game is secure. Last year, he posted 64 receptions for 872 yards and six touchdowns.

Our projections expect similar, steady usage for the physical wideout in 2026. We project Metcalf to secure 63 receptions on 101 targets for 878 yards and six touchdowns, totaling 189.0 PPR points.

Fantasy managers have taken notice of this upgraded environment, driving his ADP up dramatically from the high-70s in early May to 43 overall in early June. While no longer a deep draft-day steal in 1.0 PPR formats, he remains an excellent value with WR2 safety and WR1 upside.


Updated 9 hrs ago

Latest News DK Metcalf
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Performance Justin Jefferson
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance DK Metcalf
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Redzone Touches
Redzone Touches Justin Jefferson
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 GB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
2 @CHI πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
3 @TB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
4 MIA πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
5 @NO πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
7 BYE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
8 IND πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
9 @DET πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
10 BUF πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
11 @GB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 @SF πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 ATL πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
13 CAR πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
14 @NE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
15 DET πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
16 WAS πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
17 @NYJ πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
18 CHI πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Redzone Touches DK Metcalf
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 ATL πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
2 @NE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
3 CIN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
4 @CLE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
6 IND πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
7 @TB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
8 @NO πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
9 CLE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
10 BYE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
11 @CIN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 @PHI πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 DEN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
13 HOU πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
14 @JAC πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
15 BAL πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
16 CAR πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Justin Jefferson
OWN
100%
No change since last week.
START
86%
No change since last week.
OWN/START DK Metcalf
OWN
86%
-1.52 compared to last week
START
49%
+6.43 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Justin Jefferson
7th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus DK Metcalf
36th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Justin Jefferson

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 7th among WR's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 30th with 122.30 total points (6.79 avg).
  • Currently 187 points behind the leader: Puka Nacua
  • He should be doing much better than this. You might be able to get him now for a discount.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 6.8.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 10 in receptions and is currently ranked 10th among WR.
  • Top 10 in targets and is currently ranked 7th among WR.
  • Top 15 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 12th among WR.
  • Top 15 in reception yards with 1096 and 12.45 YPC and is currently ranked 15th among WR.
  • Top 100 in Rec TDs with 2, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 94th among WR.
  • Rushing Stats

  • Top 75 in rush yards with 7 (0.39 per game), though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 58th among WR.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: -24, Rec Yards: -575 Rec TDs: -9,
  • Season Outlook

  • REC: 94, REC YDS: 1242, REC TDS: 6
Breakdown DK Metcalf

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 37th among WR's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 23rd with 137.60 total points (8.60 avg).
  • Currently 171.7 points behind the leader: Puka Nacua
  • He is doing better than most people thought he would.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 8.6.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 35 in receptions and is currently ranked 28th among WR.
  • Top 25 in targets and is currently ranked 25th among WR.
  • Top 35 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 32nd among WR.
  • Top 25 in reception yards with 872 and 13.63 YPC and is currently ranked 25th among WR.
  • Top 35 in Rec TDs with 6 and is currently ranked 28th among WR.
  • Rushing Stats

  • Top 35 in rush yards with 24 (1.50 per game) and is currently ranked 30th among WR.
  • Top 3 in rush tds with 2 (0.13 per game) and is currently ranked 1st among WR.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 1 less games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: EVEN, Rec Yards: -77 Rec TDs: +2,
  • Season Outlook

  • REC: 63, REC YDS: 878, REC TDS: 6
Next Up Health Check
Injury Justin Jefferson

No Injury Reported

Injury DK Metcalf

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Justin Jefferson

Week 1
Minnesota Vikings VS Green Bay Packers

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
21.72316.831693703.70
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 23rd with 83.00 total points (4.61 avg).
  • Currently 144 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.6 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 10 in total yards against with 335.47 per game and is currently ranked 10th among DST.
  • Ranked 18th in rush defense with 2094 (123.18 per game).
  • Top 8 in pass defense with 3609 (212.29 per game) and is currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Top 12 in points against with 21.18 per game and currently ranked 11th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 29th in Total TDs with 0 (0.00 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +35.93, Turnovers: -19 Sacks: -24, INTs: -12, TDs: -3, Points Allowed: +1.87,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 41, INT: 12, TDS: 2, PA/G: 22.5, YDS/G: 331.3
Matchups DK Metcalf

Week 1
Pittsburgh Steelers VS Atlanta Falcons

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
23.59367.1223165714.24
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 12th with 119.00 total points (7.00 avg).
  • Currently 108 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 7.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 8 in turnovers with 23 (1.35 per game) and is currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Ranked 21st in rush defense with 2225 (130.88 per game).
  • Ranked 17th in pass defense with 4016 (236.24 per game).
  • Top 2 in sacks with 57 (3.35 per game) and currently ranked 2nd among DST.
  • Top 6 in interceptions with 16 (0.94 per game) and currently ranked 6th among DST.
  • Top 20 in points against with 23.59 per game and currently ranked 19th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 28th in Total TDs with 1 (0.06 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +6.65, Turnovers: +5 Sacks: +23, INTs: +4, TDs: -3, Points Allowed: -2.47,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 46, INT: 12, TDS: 2, PA/G: 25.1, YDS/G: 347.1
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Justin Jefferson
24.50
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating DK Metcalf
17.31
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Justin Jefferson
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2020 MIN 16 125 88 1400 15.9 7 1 2 2 0
2021 MIN 16 167 108 1616 15.0 10 6 14 2.3 0
2022 MIN 16 184 128 1809 14.1 8 4 24 6 1
2023 MIN 10 100 68 1074 15.8 5 1 -12 -12 0
2024 MIN 16 153 103 1533 14.9 10 1 3 3 0
2025 MIN 16 147 88 1096 12.5 2 2 7 3.5 0
3-YEAR AVG 15 136 88 1254 14.2 6 1 -1 -0.5 0
Totals 97 893 595 8633 14.5 42 15 38 2.5 1
Career DK Metcalf
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2019 SEA 16 100 58 901 15.5 7 2 11 5.5 0
2020 SEA 16 140 88 1399 15.9 12 0 0 0 0
2021 SEA 16 129 75 967 12.9 12 1 6 6 0
2022 SEA 16 141 90 1048 11.6 6 0 0 0 0
2023 SEA 16 120 66 1114 16.9 8 0 0 0 0
2024 SEA 15 108 66 992 15.0 5 0 0 0 0
2025 PIT 16 107 64 872 13.6 6 4 24 6 2
3-YEAR AVG 16 127 77 1097 14.2 7 0 0 0 0
Totals 115 858 517 7429 14.4 58 7 41 5.9 2
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Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ATH vs MIL 10:05 EDT EST
BAL vs SEA 06:35 EDT EST
BOS @TB 06:40 EDT EST
CIN @SD 09:40 EDT EST
CLE vs NYY 06:40 EDT EST
HOU @LAA 09:38 EDT EST
PHI @TOR 07:07 EDT EST
SF vs WAS 09:45 EDT EST
Matchup Time
NY vs SA 8:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled