Outlook Paul Goldschmidt
Resurgent Goldschmidt Anchoring First-Place Yankees Lineup
The division-leading Yankees (43-27) continue to lean heavily on Goldschmidt, who remains locked in as the everyday starter at first base. Over his last 14 days, the veteran has been red-hot, batting .378 with three home runs and 12 RBIs. His elite production is crucial right now with Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton both sidelined on the injured list.
While our models project a rest-of-season average of .259 with seven more home runs, Goldschmidt's current .295 season average and nine homers through 45 games suggest a late-career surge. At age 38, some regression toward his baseline is expected, but his high-contact rate over the last 30 days indicates this hot streak is sustainable.
The Yankees have six home games scheduled this week against the White Sox and Reds, offering highly favorable matchups against high-ERA starters like Anthony Kay and Rhett Lowder. Despite tough bookend matchups against Davis Martin and Chase Burns, Goldschmidt is playing too well to be benched. He is an easy Start.
Updated 2 days ago
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Outlook Colson Montgomery
Power persists amid batting average slump as brutal matchups loom
Colson Montgomery remains the everyday shortstop for the second-place White Sox (38-32), though his bat has cooled off recently. Over his last 14 days, he is hitting just .147 with 15 strikeouts, though he showed signs of life by launching his 17th home run on June 14. He has recovered from a brief bout of back tightness earlier this month and is locked into his starting role.
While his recent 14-day slump is frustrating, his power remains entirely real. Montgomery's 17 home runs in 67 games this year align closely with our season projection of 18 homers. He is currently sporting a .223 average, which is right on par with his .226 projected mark, suggesting this cold spell is a temporary bump rather than a total collapse.
The week ahead presents a brutal six-game road trip. The White Sox face formidable arms like Gerrit Cole (2.45 ERA) and Tarik Skubal (2.81 ERA), leaving Ryan Weathers (4.50 ERA) as his only highly favorable matchup. Given the tough slate and his high strikeout rate, our models suggest leaving Montgomery on the bench this week. Verdict: Sit.
Updated 2 days ago
