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Jake Bauers or Nathan Lukes

Who Should I Start? - Week 14 • Start New
Jake Bauers

Jake Bauers

1BMilwaukee Brewers MIL
Nathan Lukes

Nathan Lukes

RFToronto Blue Jays TOR
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Bauers over Lukes

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Jake Bauers

Jake Bauers's outstanding power surge makes him a premier fantasy option for the first-place Brewers.

Bauers has been absolutely phenomenal lately, batting .278 with seven home runs and 24 RBI over his last 30 days. He has firmly established himself as the everyday starter at first base for the first-place Brewers, who currently sit at 43-26. His elite production has kept Milwaukee rolling despite a few minor bullpen injuries.

While our models projected a conservative rest-of-season pace of a .213 batting average, Bauers's actual 2026 campaign is a massive career breakout, featuring a .276 average and 13 home runs. This dramatic spike in contact rate and on-base percentage indicates a real developmental leap rather than a temporary hot streak.

The Brewers embark on a balanced six-game slate this week, starting at home against Cleveland before heading on the road to Atlanta. While Bauers will face challenging arms like Gavin Williams (3.32 ERA), he also gets highly favorable matchups against Slade Cecconi (4.83 ERA) and Grant Holmes (4.05 ERA). Lock him into your active lineups as a strong, high-upside weekly play.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Jake Bauers
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Lukes over Bauers

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Nathan Lukes

Nathan Lukes Rides a Sustained Hot Streak into a Six-Game Road Trip

Lukes is hitting incredibly well, posting a .292 average over the last seven days and a blistering .358 over the last 30 days. He has secured regular playing time in the outfield with Daulton Varsho sidelined on the injured list. His contributions are vital for the third-place Blue Jays (34-38) as they look to break a two-game losing streak.

While Lukes' hot streak is impressive, some regression is expected toward his .256 baseline from last season. Our models project him as a .262 hitter with six home runs and 24 RBIs over 290 at-bats this season. However, his strong contact profile remains highly valuable in deeper leagues while he maintains this everyday role.

The Blue Jays travel for six road games this week against Boston and Chicago, offering a mix of tough matchups like Ben Brown (1.74 ERA) and vulnerable targets like Jake Bennett (5.28 ERA). With Daulton Varsho out, Lukes will continue to see everyday plate appearances. Ride his hot hand in all medium-to-deep leagues. Verdict: Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Nathan Lukes
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Performance Jake Bauers
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.143131.2500.35704
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.2673108.4630.633110
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Nathan Lukes
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.300012.3640.35005
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.304145.3600.391012
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Jake Bauers
OWN
89%
+4.96 compared to last week
START
81%
+0.37 compared to last week
OWN/START Nathan Lukes
OWN
 
4%
-1.87 compared to last week
START
 
3%
-0.19 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Jake Bauers
31st
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Nathan Lukes
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Jake Bauers

    Overview

  • He is eligible to play multiple positions including: 1B LF . However, he plays 1B most often.
  • Experts rank this player at 32nd among 1B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 17th.
  • The current leader among 1B's is Nick Kurtz
  • He is doing better than most people thought he would.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Top 50 in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.365 and is currently ranked 45th
  • Top 75 in batting average with 0.293 and is currently ranked 58th
  • Top 25 on base percentage and is currently ranked 25th with 0.400
  • Top 50 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 50th with 0.516
  • Top 35 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 34th with 0.916
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 149th with 3
  • Top 100 in walks and is currently ranked 96th with 25
  • Top 50 in RBI and is currently ranked 40th with 33
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 103rd in runs scored with 30
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 1.2 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.045, OBP: +0.044, HRs: +8, RBI: +28, Runs: +28, Wlks: +16, Stls: +1,
Breakdown Nathan Lukes

    Overview

  • He is eligible to play multiple positions including: RF LF . However, he plays RF most often.
  • Experts don't even rank him among RF's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 97th.
  • The current leader among RF's is James Wood
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Among the best in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.461 and is currently ranked 6th
  • Among the best in batting average with 0.391 and is currently ranked 2nd
  • Among the best in on base percentage and is currently ranked 4th with 0.436
  • Top 75 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 65th with 0.500
  • Top 35 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 28th with 0.936
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 372nd in RBI with 11
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 353rd in runs scored with 12
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.3 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.042, OBP: +0.008, HRs: -3, RBI: -8, Runs: -5, Wlks: -10, Stls: -1,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Jake Bauers

No Injury Reported

Injury Nathan Lukes

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Jake Bauers
DateOpponentResult
Jun 16VS CLEAaron AshbyW 2-1
Jun 17VS CLEGavin Williams
Jun 18VS CLEParker Messick
Jun 19@ATLChris Sale
Jun 20@ATLBryce Elder
Jun 21@ATLGrant Holmes
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.000000.3330.00001
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Nathan Lukes
DateOpponentResult
Jun 16@BOSDylan CeaseW 1-6
Jun 17@BOSJake Bennett
Jun 18@BOSSonny Gray
Jun 19@CHCBen Brown
Jun 20@CHCColin Rea
Jun 21@CHCShota Imanaga
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.250000.2500.25001
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Jake Bauers
11.43
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Nathan Lukes
7.16
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Jake Bauers
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2018 TB 95 65 10 48 48 7 54 .201 .316 .375 233
2019 CLE 114 84 12 46 43 4 44 .226 .311 .371 222
2021 CLE 106 56 4 24 19 5 24 .206 .273 .276 180
2023 NYY 81 49 12 28 30 3 26 .202 .277 .413 176
2024 MIL 106 62 13 43 44 13 31 .201 .285 .370 235
2025 MIL 83 47 8 29 30 8 29 .240 .341 .413 197
2026 MIL 61 58 13 40 46 5 31 .274 .374 .514 239
ON PACE 141 134 30 92 106 11 71 .274 .374 .514 553
3-YEAR AVG 90 53 11 33 35 8 29 .212 .297 .395 203
Career 646 421 72 258 260 45 239 .219 .309 .383
Career Nathan Lukes
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2023 TOR 16 5 0 2 2 0 2 .192 .241 .308 21
2024 TOR 21 23 1 13 10 1 10 .303 .363 .447 81
2025 TOR 142 115 12 59 72 2 39 .256 .313 .396 424
2026 TOR 38 38 1 13 13 0 6 .309 .358 .390 96
ON PACE 84 84 2 28 28 0 13 .309 .358 .390 213
3-YEAR AVG 60 48 4 25 28 1 17 .259 .317 .399 175
Career 217 181 14 87 97 3 57 .268 .324 .397
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RECENT DECISIONS

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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs LAA 03:40 EDT EST Eduardo Rodriguez
Sam Aldegheri
ATH vs PIT 09:40 EDT EST Aaron Civale
Braxton Ashcraft
ATL vs SF 07:15 EDT EST JR Ritchie
BAL @SEA 09:40 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
George Kirby
BOS vs TOR 06:45 EDT EST Jake Bennett
Max Scherzer
CHC vs COL 08:05 EDT EST Javier Assad
Sean Sullivan
CHW @NYY 07:05 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Carlos Rodon
CIN vs NYM 12:40 EDT EST Nick Lodolo
Nolan McLean
CLE @MIL 07:40 EDT EST Gavin Williams
Brandon Sproat
DET @HOU 02:10 EDT EST Casey Mize
Peter Lambert
KC @WAS 01:05 EDT EST Luinder Avila
Zack Littell
LAD vs TB 03:10 EDT EST Shohei Ohtani
Shane McClanahan
MIA @PHI 01:05 EDT EST Sandy Alcantara
Andrew Painter
SD @STL 02:15 EDT EST
Kyle Leahy
Matchup Time
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Matchup Time
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