Dominate Fantasy - Sync your team
MLB
NYM
CIN
9
1
FINALFINAL
MIA
PHI
12
4
FINALFINAL
KC
WSH
6
2
FINALFINAL
DET
HOU
2
4
FINALFINAL
SD
STL
6
1
FINALFINAL
TB
LAD
4
5
FINALFINAL
LAA
ARI
1
8
FINALFINAL
TOR
BOS
3
0
BOT 9 • Q • • SN1 LIVE
CHW
NYY
4
10
TOP 8 • Q • • AMZP LIVE
SF
ATL
7
2
MID 9 • Q • • BVSN LIVE
CLE
MIL
4
7
BOT 8 • Q • • WUAB LIVE
COL
CHC
2
8
BOT 6 • Q • • MARQ LIVE
PIT
ATH
3
0
TOP 1 • Q • • NBC LIVE
BAL
SEA
0
0
BOT 1 • Q • • MASN LIVE

Javier Assad or Aaron Nola

Who Should I Start? - Week 14 • Start New
Javier Assad

Javier Assad

SPChicago Cubs CHC
Aaron Nola

Aaron Nola

SPPhiladelphia Phillies PHI
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Assad over Nola

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Javier Assad

Assad solidifies rotation spot with spectacular run of scoreless frames

Javier Assad has quickly pitched his way into a secure role for the Cubs. With rotation mates Jameson Taillon and Matthew Boyd sidelined on the injured list, Assad has stepped up and slots in as the number four starter in the rotation. At 28 years old, the right-hander has shown the versatility to excel both in relief and as a starter, making him an invaluable depth piece for a Chicago pitching staff currently navigating several key injuries.

Our season projections expect Assad to post a solid 3.80 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 64.0 innings of work, with roughly 75 strikeouts. These marks align nicely with his 3.88 career ERA from 2024. While he is more of a pitch-to-contact option rather than a high-strikeout force, his ability to suppress hard hits and limit walks makes him a stabilizing force for fantasy rotations needing depth in standard formats.

Ultimately, Assad represents a high-floor fantasy asset who can provide valuable innings and ratio support when the matchups are right. While he lacks the elite strikeout upside of a true fantasy ace, his secure starting role and solid defense behind him make him a highly reliable option to plug into active lineups, especially during favorable home matchups.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Javier Assad
Loading...
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Nola over Assad

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Aaron Nola

Aaron Nola looks to rebound from recent ratio struggles in a favorable home matchup against the division-rival Mets.

The veteran right-hander slots in as a key starter for the second-place Phillies, who boast a 38-33 record in the competitive NL East. Nola has hit a rough patch recently, posting a ballooned 6.77 ERA and 1.65 WHIP over his last three starts spanning 13.3 innings. Despite these struggles and a brief stint on the paternity list earlier this month, his rotation slot remains completely secure as a pillar of the team's pitching staff.

While his current 6.08 ERA on the year is highly concerning, our models expect positive regression for the veteran, projecting a rest-of-season 4.15 ERA and a much-improved 1.24 WHIP across 167.0 total innings. Nola's historical pedigree suggests his current elevated BABIP-driven struggles are a fluke, and his solid 9.38 K/9 rate so far indicates that the underlying strikeout capability remains intact.

Nola is lined up for a single start this week on June 18th at home against the Mets. He will face left-hander Sean Manaea, who carries a mediocre 4.78 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. Given the favorable matchup against a division rival at home and Nola's strong bounce-back potential, fantasy managers should lock him into lineups. Verdict: Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Aaron Nola
Loading...
Performance Javier Assad
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-000510.671
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-0001020.502
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Aaron Nola
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
6.430-000321.901
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
8.000-000762.002
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Javier Assad
OWN
34%
+32.78 compared to last week
START
30%
+29.93 compared to last week
OWN/START Aaron Nola
OWN
48%
-9.01 compared to last week
START
27%
-5.62 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Javier Assad
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Aaron Nola
103rd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Javier Assad

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 112th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 100 in wins and is currently ranked 87th
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 5.2 PPG. If you don't have the confidence he can keep it up, then trade him for a sure thing.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +4, L: +1, WHIP: +1.08, ERA: +4.25, K's: +24, Walks: +9
Breakdown Aaron Nola

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 104th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 116th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He should be doing a bit better than this. Look for him to bounce back.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 147th in WHIP with 1.63
  • Currently ranked 154th in ERA with 7.04
  • Top 75 in walks and is currently ranked 53rd with 18
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +2, L: -3, WHIP: -0.016, ERA: -0.229, K's: +19, Walks: +8
Next Up Health Check
Injury Javier Assad

No Injury Reported

Injury Aaron Nola

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Javier Assad
DateOpponentResult
Jun 15VS COLDaniel PalenciaW 5-4
Jun 16VS COLBlas CastanoL 2-5
Jun 17VS COLSean Sullivan
Jun 19VS TORKevin Gausman
Jun 20VS TORPatrick Corbin
Jun 21VS TORDylan Cease
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Aaron Nola
DateOpponentResult
Jun 15VS MIAZack WheelerW 7-0
Jun 16VS MIAJesus LuzardoW 8-2
Jun 17VS MIASandy Alcantara
Jun 18VS NYMSean Manaea
Jun 20VS NYMFreddy Peralta
Jun 21VS NYM
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-000500.831
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Javier Assad
7.14
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Aaron Nola
9.49
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Javier Assad
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2022 CHC 6 23.0 423 18 15 0 2-1 2.35 1.61 7 48
2023 CHC 32 107.0 1710 93 41 0 5-3 3.11 1.25 7.8 230
2024 CHC 29 142.1 2538 124 63 0 7-6 3.86 1.45 7.8 277
2025 CHC 8 37.0 567 23 12 0 4-1 3.65 1.22 5.6 81
2026 CHC 10 36.0 575 24 9 0 4-1 4.25 1.08 6 82
ON PACE 21 79 1258 52 19 0 8-2 4.25 1.08 6 179
3-YEAR AVG 23 94 1605 80 39 0 5-3 3.61 1.36 7.6 196
Career 85 343.0 5813 282 140 0 0-0 3.57 1.34 7.4
Career Aaron Nola
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2015 PHI 13 77.2 1117 68 19 0 6-2 3.59 1.2 7.9 188
2016 PHI 20 111.0 1796 121 29 0 6-9 4.95 1.32 9.8 263
2017 PHI 27 168.0 2665 184 49 0 12-11 3.54 1.21 9.9 451
2018 PHI 33 210.0 3212 224 58 0 17-6 2.4 0.99 9.6 632
2019 PHI 34 200.0 3332 229 80 0 12-7 3.92 1.28 10.3 500
2020 PHI 11 65.1 1060 84 23 0 5-5 3.44 1.13 11.6 176
2021 PHI 32 182.1 2971 223 39 0 9-9 4.59 1.12 11 427
2022 PHI 35 219.0 3256 246 29 0 12-14 3.45 0.98 10.1 547
2023 PHI 36 212.0 3427 225 49 0 15-10 4.33 1.16 9.6 512
2024 PHI 34 202.0 3275 205 52 0 14-9 3.74 1.22 9.1 496
2025 PHI 18 96.1 1599 100 28 0 5-10 5.89 1.33 9.3 159
2026 PHI 14 68.1 1249 71 24 0 3-4 6.06 1.52 9.4 121
ON PACE 31 152 2771 157 53 0 6-8 6.06 1.52 9.4 269
3-YEAR AVG 29 169 2767 177 43 0 11-10 4.39 1.22 9.4 389
Career 307 1798.0 28959 1980 479 0 0-0 3.99 1.18 9.9
The Premium Start tool.
  • Optimal Lineups
  • Predictive Analytics Waiver Advice
  • Trade Suggestions & More

RECENT DECISIONS

Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs LAA 03:40 EDT EST Eduardo Rodriguez
Sam Aldegheri
ATH vs PIT 09:40 EDT EST Aaron Civale
Braxton Ashcraft
ATL vs SF 07:15 EDT EST JR Ritchie
BAL @SEA 09:40 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
George Kirby
BOS vs TOR 06:45 EDT EST Jake Bennett
Max Scherzer
CHC vs COL 08:05 EDT EST Javier Assad
Sean Sullivan
CHW @NYY 07:05 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Carlos Rodon
CIN vs NYM 12:40 EDT EST Nick Lodolo
Nolan McLean
CLE @MIL 07:40 EDT EST Gavin Williams
Brandon Sproat
DET @HOU 02:10 EDT EST Casey Mize
Peter Lambert
KC @WAS 01:05 EDT EST Luinder Avila
Zack Littell
LAD vs TB 03:10 EDT EST Shohei Ohtani
Shane McClanahan
MIA @PHI 01:05 EDT EST Sandy Alcantara
Andrew Painter
SD @STL 02:15 EDT EST
Kyle Leahy
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled