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Jacob Misiorowski or Rhett Lowder

Who Should I Start? - Week 14 • Start New
Jacob Misiorowski

Jacob Misiorowski

SPMilwaukee Brewers MIL
Rhett Lowder

Rhett Lowder

SPCincinnati Reds CIN
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Misiorowski over Lowder

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Jacob Misiorowski

Jacob Misiorowski continues historic run of dominance heading into matchup with Atlanta

After throwing a mind-bending, 15-strikeout complete-game one-hitter on Friday, Jacob Misiorowski is the talk of baseball. He has not allowed an earned run over his last 16 innings, helping the first-place Brewers (43-26) maintain their lead in the division. Milwaukee is giving their young staff anchor some pre-scheduled extra rest, pushing his next start to Friday.

While our season projections expected a 4.01 ERA and 1.25 WHIP, Misiorowski has utterly shattered those baselines with a microscopic 1.36 ERA and 0.74 WHIP across 14 starts this year. His blistering fastball and 13.7 K/9 rate are completely legitimate, though some slight ratio regression toward his projected path is inevitable over a full summer.

Because of his extra rest, the right-hander gets just one start this week on June 19 on the road against Atlanta. He faces veteran Martin Perez, who has a solid 2.90 ERA but lacks the young righty's slate-breaking strikeout upside. Our models project a highly favorable matchup, making him a mandatory fantasy start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Jacob Misiorowski
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Lowder over Misiorowski

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Rhett Lowder

Lowder Returns to the Rotation with Mixed Ratios and a Bracing Test in the Bronx

After recovering from a mid-May injury, Rhett Lowder is back on the mound and currently slots in as the number five starter in the rotation for the last-place Reds (33-37). Over his last two starts spanning 8.2 innings, the rookie has managed a sparkling 1.10 ERA with 10 strikeouts, capitalizing on opportunities created by rotation injuries to Hunter Greene and Brandon Williamson. However, his control has been erratic since his return, leading to seven walks and a bloated 1.59 WHIP over that short span.

While his recent 1.10 ERA is eye-catching, the underlying metrics suggest regression is lurking. Lowder's 2026 season stats show a much higher 4.74 ERA and 1.47 WHIP, which align more closely with our rest-of-season projection of a 4.44 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. The high walk rate and heavy traffic on the bases indicate his recent success is somewhat of a fluke, and fantasy managers should expect his ratios to normalize toward our projected baseline.

Lowder is scheduled for a single start on Friday, June 19, on the road against the powerhouse Yankees. It is a highly unfavorable matchup, as he will face off against New York's Cam Schlittler, who carries a dominant 1.82 ERA and 0.91 WHIP this season. Given the tough opponent, hostile road environment, and his own recent control issues, fantasy managers should keep the rookie on the bench. Verdict: Sit.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Rhett Lowder
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Performance Jacob Misiorowski
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-0001500.111
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.002-0002330.502
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Rhett Lowder
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.730-000621.351
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.100-0001071.592
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Jacob Misiorowski
OWN
100%
+0.11 compared to last week
START
68%
-6.06 compared to last week
OWN/START Rhett Lowder
OWN
12%
-0.32 compared to last week
START
 
4%
-1.92 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Jacob Misiorowski
3rd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Rhett Lowder
113th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Jacob Misiorowski

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 3rd among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 1st.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • WHIP is among the best in the league currently ranked 1st with 0.65
  • ERA is among the best in the league currently ranked 1st with 0.69
  • He strikes out a lot of batters and is currently ranked 2nd with 98
  • He wins a lot of games and is currently ranked 1st with 7
  • Top 15 in innings pitched and is currently ranked 14th with 65.1
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 5.8 PPG. If you don't have the confidence he can keep it up, then trade him for a sure thing.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +7, L: +2, WHIP: -0.06, ERA: +1.34, K's: +126, Walks: +18
Breakdown Rhett Lowder

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 114th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 165th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He is doing dreadful lately. If he is star player then he should rebound.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.7 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +3, L: +3, WHIP: +1.43, ERA: +4.6, K's: +37, Walks: +25
Next Up Health Check
Injury Jacob Misiorowski

No Injury Reported

Injury Rhett Lowder

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Jacob Misiorowski
DateOpponentResult
Jun 16VS CLEAaron AshbyW 2-1
Jun 17VS CLEGavin Williams
Jun 18VS CLEParker Messick
Jun 19@ATLChris Sale
Jun 20@ATLBryce Elder
Jun 21@ATLGrant Holmes
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Rhett Lowder
DateOpponentResult
Jun 15VS NYMChase BurnsW 12-0
Jun 16VS NYMBrady SingerW 5-3
Jun 17VS NYMNolan McLean
Jun 19@NYYCam Schlittler
Jun 20@NYYWill Warren
Jun 21@NYYGerrit Cole
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Jacob Misiorowski
22.52
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Rhett Lowder
6.93
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Jacob Misiorowski
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 MIL 18 78.0 1348 103 34 0 7-4 3.92 1.18 11.9 203
2026 MIL 14 87.0 1277 131 22 0 8-2 1.34 0.74 13.6 322
ON PACE 32 202 2955 303 50 0 18-4 1.34 0.74 13.6 745
3-YEAR AVG 18 76 1348 103 34 0 7-4 3.92 1.18 11.9 203
Career 32 162.2 2625 234 56 0 0-0 2.6 0.96 13
Career Rhett Lowder
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2024 CIN 6 30.2 498 22 14 0 2-2 1.17 1.27 6.5 63
2026 CIN 10 47.0 817 37 25 0 3-3 4.6 1.43 7.1 83
ON PACE 22 106 1838 83 56 0 6-6 4.6 1.43 7.1 185
3-YEAR AVG 6 30 498 22 14 0 2-2 1.17 1.27 6.5 63
Career 16 77.2 1315 59 39 0 0-0 3.24 1.36 6.8
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ATH vs LAA 09:40 EDT EST Gage Jump
Jose Soriano
ATL vs SF 07:15 EDT EST Martin Perez
Landen Roupp
BAL @SEA 04:10 EDT EST Shane Baz
Bryan Woo
BOS vs TOR 01:35 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Trey Yesavage
CHW @NYY 07:05 EDT EST Sean Burke
Ryan Weathers
CLE @MIL 02:10 EDT EST Parker Messick
Shane Drohan
KC vs STL 07:40 EDT EST Noah Cameron
Matthew Liberatore
MIN @TEX 02:35 EDT EST Joe Ryan
Jack Leiter
NYM @PHI 06:40 EDT EST Sean Manaea
Aaron Nola
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled