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Michael Busch or Curtis Mead

Who Should I Start? - Week 14 • Start New
Michael Busch

Michael Busch

1BChicago Cubs CHC
Curtis Mead

Curtis Mead

1BWashington Nationals WAS
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Busch over Mead

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Michael Busch

Michael Busch’s powerful breakout secures his future as a corner-infield cornerstone.

After being traded to the Cubs, Michael Busch immediately grabbed hold of the everyday starting role at first base. Playing his home games at Wrigley Field and slotted firmly into the middle of the order, the 28-year-old has established himself as a prominent run-producer. Given his secure playing time and age-28 prime, he enters the season as a highly stable option at a historically demanding fantasy position.

Our data strongly supports Busch's ability to provide impactful category contributions. Following a highly impressive 2025 campaign in which he slugged 38 home runs, our projection slates him for nearly 500 at-bats with 16 home runs and 50 RBIs. While his batting average is expected to hover around a neutral .247, his excellent walk rate keeps his on-base percentage hovering around a much more valuable .330, making him a major asset in OBP and points formats.

Busch's current ADP sits around pick 132, representing a solid value opportunity for managers looking to secure reliable power without paying an early-round premium. While he does not offer much speed, his secure volume and proven power profile make him an incredibly safe floor play with the clear ceiling of another 30-homer season if things break his way.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Michael Busch
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Mead over Busch

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Curtis Mead

Curtis Mead Primed to Bust Out of Mini-Slump in Favorable Matchups

Curtis Mead has hit a cold stretch over the last seven days, batting just .118 with a single home run, though his larger 30-day window remains highly productive with six homers and 14 RBIs. He continues to play nearly every day, holding down the starting role at third base for the third-place Nationals (37-35) who are currently riding a two-game winning streak.

While his recent slump is frustrating, Mead's overall 2026 line of 10 home runs and a .342 on-base percentage across 171 at-bats shows his power breakout is legitimate. Our models project him to flash that pop with another 10 homers and 42 RBIs over his next 80 projected at-bats, meaning his current slide is a temporary blip rather than a cause for concern.

The Nationals have a six-game slate this week, starting with a highly favorable home series against Kansas City where Mead will face vulnerable starters Mitch Spence (13.50 ERA) and Luinder Avila (6.19 ERA). While a weekend trip to Tampa Bay brings tougher matchups like Nick Martinez (2.43 ERA), Mead's strong track record against right-handers makes him an excellent lineup option. Weekly Verdict: Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Curtis Mead
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Performance Michael Busch
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.263153.4810.47416
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.268265.4340.463112
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Curtis Mead
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.154151.2670.38504
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.206386.3080.500010
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Michael Busch
OWN
80%
+4.44 compared to last week
START
71%
+1.63 compared to last week
OWN/START Curtis Mead
OWN
28%
-8.71 compared to last week
START
21%
-1.07 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Michael Busch
18th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Curtis Mead
24th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Michael Busch

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 18th among 1B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 8th.
  • The current leader among 1B's is Nick Kurtz
  • He is doing a better than most people thought he would.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Top 50 in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.361 and is currently ranked 50th
  • Top 100 in batting average with 0.279 and is currently ranked 96th
  • Top 15 on base percentage and is currently ranked 12th with 0.418
  • Top 100 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 95th with 0.473
  • Top 50 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 39th with 0.890
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 219th with 2
  • Top 15 in walks and is currently ranked 11th with 41
  • Top 50 in RBI and is currently ranked 37th with 39
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 205th in runs scored with 24
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: -0.017, OBP: +0.025, HRs: -3, RBI: +3, Runs: +1, Wlks: +23, Stls: -1,
Breakdown Curtis Mead

    Overview

  • He is eligible to play multiple positions including: 1B 3B . However, he plays 1B most often.
  • Experts rank this player at 25th among 1B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 20th.
  • The current leader among 1B's is Nick Kurtz
  • He is putting up slightly better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 386th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.235
  • Ranked 240th in batting average with 0.239
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 104th with 0.353
  • Top 75 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 66th with 0.500
  • Top 75 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 69th with 0.853
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 325th with 1
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 125th in RBI with 29
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 156th in runs scored with 28
  • Top 100 in HRs and is currently ranked 90th with 10
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.019, OBP: +0.059, HRs: +8, RBI: +27, Runs: +25, Wlks: +20, Stls: EVEN,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Michael Busch

No Injury Reported

Injury Curtis Mead

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Michael Busch
DateOpponentResult
Jun 15VS COLDaniel PalenciaW 5-4
Jun 16VS COLBlas CastanoL 2-5
Jun 17VS COLSean Sullivan
Jun 19VS TORKevin Gausman
Jun 20VS TORPatrick Corbin
Jun 21VS TORDylan Cease
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.250122.4550.43805
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Curtis Mead
DateOpponentResult
Jun 15VS KCBrad LordW 7-3
Jun 16VS KCPaxton SchultzW 6-4
Jun 17VS KCLuinder Avila
Jun 19@TBGriffin Jax
Jun 20@TB
Jun 21@TBNick Martinez
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.286151.3750.71402
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Michael Busch
10.99
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Curtis Mead
9.25
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Michael Busch
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2023 LAD 26 12 2 9 7 1 8 .167 .247 .292 46
2024 CHC 145 123 21 72 65 2 60 .248 .330 .440 402
2025 CHC 160 145 38 82 94 4 58 .263 .344 .534 553
2026 CHC 73 65 8 31 42 2 50 .248 .382 .405 232
ON PACE 159 142 17 67 91 4 109 .248 .382 .405 507
3-YEAR AVG 110 93 20 54 55 2 42 .250 .332 .476 334
Career 404 345 69 194 208 9 176 .250 .342 .463
Career Curtis Mead
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2023 TB 26 23 1 12 6 0 7 .258 .327 .348 59
2024 TB 38 29 1 10 7 2 6 .238 .282 .287 70
2025 TB 86 56 3 25 18 5 15 .233 .298 .321 168
2026 WAS 58 42 11 32 34 3 26 .236 .343 .478 206
ON PACE 126 91 24 70 74 6 56 .236 .343 .478 450
3-YEAR AVG 50 36 2 16 10 2 9 .239 .299 .317 99
Career 208 150 16 79 65 10 54 .238 .312 .362
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RECENT DECISIONS

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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ATH vs LAA 09:40 EDT EST Gage Jump
Jose Soriano
ATL vs SF 07:15 EDT EST Martin Perez
Landen Roupp
BAL @SEA 04:10 EDT EST Shane Baz
Bryan Woo
BOS vs TOR 01:35 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Trey Yesavage
CHW @NYY 07:05 EDT EST Sean Burke
Ryan Weathers
CLE @MIL 02:10 EDT EST Parker Messick
Shane Drohan
KC vs STL 07:40 EDT EST Noah Cameron
Matthew Liberatore
MIN @TEX 02:35 EDT EST Joe Ryan
Jack Leiter
NYM @PHI 06:40 EDT EST Sean Manaea
Aaron Nola
Matchup Time
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Matchup Time
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