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Pete Fairbanks or Kevin Kelly

Who Should I Start? - Week 14 • Start New
Pete Fairbanks

Pete Fairbanks

RPMiami Marlins MIA
Kevin Kelly

Kevin Kelly

RPTampa Bay Rays TB
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Fairbanks over Kelly

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Pete Fairbanks

Lock Down Closer With Top-Tier Strikeout Upside in Miami

Pete Fairbanks enters his first full season with the Marlins as the established closer, anchoring the back end of the Miami bullpen. At 32 years old, Fairbanks brings a wealth of high-leverage experience and a proven track record of late-inning dominance. He slots in at the very top of the team's depth chart for saves, giving him immense fantasy security as long as he remains healthy.

Our projections expect Fairbanks to be a major asset for fantasy managers hunting for saves and strikeouts. Over 63 projected innings, our models project him to rack up 22 saves, 63 strikeouts, a strong 3.43 ERA, and a tidy 1.18 WHIP. Comparing this to his career benchmarks, Fairbanks is fully capable of sustaining an elite strikeout rate well over one per inning, helping stabilize fantasy pitching staffs even in weeks where save opportunities are scarce.

Drafted around ADP 160, Fairbanks represents a solid mid-round investment for managers looking to secure a reliable source of saves without paying premium prices for elite closers. While his aggressive, high-velocity style carries some inherent risk of minor injury hiccups, his locked-in ninth-inning role and immense strikeout upside make him an excellent target to anchor your bullpen.

Updated 13 hrs ago

Latest News Pete Fairbanks
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Kelly over Fairbanks

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Kevin Kelly

Kevin Kelly's elite control and solidifying setup role make him a key holds target

After a difficult 2025 season where his ERA ballooned to 6.96, Kevin Kelly has bounced back in a major way for the second-place Rays, asserting himself as a vital late-inning weapon. Currently slotting in as a key setup option in Tampa Bay's bullpen, Kelly has benefited from a series of injuries to fellow relievers Edwin Uceta and Steven Wilson. This has cleared a path for consistent high-leverage opportunities, which was highlighted by a recent crucial save against the Red Sox. At 28 years old, Kelly is pitching with the confidence of a seasoned high-leverage arm.

The underlying numbers suggest Kelly's turnaround is highly sustainable. Across 27.0 innings of work this year, he has logged a sparkling 2.67 ERA and an elite 0.93 WHIP, which stands in stark contrast to our conservative season projection of a 3.89 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. The secret to his success has been pinpoint control, having walked only six batters all season. While he remains more of a groundball specialist than a pure bat-misser—averaging under a strikeout per inning—his ability to limit base runners keeps his ratios incredibly clean and protects his fantasy value.

For fantasy managers, Kelly is a highly valuable asset in leagues that reward holds, and he is a useful ratio stabilizer even in standard formats. While his lack of consistent save opportunities caps his absolute ceiling, his reliable volume and ability to protect ERA and WHIP make him a very safe floor play. He should be rostered and active in all deep and holds-leagues as he continues to play a prominent late-inning role for a winning club.

Updated 13 hrs ago

Latest News Kevin Kelly
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Performance Pete Fairbanks
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.001-002611.003
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
5.191-013841.736
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Kevin Kelly
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-020400.633
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-020610.954
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Pete Fairbanks
OWN
61%
+0.41 compared to last week
START
57%
+4.46 compared to last week
OWN/START Kevin Kelly
OWN
31%
+2.25 compared to last week
START
30%
+2.23 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Pete Fairbanks
22nd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Kevin Kelly
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Pete Fairbanks

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 22nd among RP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 137th.
  • The current leader among RP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • Can't be doing much worse than he is right now. Failing to live up to expectations is one thing, but playing this bad is another.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 173rd in WHIP with 1.54
  • Currently ranked 229th in ERA with 5.96
  • Top 100 in walks and is currently ranked 89th with 10
  • Not too impressive with strikeouts and is currently ranked 208th with 22
  • Top 75 in wins and is currently ranked 73rd with 3
  • Top 20 in saves and is currently ranked 16th with 7
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.6 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: EVEN, L: +1, WHIP: +0.177, ERA: +4.39, K's: +4, Walks: -3
Breakdown Kevin Kelly

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among RP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 42nd.
  • The current leader among RP's is Cade Smith
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 15 in WHIP and is currently ranked 12th with 0.84
  • Top 20 in ERA and is currently ranked 18th with 1.20
  • Not too impressive with strikeouts and is currently ranked 229th with 20
  • Top 100 in wins and is currently ranked 89th
  • He is among the best in holds and is currently ranked 5th with 12
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.6 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +4, L: +2, WHIP: -0.333, ERA: -1.119, K's: +18, Walks: +4
Next Up Health Check
Injury Pete Fairbanks

No Injury Reported

Injury Kevin Kelly

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Pete Fairbanks
DateOpponentResult
Jun 15@PHIZack Wheeler
Jun 16@PHIJesus Luzardo
Jun 17@PHIAndrew Painter
Jun 19VS SFTrevor McDonald
Jun 20VS SFLogan Webb
Jun 21VS SFAdrian Houser
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Kevin Kelly
DateOpponentResult
Jun 15@LADEric Lauer
Jun 16@LADJustin Wrobleski
Jun 17@LADShohei Ohtani
Jun 19VS WASCade Cavalli
Jun 20VS WASMiles Mikolas
Jun 21VS WASAndrew Alvarez
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Pete Fairbanks
9.98
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Kevin Kelly
9.69
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Pete Fairbanks
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2019 21 21.0 387 28 10 1 2-3 6.86 1.67 12 42
2020 35 35.2 673 54 20 3 5-3 3.28 1.49 13.6 122
2021 TB 46 43.2 767 56 20 5 3-5 3.92 1.35 11.5 108
2022 TB 21 20.0 303 31 3 7 0-0 1.35 0.8 14 95
2023 TB 49 43.0 734 68 20 25 2-4 2.72 1.07 14.2 238
2024 TB 46 45.1 696 44 17 23 3-3 3.57 1.17 8.7 205
2025 TB 61 58.0 987 59 18 27 4-5 2.95 1.09 9.2 259
2026 MIA 22 20.0 385 29 11 9 3-2 6.75 1.45 13.1 90
ON PACE 49 45 866 65 24 20 6-4 6.75 1.45 13.1 201
3-YEAR AVG 52 48 806 57 18 25 3-4 3.08 1.09 10.3 234
Career 301 277.1 4932 369 119 0 0-0 3.76 1.28 12
Career Kevin Kelly
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2023 TB 57 57.2 1066 56 15 2 5-2 3.75 1.2 8.7 157
2024 TB 68 61.1 1033 63 9 1 5-2 3.08 1.11 9.2 169
2025 TB 41 35.0 588 35 9 0 2-5 6.69 1.54 9 46
2026 TB 30 27.0 444 25 6 2 4-2 2.67 0.93 8.3 88
ON PACE 71 65 1057 59 14 4 9-4 2.67 0.93 8.3 209
3-YEAR AVG 55 50 896 51 11 1 4-3 4.26 1.26 9.1 124
Career 196 178.2 3131 179 39 0 0-0 3.98 1.21 9
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs LAA 09:40 EDT EST Ryne Nelson
Walbert Urena
ATH vs PIT 09:40 EDT EST J.T. Ginn
Jared Jones
CHC vs COL 08:05 EDT EST Shota Imanaga
Michael Lorenzen
CIN vs NYM 07:10 EDT EST Chase Burns
Tobias Myers
DET @HOU 08:10 EDT EST Troy Melton
Kai-Wei Teng
KC @WAS 06:45 EDT EST Mitch Spence
Andrew Alvarez
LAD vs TB 10:10 EDT EST Eric Lauer
Nick Martinez
MIA @PHI 06:40 EDT EST Ryan Gusto
Zack Wheeler
MIN @TEX 08:05 EDT EST
MacKenzie Gore
SD @STL 07:45 EDT EST Lucas Giolito
Dustin May
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