Dominate Fantasy - Sync your team
MLB
MIA
PHI
0
7
FINALFINAL
KC
WSH
3
7
FINALFINAL
NYM
CIN
0
12
FINALFINAL
SD
STL
0
3
FINALFINAL
COL
CHC
4
3
TOP 9 • Q • • MARQ LIVE
MIN
TEX
4
2
FINALFINAL
DET
HOU
8
3
TOP 9 • Q • • DSN LIVE
LAA
ARI
2
2
BOT 5 • Q • • FDSW LIVE
PIT
ATH
1
3
BOT 4 • Q • • SN LA LIVE
TB
LAD
3
3
TOP 3 • Q • • ESPN LIVE

Merrill Kelly or Brandon Young

Who Should I Start? - Week 14 • Start New
Merrill Kelly

Merrill Kelly

SPArizona Diamondbacks ARI
Brandon Young

Brandon Young

SPBaltimore Orioles BAL
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Kelly over Young

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Merrill Kelly

Veteran righty offers steady mid-rotation value for fantasy rotations

Merrill Kelly enters his age-37 season firmly established as a mid-rotation staple for the Arizona Diamondbacks, locking down the number three starter role. Despite his veteran status, Kelly has proven incredibly durable in recent years, consistently eclipsing 170 innings and providing much-needed stability to both his real-world team and fantasy rosters alike. He is a reliable source of quality starts and volume.

Our season projection anticipates a productive campaign, expecting Kelly to post a solid 3.98 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 174.0 innings of work. While he is not an elite source of strikeouts, our models project a respectable 130 punchouts alongside eight wins and 12 quality starts. Comparing these numbers to his stellar 2025 campaign, where he compiled a 3.59 ERA and 1.14 WHIP, Kelly's projected ratios remain highly useful for stabilizing fantasy pitching staffs without costing a premium on draft day.

Drafting Kelly around his current ADP of 200 represents an excellent value play, especially for managers looking to secure safe innings floor in the double-digit rounds. He might lack the high-ceiling strikeout upside of younger arms, but his role security and reliable team context make him a very safe, high-floor target to round out your fantasy rotation.

Updated 12 hrs ago

Latest News Merrill Kelly
Loading...
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Young over Kelly

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Brandon Young

Brandon Young's Hot Streak and Two-Start Week Make Him a Must-Start

Brandon Young is on a phenomenal run, posting a stellar 2.06 ERA and 0.84 WHIP over his last 14 days. The fourth-place Orioles (34-39) have leaned heavily on him due to a depleted rotation with Chris Bassitt, Zach Eflin, and Dean Kremer sidelined. Young has fully seized his opportunity, locking down a vital mid-rotation role.

Young's success has lowered his season ERA to 3.67, a massive improvement from last year's 6.45 mark. While our season projections of a 4.50 ERA and 1.32 WHIP warn of upcoming regression, his fastball dominance and splitter adjustments suggest these gains are real. Fantasy managers should confidently ride his hot hand.

Young is lined up for a highly valuable two-start week, facing Seattle's Logan Gilbert on June 16 and the Dodgers' Emmet Sheehan on June 21. Our models project him to toss 12.1 innings with a 2.99 ERA and 8.8 strikeouts across these matchups. He is a premier starting option for the week ahead.

Updated 12 hrs ago

Latest News Brandon Young
Loading...
Performance Merrill Kelly
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.000-100121.001
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
7.360-200551.362
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Brandon Young
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-000520.571
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.062-000920.842
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Merrill Kelly
OWN
47%
-2.56 compared to last week
START
23%
-0.78 compared to last week
OWN/START Brandon Young
OWN
37%
+19.29 compared to last week
START
15%
+6.57 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Merrill Kelly
68th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Brandon Young
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Merrill Kelly

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 69th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 109th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He is in a heck of a slump. You might be able to get him now for a discount.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 115th in WHIP with 1.44
  • Currently ranked 136th in ERA with 5.71
  • Top 25 in walks and is currently ranked 22nd with 23
  • Top 75 in wins and is currently ranked 64th with 4
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 2.7 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: -1, L: +2, WHIP: +0.41, ERA: +2.01, K's: -48, Walks: +5
Breakdown Brandon Young

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 61st.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 100 in WHIP and is currently ranked 96th
  • Top 75 in ERA and is currently ranked 69th with 4.04
  • Top 100 in walks and is currently ranked 77th with 17
  • Top 75 in wins and is currently ranked 65th with 4
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 3.7 PPG. If you don't have the confidence he can keep it up, then trade him for a sure thing.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +5, L: EVEN, WHIP: -1.007, ERA: -2.915, K's: +33, Walks: +11
Next Up Health Check
Injury Merrill Kelly

No Injury Reported

Injury Brandon Young

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Merrill Kelly
DateOpponentResult
Jun 15VS LAAWalbert Urena
Jun 16VS LAAReid Detmers
Jun 17VS LAASam Aldegheri
Jun 19VS MINConnor Prielipp
Jun 20VS MINTaj Bradley
Jun 21VS MIN
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Brandon Young
DateOpponentResult
Jun 16@SEALogan Gilbert
Jun 17@SEAGeorge Kirby
Jun 18@SEABryan Woo
Jun 19@LADRoki Sasaki
Jun 20@LADYoshinobu Yamamoto
Jun 21@LADEmmet Sheehan
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-000520.571
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Merrill Kelly
8.97
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Brandon Young
7.94
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Merrill Kelly
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2019 ARI 32 181.0 2962 158 57 0 13-14 4.48 1.33 7.9 377
2020 ARI 5 31.1 473 29 5 0 3-2 2.59 0.99 8.3 85
2021 ARI 27 158.0 2425 130 41 0 7-11 4.44 1.29 7.4 276
2022 ARI 32 195.0 2988 170 59 0 13-8 3.42 1.14 7.9 450
2023 ARI 34 199.1 3161 215 77 0 15-9 3.3 1.16 9.7 519
2024 ARI 13 73.2 1142 63 19 0 5-1 4.03 1.17 7.7 169
2025 ARI 32 181.2 2833 167 48 0 12-9 3.57 1.13 8.3 430
2026 ARI 11 64.1 1016 38 27 0 5-5 5.46 1.45 5.3 101
ON PACE 25 147 2318 86 61 0 11-11 5.46 1.45 5.3 230
3-YEAR AVG 26 151 2379 148 48 0 11-6 3.5 1.15 8.8 373
Career 186 1077.1 17000 970 333 0 0-0 3.91 1.22 8.1
Career Brandon Young
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 BAL 12 57.2 940 47 22 0 1-7 6.24 1.54 7.3 54
2026 BAL 10 54.0 865 42 19 0 5-1 3.67 1.31 7 132
ON PACE 22 120 1919 93 42 0 11-2 3.67 1.31 7 293
3-YEAR AVG 12 56 940 47 22 0 1-7 6.24 1.54 7.3 54
Career 22 111.2 1805 89 41 0 0-0 5 1.43 7.2
The Premium Start tool.
  • Optimal Lineups
  • Predictive Analytics Waiver Advice
  • Trade Suggestions & More

RECENT DECISIONS

Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs LAA 09:40 EDT EST Ryne Nelson
Walbert Urena
ATH vs PIT 09:40 EDT EST J.T. Ginn
Jared Jones
CHC vs COL 08:05 EDT EST Shota Imanaga
Michael Lorenzen
CIN vs NYM 07:10 EDT EST Chase Burns
Tobias Myers
DET @HOU 08:10 EDT EST Troy Melton
Kai-Wei Teng
KC @WAS 06:45 EDT EST Mitch Spence
Andrew Alvarez
LAD vs TB 10:10 EDT EST Eric Lauer
Nick Martinez
MIA @PHI 06:40 EDT EST Ryan Gusto
Zack Wheeler
MIN @TEX 08:05 EDT EST
MacKenzie Gore
SD @STL 07:45 EDT EST Lucas Giolito
Dustin May
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled