Outlook Andrew Painter
Andrew Painter battles rookie growing pains as fantasy managers look for signs of stability.
The second-place Phillies (38-33) are pushing for the postseason, but Painter has hit a wall, logging a 10.76 ERA and 1.96 WHIP over his last two starts. He remains the team's number three starter, though Philadelphia recently experimented with Tanner Banks as an opener to ease the rookie's burden.
His current 6.65 ERA is discouraging, but our models project a much better 4.62 ERA and 120 strikeouts over 111.0 innings rest-of-season. The elite raw stuff is still there, suggesting these struggles are rookie growing pains rather than a permanent regression.
This week, Painter is scheduled for a single start at home on June 17 against Miami's Sandy Alcantara. Our projection of a 5.73 weekly ERA makes him too risky to deploy, so fantasy managers should sit him until he shows improved control.
Updated 12 hrs ago
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Outlook Trevor McDonald
Trevor McDonald aims to stabilize his rotation spot in a favorable matchup against Miami after recent rough outings.
McDonald has hit a rough patch, posting a 5.45 ERA and a bloated 1.82 WHIP over his last 14 days. His struggles come as the fourth-place Giants (29-43) try to keep their rotation afloat amidst several pitching injuries, including Keaton Winn and Tyler Mahle on the injured list. Despite his recent rocky starts, McDonald remains secure as the number four starter in the rotation.
While his recent 5.64 ERA over the last 30 days is concerning, our models project a season-long 4.43 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. McDonald's high-strikeout upside remains his saving grace, but his walk rate has spiked to 13 free passes in his last 28.7 innings. If he can recapture his control, his ratios should naturally regress back toward his solid mid-rotation baseline.
McDonald is scheduled for a single road start on June 19th against the Marlins. Miami's offense presents a highly favorable matchup for the right-hander, with our weekly model projecting 6.2 innings of work with over five strikeouts and a tidy 1.02 WHIP. This soft matchup makes him an excellent streaming option, earning him a start recommendation in medium-to-deep leagues.
Updated 12 hrs ago
