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Owen Caissie or Nolan Arenado

Who Should I Start? - Week 14 • Start New
Owen Caissie

Owen Caissie

RFMiami Marlins MIA
Nolan Arenado

Nolan Arenado

3BArizona Diamondbacks ARI
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Caissie over Arenado

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Owen Caissie

A highly-touted power bat adjusting to big-league pitching, Caissie offers intriguing upside with batting average risk.

After an offseason trade brought him to Miami, twenty-four-year-old Owen Caissie has quickly secured his place as the everyday starter in right field for the Marlins. Caissie graduated from top prospect status early in the 2026 season and has been given a long runway in the middle of Miami's lineup, especially with teammates like Griffin Conine currently sidelined. His physical tools and raw power are undeniable, but his lack of major league experience means he is still adapting to advanced pitching.

Our projections estimate a .238 batting average over 345 at-bats, highlighting the contact issues that currently limit his fantasy ceiling. While he is on track for modest pop with nearly 10 home runs and over 40 RBIs, his career average of .212 and a high strikeout rate demonstrate the volatility fantasy managers must accept. Caissie is not a major threat on the basepaths, as our models project just four stolen bases, meaning his primary contributions must come from his slugging ability.

Ultimately, Caissie represents a high-upside power source with a fragile floor in standard re-draft leagues. He is an excellent target for fantasy managers willing to absorb a batting average hit in exchange for raw power potential, particularly in keeper or dynasty formats where his long-term ceiling remains incredibly bright.

Updated 12 hrs ago

Latest News Owen Caissie
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Arenado over Caissie

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Nolan Arenado

Nolan Arenado Struggles in June Slump, but Everyday Role Keeps Him Active

Nolan Arenado is struggling mightily at the plate, hitting just .130 over the last seven days and .149 over the last two weeks. Despite this slump, he remains the undisputed everyday starter at third base for the third-place Diamondbacks (36-35). Arenado is past his late-May groin injury, providing vital lineup stability with teammates like Lourdes Gurriel Jr. sidelined.

This recent cold spell is a major outlier compared to Arenado's .243 season average and our model's .251 projected mark. While his power has dried up with only two home runs in his last 30 days, his career track record suggests positive regression is imminent. Do not panic-sell, as his baseline metrics indicate his bat will warm up soon.

Arizona plays six home games this week against the Angels and Twins. While Arenado faces a few tough matchups like Sam Aldegheri (2.12 ERA), he also gets to tee off on vulnerable arms like Connor Prielipp (5.26 ERA). Keep him in your lineups this week; our verdict is to Start.

Updated 12 hrs ago

Latest News Nolan Arenado
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Performance Owen Caissie
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.125151.1250.37505
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.077162.2000.231010
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Nolan Arenado
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.130010.2310.13016
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.149143.2310.234113
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Owen Caissie
OWN
 
6%
-1.97 compared to last week
START
 
4%
-0.29 compared to last week
OWN/START Nolan Arenado
OWN
39%
-6.33 compared to last week
START
35%
+0.8 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Owen Caissie
81st
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Nolan Arenado
24th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Owen Caissie

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 82nd among OF's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 96th.
  • The current leader among OF's is James Wood
  • He has been under achieving. Look for him to bounce back.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 143rd in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.317
  • Ranked 384th in batting average with 0.198
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 375th with 0.265
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 302nd with 0.347
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 343rd with 0.612
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 498th with 2
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 166th in RBI with 23
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 345th in runs scored with 13
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.212, OBP: +0.28, HRs: +6, RBI: +35, Runs: +19, Wlks: +14, Stls: +3,
Breakdown Nolan Arenado

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 24th among 3B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 13th.
  • The current leader among 3B's is Miguel Vargas
  • He is doing a better than most people thought he would.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 167th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.308
  • Ranked 145th in batting average with 0.262
  • Top 75 on base percentage and is currently ranked 70th with 0.366
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 143rd with 0.439
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 110th with 0.806
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 312th with 2
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 204th in RBI with 23
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 208th in runs scored with 24
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 1.5 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.004, OBP: +0.028, HRs: EVEN, RBI: -5, Runs: -2, Wlks: +1, Stls: +1,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Owen Caissie

No Injury Reported

Injury Nolan Arenado

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Owen Caissie
DateOpponentResult
Jun 15@PHIZack Wheeler
Jun 16@PHIJesus Luzardo
Jun 17@PHIAndrew Painter
Jun 19VS SFTrevor McDonald
Jun 20VS SFLogan Webb
Jun 21VS SFAdrian Houser
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.143003.2000.21406
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Nolan Arenado
DateOpponentResult
Jun 15VS LAAWalbert Urena
Jun 16VS LAAReid Detmers
Jun 17VS LAASam Aldegheri
Jun 19VS MINConnor Prielipp
Jun 20VS MINTaj Bradley
Jun 21VS MIN
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
..0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Owen Caissie
6.71
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Nolan Arenado
8.55
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Owen Caissie
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2025 CHC 12 5 1 4 4 0 1 .192 .222 .346 19
2026 MIA 60 36 6 19 35 3 13 .212 .276 .376 120
ON PACE 135 81 13 42 78 6 29 .212 .276 .376 270
3-YEAR AVG 4 2 0 1 1 0 0 .192 .222 .346 6
Career 72 41 7 23 39 3 14 .209 .269 .372
Career Nolan Arenado
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2013 COL 131 130 10 49 52 2 23 .267 .299 .405 289
2014 COL 101 115 15 53 55 2 25 .292 .333 .503 308
2015 COL 157 177 42 97 130 2 34 .287 .323 .575 564
2016 COL 160 181 41 116 133 2 68 .293 .361 .568 621
2017 COL 159 186 37 100 130 3 62 .307 .372 .583 598
2018 COL 155 174 38 104 110 2 73 .295 .371 .559 560
2019 COL 154 184 41 102 118 3 61 .313 .376 .582 583
2020 COL 48 46 8 23 26 0 15 .253 .303 .434 133
2021 STL 156 151 34 80 105 2 49 .256 .313 .497 591
2022 STL 139 153 29 69 97 2 49 .291 .356 .535 568
2023 STL 144 150 26 71 93 3 41 .269 .319 .463 512
2024 STL 151 154 16 70 71 2 44 .268 .322 .390 474
2025 STL 106 93 12 48 52 3 28 .232 .286 .372 340
2026 ARI 66 54 8 30 31 2 22 .243 .328 .405 190
ON PACE 150 123 18 68 70 4 50 .243 .328 .405 433
3-YEAR AVG 134 132 18 63 72 3 38 .259 .311 .412 442
Career 1827 1948 357 1012 1203 30 594 .280 .337 .504
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs LAA 09:40 EDT EST Ryne Nelson
Walbert Urena
ATH vs PIT 09:40 EDT EST J.T. Ginn
Jared Jones
CHC vs COL 08:05 EDT EST Shota Imanaga
Michael Lorenzen
CIN vs NYM 07:10 EDT EST Chase Burns
Tobias Myers
DET @HOU 08:10 EDT EST Troy Melton
Kai-Wei Teng
KC @WAS 06:45 EDT EST Mitch Spence
Andrew Alvarez
LAD vs TB 10:10 EDT EST Eric Lauer
Nick Martinez
MIA @PHI 06:40 EDT EST Ryan Gusto
Zack Wheeler
MIN @TEX 08:05 EDT EST
MacKenzie Gore
SD @STL 07:45 EDT EST Lucas Giolito
Dustin May
Matchup Time
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Matchup Time
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