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Dylan Cease or Nolan McLean

Who Should I Start? - Week 14 • Start New
Dylan Cease

Dylan Cease

SPToronto Blue Jays TOR
Nolan McLean

Nolan McLean

SPNew York Mets NYM
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Cease over McLean

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Dylan Cease

Dylan Cease slots in as a premier high-strikeout starter with top-tier fantasy upside.

Dylan Cease enters the season as a lock in the Toronto rotation, functioning as a vital mid-rotation staple. Now in his age-30 season, the veteran right-hander brings a proven track record of durability and volume, having cleared 150 innings in four consecutive seasons. Pitching in a highly competitive AL East, Cease benefits from solid lineup support, though he will have to navigate some of the toughest hitting environments in the league.

From a category perspective, Cease is an elite source of strikeouts, with our models projecting 190 punchouts over 175.0 innings. While his high-strikeout upside is undisputed, his ratios come with some inherent risk; our projection places him at a 3.81 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP, driven by a projected 69 walks. He remains a strong candidate for double-digit wins, backed by a projected 10 victories for a competitive Blue Jays club.

Drafting Cease around his current ADP of 62 means paying for his elite strikeout foundation while accepting some ratio volatility. He is best utilized as a high-upside number two or three starter on fantasy rosters, where his ability to single-handedly carry the strikeout category offsets occasional WHIP inflation. If his walk rate trends closer to his career-best marks, he has the potential to easily return top-50 overall value.

Updated 12 hrs ago

Latest News Dylan Cease
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting McLean over Cease

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Nolan McLean

Nolan McLean looks to stabilize ratios in a favorable road matchup against Cincinnati.

The fifth-place Mets (32-39) continue to lean on McLean, who slots in as the third starter in their injury-depleted rotation. The rookie has battled control lately, posting a 6.57 ERA and 1.59 WHIP over his last 30 days, though his most recent two starts showed improvement with a 2.70 ERA over 10.0 innings. With rotation mates like Kodai Senga still on the injured list, McLean's volume remains highly secure.

Under the hood, our models expect McLean to trend back toward his strong season projection of a 3.46 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. His high-strikeout upside is very real, as evidenced by his 88 strikeouts in 74.7 innings this year and his elite pitch movement. While the walks (31 on the year) are a concern, his underlying metrics suggest his recent rough stretch is more of a minor speed bump than a major regression.

McLean is scheduled for one start this week, hitting the road on June 17 to face the Reds. Cincinnati's projected starter, Nick Lodolo, has struggled to a 5.21 ERA, offering a soft landing spot for the young right-hander. Our models project McLean for 5.1 innings and 5.6 strikeouts in this outing, making him a strong fantasy option. Start him with confidence.

Updated 12 hrs ago

Latest News Nolan McLean
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Performance Dylan Cease
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.500-0001110.671
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.500-0001110.671
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Nolan McLean
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.500-000641.751
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.700-0001171.302
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Dylan Cease
OWN
100%
+0.34 compared to last week
START
53%
+35.89 compared to last week
OWN/START Nolan McLean
OWN
97%
-1.38 compared to last week
START
57%
-5.71 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Dylan Cease
12th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Nolan McLean
17th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Dylan Cease

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 13th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 20th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He is putting up close to the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 50 in WHIP and is currently ranked 37th with 1.11
  • Top 35 in ERA and is currently ranked 32nd with 3.09
  • Top 75 in walks and is currently ranked 59th with 18
  • Top 10 in strikeouts and is currently ranked 7th with 77
  • Currently ranked 115th in wins with 3
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 3.1 PPG. If you don't have the confidence he can keep it up, then trade him for a sure thing.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +1, L: -2, WHIP: -0.181, ERA: -1.522, K's: +7, Walks: -2
Breakdown Nolan McLean

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 17th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 61st.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He is in a heck of a slump. If he is star player then he should rebound.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 100 in WHIP and is currently ranked 86th
  • Currently ranked 108th in ERA with 4.89
  • Top 25 in walks and is currently ranked 23rd with 23
  • Top 50 in strikeouts and is currently ranked 41st with 60
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +3, L: +4, WHIP: +1.14, ERA: +4.02, K's: +88, Walks: +31
Next Up Health Check
Injury Dylan Cease

No Injury Reported

Injury Nolan McLean

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Dylan Cease
DateOpponentResult
Jun 16@BOSPayton Tolle
Jun 17@BOSJake Bennett
Jun 18@BOSSonny Gray
Jun 19@CHCBen Brown
Jun 20@CHCColin Rea
Jun 21@CHCShota Imanaga
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
6.920-100531.921
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Nolan McLean
DateOpponentResult
Jun 15@CINChase Burns
Jun 16@CINBrady Singer
Jun 17@CINNick Lodolo
Jun 18@PHIAaron Nola
Jun 20@PHICristopher Sanchez
Jun 21@PHIZack Wheeler
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
20.320-100622.261
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Dylan Cease
16.58
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Nolan McLean
13.42
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Dylan Cease
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2019 CHW 14 73.0 1364 81 35 0 4-7 5.67 1.55 10 131
2020 CHW 13 59.1 1099 44 34 0 5-4 3.94 1.42 6.7 115
2021 CHW 32 163.1 2909 218 69 0 12-7 4.13 1.26 12 420
2022 CHW 28 156.1 2703 204 68 0 13-7 2.19 1.16 11.7 456
2023 CHW 33 174.2 3262 214 79 0 7-9 4.69 1.44 11 374
2024 SD 35 189.2 3308 230 68 0 14-12 3.84 1.13 10.9 493
2025 SD 33 167.0 3113 220 72 0 8-12 4.58 1.36 11.9 369
2026 TOR 12 68.0 1173 103 27 0 3-3 2.91 1.16 13.6 193
ON PACE 27 153 2639 231 60 0 6-6 2.91 1.16 13.6 433
3-YEAR AVG 34 176 3228 221 73 0 10-11 4.37 1.31 11.2 412
Career 200 1044.1 18931 1314 452 0 0-0 4 1.3 11.3
Career Nolan McLean
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 NYM 8 48.0 739 57 16 0 5-1 2.06 1.04 10.7 149
2026 NYM 14 76.1 1299 88 31 0 3-4 4.01 1.14 10.4 176
ON PACE 31 174 2963 200 70 0 6-9 4.01 1.14 10.4 401
3-YEAR AVG 8 47 739 57 16 0 5-1 2.06 1.04 10.7 149
Career 22 122.0 2038 145 47 0 0-0 3.32 1.12 10.7
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ARI @LAC
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BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
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CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
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ARI vs LAA 09:40 EDT EST Ryne Nelson
Walbert Urena
ATH vs PIT 09:40 EDT EST J.T. Ginn
Jared Jones
CHC vs COL 08:05 EDT EST Shota Imanaga
Michael Lorenzen
CIN vs NYM 07:10 EDT EST Chase Burns
Tobias Myers
DET @HOU 08:10 EDT EST Troy Melton
Kai-Wei Teng
KC @WAS 06:45 EDT EST Mitch Spence
Andrew Alvarez
LAD vs TB 10:10 EDT EST Eric Lauer
Nick Martinez
MIA @PHI 06:40 EDT EST Ryan Gusto
Zack Wheeler
MIN @TEX 08:05 EDT EST
MacKenzie Gore
SD @STL 07:45 EDT EST Lucas Giolito
Dustin May
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