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Ezequiel Tovar or Edwin Arroyo

Who Should I Start? - Week 14 • Start New
Ezequiel Tovar

Ezequiel Tovar

SSColorado Rockies COL
Edwin Arroyo

Edwin Arroyo

SSCincinnati Reds CIN
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Tovar over Arroyo

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Ezequiel Tovar

Ezequiel Tovar shows signs of life, but road matchups cap his weekly upside

Tovar has shown signs of life lately, batting .333 with a home run over his last four games, though his 14-day average sits at a sluggish .205. He remains locked in as the everyday shortstop for the last-place Rockies (27-45). Despite injuries to teammates Brenton Doyle and Jordan Beck, Tovar's everyday role remains completely secure.

While he has struggled with a .218 batting average and five home runs this season, our models expect positive regression toward his career benchmarks. We project Tovar to bat .262 with 12 home runs over 585 at-bats. His current average is a clear outlier compared to his .253 and .269 marks from previous seasons, making him a reasonable buy-low candidate.

Colorado has six games scheduled this week, starting with three on the road against Chicago before hosting Pittsburgh. Tovar faces tough matchups against Shota Imanaga (4.56 ERA) and Paul Skenes (2.85 ERA), though he gets relief against Edward Cabrera (4.86 ERA) and Jared Jones (4.73 ERA). Given his struggles away from Coors Field, it is best to leave him on the bench. Verdict: Sit.

Updated 12 hrs ago

Latest News Ezequiel Tovar
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Arroyo over Tovar

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Edwin Arroyo

Top Prospect Edwin Arroyo Faces Big League Reality as Playing Time Dwindles

The rookie has found tough sledding since his call-up, batting just .214 with two RBIs over his first 12 major league games. He got his opportunity with the fifth-place Reds (33-37) due to Elly De La Cruz's hamstring injury, but his run as a primary fill-in is drawing to a close. With De La Cruz nearing a mid-June return, Arroyo will slide back into a backup infielder role.

Although Arroyo tore up Triple-A with a .323 average and double-digit homers earlier this year, our models project a modest .226 average in his limited big-league exposure. The 22-year-old clearly has elite long-term upside, but his early-season struggles and a high strikeout rate indicate he is not yet ready to be a reliable redraft fantasy contributor.

The Reds play six games this week, hosting the Mets before visiting the Yankees. Arroyo faces a gauntlet of tough opposing starters, including Cam Schlittler and Gerrit Cole, which will severely limit his opportunities to get on track. Weekly Verdict: Sit.

Updated 12 hrs ago

Latest News Edwin Arroyo
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Performance Ezequiel Tovar
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.333122.3330.55604
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.205144.2250.35909
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Edwin Arroyo
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.214020.2670.21406
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.214021.2900.214012
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Ezequiel Tovar
OWN
19%
-1.23 compared to last week
START
10%
+0.41 compared to last week
OWN/START Edwin Arroyo
OWN
 
8%
-7.69 compared to last week
START
 
4%
-4.68 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Ezequiel Tovar
33rd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Edwin Arroyo
35th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Ezequiel Tovar

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 33rd among SS's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 25th.
  • The current leader among SS's is Bobby Witt Jr.
  • He is putting up better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 298th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.267
  • Ranked 368th in batting average with 0.203
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 394th with 0.259
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 354th with 0.314
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 375th with 0.573
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 496th with 3
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 269th in RBI with 18
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 315th in runs scored with 15
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: -0.04, OBP: -0.029, HRs: +2, RBI: +14, Runs: +7, Wlks: +7, Stls: +2,
Breakdown Edwin Arroyo

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 35th among SS's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 50th.
  • The current leader among SS's is Bobby Witt Jr.
  • He has been under achieving. Look for him to bounce back.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Top 100 in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.333 and is currently ranked 97th
  • Ranked 330th in batting average with 0.214
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 308th with 0.290
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 451st with 0.214
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 430th with 0.505
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 544th in RBI with 2
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 599th in runs scored with 1
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.214, OBP: +0.29, HRs: EVEN, RBI: +2, Runs: +1, Wlks: +2, Stls: EVEN,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Ezequiel Tovar

No Injury Reported

Injury Edwin Arroyo

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Ezequiel Tovar
DateOpponentResult
Jun 15@CHCShota Imanaga
Jun 16@CHCEdward Cabrera
Jun 17@CHCJavier Assad
Jun 19VS PITBubba Chandler
Jun 20VS PITPaul Skenes
Jun 21VS PITJared Jones
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.238123.2730.38106
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Edwin Arroyo
DateOpponentResult
Jun 15VS NYMTobias Myers
Jun 16VS NYMChristian Scott
Jun 17VS NYMNolan McLean
Jun 19@NYYCam Schlittler
Jun 20@NYYWill Warren
Jun 21@NYYGerrit Cole
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
..0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Ezequiel Tovar
7.49
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Edwin Arroyo
7.77
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Ezequiel Tovar
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2022 COL 7 4 0 0 1 0 2 .154 .214 .192 7
2023 COL 152 147 15 79 73 11 25 .253 .286 .408 422
2024 COL 157 176 26 83 78 6 23 .269 .293 .469 460
2025 COL 95 91 9 44 33 5 21 .253 .291 .400 249
2026 COL 65 52 5 20 24 4 14 .218 .268 .340 140
ON PACE 146 117 11 45 54 9 31 .218 .268 .340 315
3-YEAR AVG 135 138 17 69 61 7 23 .259 .290 .431 377
Career 476 470 55 226 209 26 85 .253 .286 .416
Career Edwin Arroyo
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2026 CIN 9 6 0 1 2 0 2 .214 .290 .214 10
ON PACE 20 13 0 2 4 0 4 .214 .290 .214 23
3-YEAR AVG 0 . . . 0
Career 9 6 0 1 2 0 2 .214 .290 .214
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Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs LAA 09:40 EDT EST Ryne Nelson
Walbert Urena
ATH vs PIT 09:40 EDT EST J.T. Ginn
Jared Jones
CHC vs COL 08:05 EDT EST Shota Imanaga
Michael Lorenzen
CIN vs NYM 07:10 EDT EST Chase Burns
Tobias Myers
DET @HOU 08:10 EDT EST Troy Melton
Kai-Wei Teng
KC @WAS 06:45 EDT EST Mitch Spence
Andrew Alvarez
LAD vs TB 10:10 EDT EST Eric Lauer
Nick Martinez
MIA @PHI 06:40 EDT EST Ryan Gusto
Zack Wheeler
MIN @TEX 08:05 EDT EST
MacKenzie Gore
SD @STL 07:45 EDT EST Lucas Giolito
Dustin May
Matchup Time
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