Outlook Brandon Young
Brandon Young solidifies his rotation spot and finds his groove behind back-to-back quality starts
Young has secured his place as a key starter in Baltimore's rotation, especially with several rotation injuries to Zach Eflin, Dean Kremer, and Cade Povich. Over his last 30 days, the righty has posted a 3.02 ERA across 26.8 innings to keep the fourth-place Orioles competitive in the division. His recent success is highlighted by improved fastball dominance and a crucial splitter adjustment.
Young's 4.21 ERA this season represents a massive leap forward from last year's 6.45 mark, though a 1.43 WHIP hints at some underlying traffic trouble. Still, our models project a rest-of-season 4.50 ERA accompanied by excellent strikeout upside with 85 strikeouts in our projection. His improved splitter grip makes these recent steps forward look sustainable rather than a fluke.
Young makes one start this week on Wednesday at home against George Kirby and the Mariners. Our weekly projection expects a quality performance of 6.1 innings with 4.6 strikeouts and a 3.55 ERA, making this a highly favorable matchup against a beatable Seattle rotation opponent. Start him with confidence in most formats.
Updated 2 days ago
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Outlook Seth Lugo
Seth Lugo looks to steady the ship for the Royals despite recent ratio struggles.
Seth Lugo continues to serve as the staff anchor for the fourth-place Royals, who enter the week riding a two-game winning streak with a 27-39 record. While Lugo reached a milestone with his 1,000th career strikeout in May, his recent form has been rocky, posting a 5.12 ERA and 1.35 WHIP over his last 30 days. He remains locked into the front of Kansas City's rotation, especially with rotation mate Cole Ragans currently sidelined on the injured list.
Despite his recent struggles, our models remain optimistic about a rest-of-season bounce-back. Lugo’s 5.12 ERA over his last five starts is a clear outlier compared to his projected rest-of-season 3.96 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. Given his track record of eating innings and maintaining solid control, expect his ratios to gravitate back toward his career norms as a reliable mid-rotation stabilizer.
Lugo is scheduled for a single home start on Wednesday against the Rangers. He will square off against MacKenzie Gore, who enters with a 4.23 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Though Texas can be dangerous, Lugo's ability to limit walks and go deep into games makes him a viable option this week. Start.
Updated 2 days ago
