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Connelly Early or Brandon Young

Who Should I Start? - Week 13 • Start New
Connelly Early

Connelly Early

SPBoston Red Sox BOS
Brandon Young

Brandon Young

SPBaltimore Orioles BAL
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Early over Young

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Connelly Early

Shoring Up a Depleted Red Sox Rotation, Connelly Early Lines Up for a Lucrative Two-Start Week

The 24-year-old rookie has been outstanding lately, riding a strong month where he registered a 3.49 ERA and an impressive 1.12 WHIP over his last four starts. Although the Red Sox reside in the AL East cellar with a 27-36 record, Early's role as the fifth starter is completely secure. Boston's rotation has been utterly devastated by injuries, with key arms like Garrett Crochet and Johan Oviedo currently sidelined on the injured list.

Our models expect Early to sustain this solid run, projecting a 3.72 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over his remaining 58.0 innings. This projection aligns closely with his 3.34 ERA across 12 major league starts this season. Because he maintains a healthy strikeout rate of nearly one per inning, Early has shown that his run of fantasy utility is a sustainable reality rather than a flash in the pan.

Early is lined up for a valuable two-start week, beginning today on the road against a beatable Rays lineup and Ian Seymour, who struggles with a 5.65 ERA. He concludes the week at home against Texas in a tougher duel with Jacob deGrom. Given the excellent first matchup and double-dose of volume, he is a recommended option to lock into lineups as a Two-Start Stream.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Connelly Early
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Young over Early

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Brandon Young

Brandon Young solidifies his rotation spot and finds his groove behind back-to-back quality starts

Young has secured his place as a key starter in Baltimore's rotation, especially with several rotation injuries to Zach Eflin, Dean Kremer, and Cade Povich. Over his last 30 days, the righty has posted a 3.02 ERA across 26.8 innings to keep the fourth-place Orioles competitive in the division. His recent success is highlighted by improved fastball dominance and a crucial splitter adjustment.

Young's 4.21 ERA this season represents a massive leap forward from last year's 6.45 mark, though a 1.43 WHIP hints at some underlying traffic trouble. Still, our models project a rest-of-season 4.50 ERA accompanied by excellent strikeout upside with 85 strikeouts in our projection. His improved splitter grip makes these recent steps forward look sustainable rather than a fluke.

Young makes one start this week on Wednesday at home against George Kirby and the Mariners. Our weekly projection expects a quality performance of 6.1 innings with 4.6 strikeouts and a 3.55 ERA, making this a highly favorable matchup against a beatable Seattle rotation opponent. Start him with confidence in most formats.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Brandon Young
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Performance Connelly Early
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.290-100642.141
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.181-2001981.353
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Brandon Young
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.431-000401.151
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.461-0001111.152
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Connelly Early
OWN
77%
-5.39 compared to last week
START
42%
-22.4 compared to last week
OWN/START Brandon Young
OWN
23%
+13.22 compared to last week
START
20%
+15.4 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Connelly Early
54th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Brandon Young
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Connelly Early

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 55th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 31st.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • He is doing much better than most people thought he would.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 75 in WHIP and is currently ranked 65th with 1.22
  • Top 75 in ERA and is currently ranked 53rd with 3.46
  • Top 35 in walks and is currently ranked 34th with 21
  • Top 75 in strikeouts and is currently ranked 70th with 59
  • Top 25 in wins and is currently ranked 23rd with 5
  • Top 100 in innings pitched and is currently ranked 78th with 61.2
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +5, L: +4, WHIP: +1.23, ERA: +3.3, K's: +69, Walks: +27
Breakdown Brandon Young

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 87th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 130th in WHIP with 1.50
  • Currently ranked 109th in ERA with 4.71
  • Top 100 in walks and is currently ranked 95th with 15
  • Currently ranked 103rd in wins with 3
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 2.6 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +4, L: EVEN, WHIP: -0.887, ERA: -2.375, K's: +28, Walks: +9
Next Up Health Check
Injury Connelly Early

No Injury Reported

Injury Brandon Young

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Connelly Early
DateOpponentResult
Jun 08@TBCasey LeguminaL 3-1
Jun 09@TBNick MartinezL 4-3
Jun 10@TBDrew Rasmussen
Jun 12VS TEXJack Leiter
Jun 13VS TEXJacob deGrom
Jun 14VS TEXNathan Eovaldi
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.611-1001451.252
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Brandon Young
DateOpponentResult
Jun 08VS SEAEmerson HancockL 3-6
Jun 09VS SEAJose A. FerrerL 5-6
Jun 10VS SEAGeorge Kirby
Jun 11VS SEABryan Woo
Jun 12VS SDGriffin Canning
Jun 13VS SDRandy Vasquez
Jun 14VS SDWalker Buehler
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Connelly Early
10.98
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Brandon Young
7.51
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Connelly Early
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 BOS 5 23.0 401 35 5 0 1-3 3.13 1.22 13.7 49
2026 BOS 13 71.0 1180 69 27 0 5-4 3.3 1.23 8.8 162
ON PACE 32 177 2940 171 67 0 12-9 3.3 1.23 8.8 402
3-YEAR AVG 5 22 401 35 5 0 1-3 3.13 1.22 13.7 49
Career 18 91.2 1581 104 32 0 0-0 3.34 1.25 10.2
Career Brandon Young
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 BAL 12 57.2 940 47 22 0 1-7 6.24 1.54 7.3 54
2026 BAL 9 47.0 777 37 17 0 4-1 4.21 1.43 7.1 107
ON PACE 21 112 1851 88 40 0 9-2 4.21 1.43 7.1 255
3-YEAR AVG 12 56 940 47 22 0 1-7 6.24 1.54 7.3 54
Career 21 104.2 1717 84 39 0 0-0 5.33 1.49 7.2
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @MIA 06:40 EDT EST Ryne Nelson
Ryan Gusto
ATH vs MIL 09:05 EDT EST Jack Perkins
Brandon Sproat
ATL @CHW 07:40 EDT EST Chris Sale
Davis Martin
BAL vs SEA 06:35 EDT EST Brandon Young
George Kirby
BOS @TB 01:10 EDT EST Jake Bennett
Drew Rasmussen
CHC @COL 08:40 EDT EST Shota Imanaga
Michael Lorenzen
CIN @SD 04:10 EDT EST Brady Singer
Michael King
CLE vs NYY 01:10 EDT EST Parker Messick
Carlos Rodon
DET vs MIN 06:40 EDT EST Framber Valdez
Mike Paredes
HOU @LAA 09:38 EDT EST Peter Lambert
Reid Detmers
KC vs TEX 07:40 EDT EST Seth Lugo
MacKenzie Gore
LAD @PIT 06:40 EDT EST Shohei Ohtani
Jared Jones
NYM vs STL 07:10 EDT EST Austin Warren
Andre Pallante
PHI @TOR 07:07 EDT EST Jesus Luzardo
Max Scherzer
SF vs WAS 03:45 EDT EST Robbie Ray
Foster Griffin
Matchup Time
NY vs SA 8:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled