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Dustin May or Payton Tolle

Who Should I Start? - Week 13 • Start New
Dustin May

Dustin May

SPSt. Louis Cardinals STL
Payton Tolle

Payton Tolle

SPBoston Red Sox BOS
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting May over Tolle

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Dustin May

Dustin May finds his groove in the Cardinals' rotation as a high-strikeout asset

Dustin May has been spectacular over the last two weeks, racking up 18 strikeouts with a 2.95 ERA and a microscopic 0.74 WHIP across 12.2 innings. He is firmly established as a mid-rotation staple for the second-place Cardinals, who are cruising on a four-game win streak. May has fully moved past early-season bumps and looks highly comfortable in St. Louis.

This recent stretch is incredibly encouraging when compared to his overall 4.67 ERA on the season. Our models expect some regression toward a 4.21 ERA and 1.28 WHIP over the rest of the year, but his elite raw stuff means he can sustain high strikeout rates. Trust his talent, as his underlying command indicates this hot streak is largely genuine.

Looking ahead, May is set for a single-start week on June 9 against the Mets on the road, matching up against a tough starter in Freddy Peralta. Even in a difficult matchup, our projection expects a strong 7.2 innings of work with 6.7 strikeouts and a 2.79 ERA. He remains a must-insert option in your lineups. Verdict: Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Dustin May
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Tolle over May

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Payton Tolle

Rookie Sensation Payton Tolle Ready to Anchor Boston’s Rotation with a Highly Anticipated Two-Start Week

Tolle has been excellent over his last 30 days, posting a 3.08 ERA and 28 strikeouts across 29.2 innings to help a fifth-place Boston squad (27-36) stay competitive. With rotation mates like Garrett Crochet and Tanner Houck on the injured list, the young southpaw has officially stepped forward as the staff anchor. He continues to run hot, yielding just a 1.76 ERA over his last two turns.

While our models project Tolle for a 4.00 ERA and 1.24 WHIP rest-of-season, his stellar 2.72 ERA and 1.01 WHIP across 46.4 innings this year prove his high-strikeout upside is here to stay. A recent spike to a 1.57 WHIP over his last two starts suggests minor regression is possible, but his excellent 3.92 strikeout-to-walk ratio keeps his floor high.

Fantasy managers get a major boost this week as Tolle is a two-start pitcher, beginning Tuesday against Tampa Bay's Nick Martinez (2.29 ERA) before hosting Texas and Nathan Eovaldi (4.10 ERA) on Sunday. Our models project 11.1 strikeouts and a 2.64 ERA over 11.0 innings, making him an easy option to lock into lineups. Verdict: Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Payton Tolle
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Performance Dustin May
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-000610.831
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.411-0001531.072
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Payton Tolle
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
6.000-100311.671
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.331-1001551.603
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Dustin May
OWN
44%
+10.47 compared to last week
START
27%
+8.5 compared to last week
OWN/START Payton Tolle
OWN
84%
+1.07 compared to last week
START
63%
-9.14 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Dustin May
90th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Payton Tolle
24th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Dustin May

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 90th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 23rd.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • He is performing amazing in the past 30 days. If he can keep it up, then keep him. . otherwise think trade.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 35 in WHIP and is currently ranked 35th with 1.10
  • Top 35 in ERA and is currently ranked 35th with 2.93
  • Top 75 in walks and is currently ranked 75th with 17
  • Top 100 in strikeouts and is currently ranked 79th with 59
  • Top 75 in wins and is currently ranked 63rd with 4
  • Top 50 in innings pitched and is currently ranked 46th with 65.1
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 3.4 PPG. If you don't have the confidence he can keep it up, then trade him for a sure thing.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +1, L: +2, WHIP: -0.068, ERA: -0.294, K's: +2, Walks: -6
Breakdown Payton Tolle

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 25th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 44th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • He should be doing much better than this. You might be able to get him now for a discount.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 35 in WHIP and is currently ranked 33rd with 1.09
  • Top 50 in ERA and is currently ranked 39th with 3.09
  • Top 75 in wins and is currently ranked 72nd with 3
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 1.6 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +3, L: +3, WHIP: +1.07, ERA: +3.05, K's: +54, Walks: +14
Next Up Health Check
Injury Dustin May

No Injury Reported

Injury Payton Tolle

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Dustin May
DateOpponentResult
Jun 09@NYMDustin MayW 0-7
Jun 10@NYMAustin Warren
Jun 11@NYMChristian Scott
Jun 12@MINJoe Ryan
Jun 13@MINConnor Prielipp
Jun 14@MINTaj Bradley
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-000610.831
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Payton Tolle
DateOpponentResult
Jun 08@TBCasey LeguminaL 3-1
Jun 09@TBNick MartinezL 4-3
Jun 10@TBDrew Rasmussen
Jun 12VS TEXJack Leiter
Jun 13VS TEXJacob deGrom
Jun 14VS TEXNathan Eovaldi
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
5.730-200711.552
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Dustin May
10.43
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Payton Tolle
10.74
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Dustin May
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2019 LAD 16 38.0 613 33 6 0 2-3 3.55 1.11 7.8 72
2020 LAD 19 64.1 1058 57 22 0 4-1 2.94 1.2 8 153
2021 LAD 5 23.0 368 35 6 0 1-1 2.74 0.96 13.7 69
2022 LAD 6 30.0 474 29 14 0 2-3 4.8 1.2 8.7 53
2023 LAD 9 48.0 736 34 16 0 4-1 2.63 0.94 6.4 121
2025 LAD 25 130.0 2169 123 56 0 7-11 5.05 1.45 8.5 231
2026 STL 13 72.2 1150 66 20 0 4-6 4.21 1.25 8.2 146
ON PACE 32 183 2910 167 50 0 10-15 4.21 1.25 8.2 369
3-YEAR AVG 11 59 968 52 24 0 4-4 4.35 1.3 7.8 117
Career 93 401.1 6568 377 140 0 0-0 4.04 1.25 8.5
Career Payton Tolle
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 BOS 8 16.2 311 19 8 0 0-1 5.94 1.56 10.3 23
2026 BOS 9 53.1 782 54 14 0 3-3 3.04 1.07 9.1 129
ON PACE 22 133 1948 134 34 0 7-7 3.04 1.07 9.1 321
3-YEAR AVG 8 16 311 19 8 0 0-1 5.94 1.56 10.3 23
Career 17 70.0 1093 73 22 0 0-0 3.73 1.19 9.4
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RECENT DECISIONS

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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @MIA 01:10 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Tyler Phillips
ATL @CHW 07:40 EDT EST Martin Perez
Anthony Kay
BAL vs SEA 07:05 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Bryan Woo
CHC @COL 03:10 EDT EST Edward Cabrera
Ryan Feltner
DET vs MIN 01:10 EDT EST Keider Montero
Zebby Matthews
KC vs TEX 02:10 EDT EST Michael Wacha
Kumar Rocker
LAD @PIT 06:40 EDT EST Justin Wrobleski
Mitch Keller
NYM vs STL 01:10 EDT EST Christian Scott
Hunter Dobbins
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
VGK @CAR 8:00 PM EST