Outlook Trevor Rogers
Trevor Rogers shows signs of life ahead of a promising two-start week.
After a brutal stretch, Rogers delivered a stellar bounce-back outing on June 4, tossing 5.2 innings of one-run ball. Despite a rough 8.76 ERA over his last 30 days, his recent 1.73 ERA over the last week offers hope. The fourth-place Orioles (31-35) desperately need him to step up as their staff anchor with rotation mates Zach Eflin and Dean Kremer currently sidelined on the injured list.
While Rogers' current 6.58 ERA and 1.58 WHIP through 11 starts look disastrous compared to his elite 1.84 ERA from 2025, our models expect significant positive regression. His underlying stuff remains intact, and a bloated .337 BABIP has fueled much of his misfortune. Our season projections point toward a much friendlier 3.69 ERA and 1.24 WHIP, suggesting his recent slide is an anomaly.
Fantasy managers have a golden opportunity to capitalize on a two-start week. Rogers is scheduled to start at home against Seattle's Logan Gilbert, followed by a Sunday matchup against San Diego's Walker Buehler. Our weekly projection expects 12.0 innings with 7.1 strikeouts, and despite a projected 4.95 ERA for the week, the double-dip volume makes him an enticing option. Verdict: Two-Start Stream.
Updated 2 days ago
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Injuries Cloud Season-Long Playing Time and Draft Value for Díaz
Aledmys Díaz enters the season facing significant uphill battles regarding health and guaranteed playing time. Now on the injured list with a severe calf strain, the veteran infielder has no firm timeline for a return to a rebuilding Oakland squad. Prior to his injury, he was projected to slot in as a primary bench option and utility infielder behind the team's younger infield core. At 33 years old, his defensive versatility remains his primary path to the field, but physical durability has increasingly limited his ability to secure a consistent role.
When healthy, our models project Díaz to receive a modest 225 at-bats, yielding around five home runs, 23 runs, and 24 RBI. Historically a contact-oriented hitter, his projected .239 batting average and .290 on-base percentage reflect substantial degradation from his prime career numbers. Díaz is virtually a non-factor in the speed department, with our data projecting just one stolen base over his limited action. Fantasy managers should view his offensive profile as a batting average risk with minimal power upside, making him highly dependent on volume that may never materialize.
Given his current injury status and backup role on a projected bottom-tier team, Díaz does not warrant a selection in standard mixed-league drafts. His path to fantasy relevance requires both a full recovery and multiple injuries ahead of him on the depth chart. He should be left on the waiver wire in all but the deepest AL-only formats where utility depth is at an absolute premium.
Updated 2 days ago
