JACKSONVILLE, FL - NOVEMBER 27: Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (8) throws a pass during the game between the Baltimore Ravens and the Jacksonville Jaguars on November 27, 2022 at TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville, Fl. (Photo by David Rosenblum/Icon Sportswire)
Jackson was a monumental disappointment against Arizona, but I am going to overlook that performance and concentrate on his matchup with Seattle. He will be needed to do way more against a competitive Seahawks team at home. With the Dallas/Philadelphia game garnering a ton of attention, Jackson might see much less rostership than expected.
It’s hard to run on Philadelphia, but you can certainly throw on them. The sportsbooks have Dak with a 248.5 passing yards prop, but I think they are underestimating how much Dallas will need Dak to play well to compete. He could be the slate breaker.
This game might turn out to be a blowout, but if it does, there’s a good chance that Carr threw at least two TDs. Las Vegas has Carr -121 to throw over 1.5 passing TDs. This is a great sign that he should have a solid, if not spectacular, game.
Aidan O’Connell, Raiders
I really like his upside, and at a minimum price you can stack the rest of your lineup. If he scores 20 points, you have a great chance to win. If you are feeling really lucky, stack him with Jacobs and Adams and get 90% of all the Raiders' offensive points.
New Orleans needs to start separating themselves from Atlanta, and this week at home against Chicago is the perfect way to start doing that. The Bears have let up 48 catches to opposing RBs, which is right up Kamara’s alley. Am I worried about Taysom Hill? Yes. Am I worried about a potential blowout? Yes. But I think the chance of Kamara having a huge week outweighs those potential negatives.
The Raiders are going to keep their offense simple: run it with Jacobs and throw it to Adams. They always seem to play better at home, and I wonder if the Giants are going to be a disaster with Daniel Jones at QB. Jacobs seems like a lock for 25+ touches, and I think he will be rostered less than most of the top RBs on the slate.
Houston’s run defense has been surprisingly stout, but White’s fantasy value is really in how well he catches the ball out of the backfield. I’m hoping that he can get five catches for 40-50 yards and maybe run for another 30. If he can find the end zone, we are looking at a potential 18-point week.
Let me blow you away with some numbers from the Eagles' defense against WRs: 134 receptions allowed (worst in the league), 1,528 receiving yards allowed (worst in the league), 12 receiving TDs (second-worst in the league). It seems too chalky for Lamb to have success, but I don’t care. I am playing him and think he might be the best play of the week.
No one is happier to see Josh McDaniels leave town than Adams. The last time O’Connell was the starting QB, Adams was targeted a ton, and I expect that will happen against New York. A lot of people will assume the worst with the Raiders, but I am a glass-half-full kind of fantasy expert. I think Adams has 10 catches for 100+ yards and a TD.
Nico Colins, Texans
Collins was a major disappointment in Week 8, but I would say the same about the entire Houston Texans team. They are back home in a winnable matchup against a team that likes to play a ton of zone coverage. Even better is that Tampa lets up close to 9.0 YPT, which should lead to some bigger plays for Collins.
He’s pretty expensive on both sites and I am a little worried about Jaren Hall’s ability to handle a pass rush, but there is no better security blanket for new QBs than tight ends, and Hockenson is one of the best in the league. Add to that the fact that the Falcons have let up the fifth-most receptions to opposing tight ends, making Hockenson the best spend-up player at the position
Darren Waller has been ruled out and Bellinger showed some promise last season as a receiver. If the Giants make it to the red zone, I can see them faking a handoff to Saquon and throwing the short TD to Bellinger.
He was a DNP in practice on Thursday, but if he ends up being active the Rams are the worst team against opposing tight ends in the league. If he is unable to go, keep an eye on rookie Tucker Kraft, who will likely get the start and play two-thirds of the snaps.
