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33
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Aaron Jones Sr. or Seth McGowan

Who Should I Start? - Week 9 • Start New
Aaron Jones Sr.

Aaron Jones Sr.

RB • Minnesota Vikings MIN
Seth McGowan

Seth McGowan

RB • Indianapolis Colts IND
OR
EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Jones Sr. over McGowan

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Jones Sr. ... 24%

BOTH ... 4%

PROJECTION
FPTS: 14.31
RUSH ATT RUSH YD RUSH TD REC REC YD REC TD FPTS
16.4 69.13 0.3 2.81 16.47 0.02 14.31
No projection for today.
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Outlook Aaron Jones Sr.

Aaron Jones Sr. vs BUF — Shared Backfield Lowers Weekly Ceiling

Jones is fully cleared from his knee issue and leads Minnesota's backfield, but his recent workload has tapered off significantly. After battling an MCL sprain and seeing Jordan Mason re-enter the rotation, Jones logged just 13 carries over his last two games. Furthermore, with quarterback Kyler Murray sidelined by a hamstring injury, backup Carson Wentz starts, likely limiting total offensive scoring against Buffalo.

Fantasy managers have grown wary, letting Jones's start rate slide down to 27%. Our weekly projection anticipates a modest bounce back to roughly 11 carries for 46 rushing yards and a couple of catches, yielding around 8 to 10 fantasy points. Given the split touches and potential negative script as underdogs, Jones profiles best as a matchup-dependent flex option.

FantasySP AI Analysis Updated 1 hr ago
Latest News Aaron Jones Sr.
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EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting McGowan over Jones Sr.

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

McGowan ... 0%

BOTH ... 4%

PROJECTION
FPTS: 4.55
RUSH ATT RUSH YD RUSH TD REC REC YD REC TD FPTS
6.94 31.66 0 0.65 2.03 0 4.55
No projection for today.
Please login to view these stats.
Learn More
Outlook Seth McGowan

Seth McGowan vs. Dallas — Clear Backup Running Back Stash in High-Scoring Matchup

McGowan functions as the direct backup behind Jonathan Taylor in the Colts' backfield. Fantasy managers have taken notice of his insurance value, pushing his roster rate above 53% in recent weeks, though his on-field role remains limited after logging 16 carries for 75 rushing yards across his last two appearances.

Even in a projected high-scoring contest against the Cowboys, our projections estimate a modest line of 7 carries and 32 rushing yards, yielding roughly 4.5 fantasy points. Started in just 2% of leagues, McGowan lacks weekly standalone value and is best reserved on benches as an upside stash.

FantasySP AI Analysis Updated 1 hr ago
Latest News Seth McGowan
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Next Up ❱ Performance Comparison
Performance Aaron Jones Sr.
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
5224.402180
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
13483.703180
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Seth McGowan
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
5295.80000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
16754.70120
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up ❱ Redzone Touches
Redzone Touches Aaron Jones Sr.
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 GB 🔓 🔓 🔓
2 @CHI 🔓 🔓 🔓
3 @TB 🔓 🔓 🔓
4 MIA 🔓 🔓 🔓
5 @NO 🔓 🔓 🔓
7 BYE 🔓 🔓 🔓
8 IND 🔓 🔓 🔓

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Redzone Touches Seth McGowan
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 BAL 🔓 🔓 🔓
2 @KC 🔓 🔓 🔓
3 HOU 🔓 🔓 🔓
4 @WAS 🔓 🔓 🔓
5 @PIT 🔓 🔓 🔓
6 TEN 🔓 🔓 🔓
7 @MIN 🔓 🔓 🔓
8 @JAC 🔓 🔓 🔓

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Next Up ❱ Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Aaron Jones Sr.
OWN
94%
-2.67 compared to last week
START
27%
-10.06 compared to last week
OWN/START Seth McGowan
OWN
54%
+9.82 compared to last week
START
 
2%
+1.14 compared to last week
Next Up ❱ Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Aaron Jones Sr.
35th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Seth McGowan
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up ❱ Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Aaron Jones Sr.

    Overview

  • Just about every team utilizies the dreaded 'running backs by comittee' policy. Two solid #1 starters are hard to find.
  • Experts rank this player at 35th among RB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 23rd with 64.80 total points (9.26 avg).
  • Currently 97 points behind the leader: Jahmyr Gibbs
  • He is doing a better than most people thought he would.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 6.

    • Receiving Stats

  • Top 25 in receptions and is currently ranked 24th among RB.
  • Top 25 in targets and is currently ranked 21st among RB.
  • Top 50 in Rec TDs with 0 and is currently ranked 46th among RB.
  • Top 15 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 14th among RB.

    • Rushing Stats

  • Top 20 in rush attempts with 110 (15.71 per game) and is currently ranked 17th among RB.
  • Top 20 in rush yards with 458 (65.43 per game) and is currently ranked 16th among RB.
  • Top 35 in rush tds with 2 (0.29 per game) and is currently ranked 30th among RB.

    • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 4 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Rush Yards: +397, Rush AVG: +0.8 Rush TDs: +2, Receptions: +10, Rec Yards: +31 Rec TDs: -1,
  • His touches per game on the ground are great.

    • Season Outlook

  • RUSH ATT: 175, RUSH YDS: 700, RUSH TDS: 8, REC: 25, REC YDS: 150, REC TDS: 2
Breakdown Seth McGowan

    Overview

  • Just about every team utilizies the dreaded 'running backs by comittee' policy. Two solid #1 starters are hard to find.
  • Experts don't even rank him among RB's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 68th with 17.50 total points (2.19 avg).
  • Currently 144.3 points behind the leader: Jahmyr Gibbs
  • Average points in the past two weeks have increased by 1.7 PPG.

    • Receiving Stats

  • Top 75 in receptions, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 72nd among RB.
  • Top 100 in targets, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 76th among RB.
  • Top 100 in Rec TDs with 0, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 99th among RB.
  • Ranked 108th in targets and is currently among RB.
  • Ranked 116th in targets and is currently among RB.

    • Rushing Stats

  • Top 50 in rush yards with 163 (20.38 per game) and is currently ranked 44th among RB.
  • He is top 100 in rush tds with 0 (0.00 per game), though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 92nd among RB.

    • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 8 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Rush Yards: +163, Rush AVG: +4.4 Rush TDs: EVEN, Receptions: +4, Rec Yards: +12 Rec TDs: EVEN,
  • He is not getting enough touches to make a significant impact on the ground
  • You do realize that this guy has no rushing touchdowns right?

    • Season Outlook

  • RUSH ATT: 140, RUSH YDS: 575, RUSH TDS: 6, REC: 20, REC YDS: 125, REC TDS: 1
Next Up ❱ Health Check
Injury Aaron Jones Sr.

No Injury Reported

Injury Seth McGowan

No Injury Reported

Next Up ❱ Matchup Comparison
Matchups Aaron Jones Sr.

Week 9
Minnesota Vikings VS Buffalo Bills

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
25.86366.43941503.86
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 20th among DST's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 25th with 33.00 total points (4.71 avg).
  • Currently 45 points behind the leader: Buccaneers DST
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have increased by 9.3 PPG. That is great, but how long can he perform at this level? If you don"t have the confidence he can keep it up, then trade him for a sure thing.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 8 in rush defense with 682 (97.43 per game) and is currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Ranked 21st in pass defense with 1883 (269.00 per game).
  • Top 20 in points against with 25.86 per game and currently ranked 19th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 22nd in Total TDs with 0 (0.00 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +156.07, Turnovers: -3 Sacks: -15, INTs: EVEN, TDs: EVEN, Points Allowed: +6.13,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 41, INT: 15, TDS: 4, PA/G: 22.8, YDS/G: 311.4
Matchups Seth McGowan

Week 9
Indianapolis Colts VS Dallas Cowboys

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
26.63396.88631502.58
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 13th among DST's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 29th with 24.00 total points (3.00 avg).
  • Currently 54 points behind the leader: Buccaneers DST
  • He has been under achieving. Look for him to bounce back.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have increased by 3 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 32nd in rush defense with 1222 (152.75 per game).
  • Ranked 28th in pass defense with 1953 (244.13 per game).
  • One of the worst in points against with 26.63 per game and currently ranked 29th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 28th in Total TDs with 0 (0.00 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -22.25, Turnovers: -1 Sacks: EVEN, INTs: -1, TDs: -1, Points Allowed: -4.62,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 36, INT: 9, TDS: 3, PA/G: 31.9, YDS/G: 400.6
Next Up ❱ Ratings Comparison
Rating Aaron Jones Sr.
16.86
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Seth McGowan
6.40
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up ❱ Career Comparison
Career Aaron Jones Sr.
RUSH RECEIVING
YEAR TEAM GP ATT YD AVG TD TGTS REC YD AVG TD
2017 GB 10 81 448 5.5 4 18 9 22 2.4 0
2018 GB 12 133 729 5.5 8 35 26 206 7.9 1
2019 GB 16 236 1084 4.6 16 69 49 474 9.7 3
2020 GB 14 201 1104 5.5 9 63 47 355 7.6 2
2021 GB 15 171 799 4.7 4 65 52 391 7.5 6
2022 GB 16 213 1121 5.3 2 72 59 395 6.7 5
2023 GB 11 142 656 4.6 2 43 30 233 7.8 1
2024 MIN 16 255 1138 4.5 5 62 51 408 8.0 2
2025 MIN 13 141 589 4.2 2 45 31 215 6.9 1
2026 MIN 7 110 458 4.2 2 21 15 90 6.0 0
ON PACE 17 267 1112 4.2 5 51 36 219 6.0 0
3-YEAR AVG 15 197 886 4.5 4 54 40 296 7.5 1
Totals 137 1755 8526 4.9 58 514 381 2843 7.5 21
Career Seth McGowan
RUSH RECEIVING
YEAR TEAM GP ATT YD AVG TD TGTS REC YD AVG TD
2026 IND 8 37 163 4.4 0 5 4 12 3.0 0
ON PACE 17 79 346 4.4 0 11 9 26 3.0 0
3-YEAR AVG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Totals 8 37 163 4.4 0 5 4 12 3.0 0
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Matchups

Week 9
ARI @SEA
ATL vs CIN
BAL vs JAC
BUF @MIN
CAR vs DEN
CHI vs TB
CLE @NO
DAL @IND
DET @MIA
GB @NE
HOU @LAC
KC vs NYJ
LAR @WAS
LV @SF
NYG @PHI
PIT vs BYE
TEN vs BYE
Matchup Time Pitchers
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
ATL vs BKN 7:30 PM EST
CLE vs NY 8:00 PM EST
DEN @IND 5:00 PM EST
GS vs ORL 8:30 PM EST
HOU @PHO 9:00 PM EST
OKC vs WAS 8:00 PM EST
POR vs SA 10:00 PM EST
Matchup Time
CAR vs CHI 8:00 PM EST
COL vs DET 9:00 PM EST
DAL vs SJ 8:00 PM EST
EDM vs VAN 10:00 PM EST
FLA @WAS 12:30 PM EST
LA vs PIT 9:00 PM EST
MIN vs TB 8:00 PM EST
MON @TOR 7:00 PM EST
NJ @NYI 7:00 PM EST
NSH vs STL 1:00 PM EST
NYR @SEA 5:00 PM EST
OTT vs UTA 7:00 PM EST