Outlook Brandon Pfaadt
Brandon Pfaadt is flashing improved efficiency and control while stabilizing a battered Diamondbacks rotation
Pfaadt has been sharp over his last 14 days, posting a 1.78 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP across two starts. He has stepped up for a second-place Arizona squad that currently sits at 49-47 and is riding a four-game win streak. With rotation anchors Zac Gallen and Michael Soroka both on the injured list, Pfaadt's role as a primary starter in the rotation is more critical than ever for the Diamondbacks.
While the recent 1.78 ERA is encouraging, it stands in stark contrast to his 5.28 season ERA and 1.39 WHIP. His career marks suggest he is more of a mid-rotation arm who can be prone to the long ball and elevated ratios. Our models expect some regression toward his career baseline, though his recent strikeout-to-walk ratio suggests he is finding a better rhythm with his secondary offerings and limiting free passes.
Looking at the week ahead, Arizona hosts a three-game series against the Cardinals. However, having just pitched on July 11 where he dominated the Dodgers early, Pfaadt is not currently scheduled for another turn before this scoring period concludes on July 19. Given our projection shows no remaining starts for the week, he is a safe bench option in most fantasy formats for the next few days. Sit.
Updated 1 day ago
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Outlook Dustin May
Dustin May seeks to regain form for the Cardinals following a recent injury scare and ratio struggles
Dustin May has endured a difficult run, posting a 7.50 ERA and 2.02 WHIP over his last three starts. Despite a scare involving a right ankle contusion in early July, he managed to avoid the injured list and remains the number three starter for a third-place Cardinals squad currently sitting at 50-45. His most recent outing showed better run prevention, but four walks in four innings highlight ongoing command issues that have limited his efficiency.
While his 11.25 ERA over the past month is jarring, our models expect significant positive regression toward his projected season-long 4.21 ERA. May’s career stats highlight his immense upside, including a complete game shutout earlier this summer, though his current 2.31 WHIP over the last 30 days suggests he is significantly underperforming. If he can trim his walk rate back toward our projected baseline of 1.28 WHIP, he remains a valuable rotation piece.
The Cardinals head to Arizona for a three-game weekend series, but May remains a risky fantasy play until he stabilizes his ratios. Without a quality start in his last four appearances, managers should exercise caution against a Diamondbacks lineup that punishes erratic control. Given his recent lack of efficiency and the high volume of traffic he has allowed on the basepaths, he is a difficult option to trust in most formats this week. Sit.
Updated 1 day ago
