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Brandon Valenzuela or Tyler Stephenson

Who Should I Start? - Week 18 • Start New
Brandon Valenzuela

Brandon Valenzuela

CToronto Blue Jays TOR
Tyler Stephenson

Tyler Stephenson

CCincinnati Reds CIN
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Valenzuela over Stephenson

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Brandon Valenzuela

Brandon Valenzuela snaps recent slump but remains limited by backup role and light schedule

Valenzuela recently broke out of an 0-for-18 slump, hitting .375 over his last two appearances, though he has struggled with a .200 average over the last month. He remains the primary backup catcher for a fifth-place Blue Jays squad currently sitting at 45-51 in the AL East. While his highlight reel includes multiple walk-off hits this season, he continues to slot in behind Alejandro Kirk in the catching hierarchy.

While his recent cold stretch is concerning, his overall season marks of seven home runs and a .322 on-base percentage reflect the promise that saw him graduate from the top prospect list earlier this summer. The significant uptick in strikeouts lately—14 in his last 35 at-bats—suggests he is still adjusting to major league pitching, but his season-long performance indicates his power is legitimate for the position.

Toronto has a light schedule this week with only three games on the slate, all coming at home against the White Sox starting on Friday. Given the limited volume and his role as a backup, Valenzuela is only projected for roughly nine at-bats and will likely see only one or two starts. With fewer opportunities to provide counting stats compared to everyday starters, he is not a viable play this week. Sit.

Updated 4 days ago

Latest News Brandon Valenzuela
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Stephenson over Valenzuela

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Tyler Stephenson

Tyler Stephenson provides a steady bat heading into a favorable weekend in Colorado

Stephenson has been a consistent source of contact lately, posting a .304 batting average over the last 14 days and an even more impressive .327 mark over the past month. The fifth-place Reds currently sit at 43-52 and continue to rely on him as their everyday starter behind the plate and a primary middle-of-the-order threat. While the team is dealing with several injuries to key players like Matt McLain and Nick Lodolo, our data confirms Stephenson’s role is secure.

Under the hood, the recent batting average surge is a significant jump from his current .238 season mark and our projection of .237. While the contact is elite right now, his power has leveled off with just one home run over his last 52 at-bats. Given his career history of fluctuations in average, fantasy managers should expect some regression toward his baseline, though his ability to limit strikeouts recently makes this a higher-floor stretch than usual.

The week concludes with a very attractive three-game road series at hitter-friendly Coors Field against the Rockies. Cincinnati only has three games remaining on the schedule this week, but playing in the thin mountain air against a struggling Colorado pitching staff provides a massive ceiling for Stephenson to rediscover his power stroke. With high-upside matchups in the best hitting environment in baseball, he remains a locked-in option. Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Tyler Stephenson
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Performance Brandon Valenzuela
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.250111.2500.62502
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.250123.2500.43805
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Tyler Stephenson
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.222000.2220.22203
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.333000.3330.33307
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Brandon Valenzuela
OWN
 
3%
-2.08 compared to last week
START
 
2%
+0.2 compared to last week
OWN/START Tyler Stephenson
OWN
 
5%
-0.25 compared to last week
START
 
3%
-0.04 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Brandon Valenzuela
34th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Tyler Stephenson
30th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Brandon Valenzuela

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 34th among C's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 26th.
  • The current leader among C's is Hunter Goodman
  • He is putting up better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • In the past two weeks he has had an awful lot of time off. Either he isn't an every day player or he is coming back from an injury of some sort. I suggest checking out his news page to get a closer look.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 180th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.304
  • Ranked 209th in batting average with 0.247
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 178th with 0.327
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 248th with 0.392
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 222nd with 0.719
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 498th with 1
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 390th in RBI with 10
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 411th in runs scored with 9
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.241, OBP: +0.322, HRs: +7, RBI: +20, Runs: +19, Wlks: +20, Stls: +1,
Breakdown Tyler Stephenson

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 31st among C's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 19th.
  • The current leader among C's is Hunter Goodman
  • He is doing a better than most people thought he would.
  • In the past two weeks he has had an awful lot of time off. Either he isn't an every day player or he is coming back from an injury of some sort. I suggest checking out his news page to get a closer look.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Top 75 in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.365 and is currently ranked 55th
  • Top 75 in batting average with 0.293 and is currently ranked 69th
  • Top 100 on base percentage and is currently ranked 89th with 0.359
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 184th with 0.422
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 139th with 0.782
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 342nd in RBI with 12
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 364th in runs scored with 11
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: EVEN, OBP: +0.001, HRs: -1, RBI: -5, Runs: -6, Wlks: +4, Stls: EVEN,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Brandon Valenzuela

No Injury Reported

Injury Tyler Stephenson

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Brandon Valenzuela
DateOpponentResult
Jul 17VS CHWTyler SchweitzerL 4-12
Jul 18VS CHWDavis Martin
Jul 19VS CHWSean Burke
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.286111.2860.71402
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Tyler Stephenson
DateOpponentResult
Jul 17@COLBrady SingerW 2-7
Jul 18@COLTomoyuki Sugano
Jul 19@COLRyan Feltner
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.308002.3080.46204
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Brandon Valenzuela
2.92
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Tyler Stephenson
5.81
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Brandon Valenzuela
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2026 TOR 55 40 8 20 21 1 20 .241 .321 .422 139
ON PACE 91 66 13 33 35 1 33 .241 .321 .422 232
3-YEAR AVG . . . 0
Career 55 40 8 20 21 1 20 .241 .321 .422
Career Tyler Stephenson
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2020 CIN 8 5 2 4 6 0 2 .294 .400 .647 19
2021 CIN 124 99 10 54 44 0 38 .286 .361 .434 337
2022 CIN 47 53 6 24 35 1 12 .319 .372 .482 153
2023 CIN 135 114 13 58 56 0 47 .246 .320 .381 338
2024 CIN 134 116 19 69 66 1 46 .253 .331 .441 402
2025 CIN 89 70 13 39 52 0 34 .231 .312 .422 223
2026 CIN 72 55 6 18 24 0 28 .238 .320 .359 159
ON PACE 121 92 10 30 40 0 47 .238 .320 .359 268
3-YEAR AVG 119 100 15 55 58 0 42 .245 .322 .414 321
Career 609 512 69 266 283 2 207 .258 .334 .419
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs STL 04:10 EDT EST Brandon Pfaadt
Dustin May
ATH vs WAS 10:05 EDT EST J.T. Ginn
Zack Littell
ATL vs TEX 04:10 EDT EST Owen Murphy
MacKenzie Gore
BAL @HOU 04:10 EDT EST Trevor Rogers
Spencer Arrighetti
BOS vs TB 04:10 EDT EST Patrick Sandoval
Ian Seymour
CHC vs MIN 02:20 EDT EST Matthew Boyd
Taj Bradley
CHW @TOR 03:07 EDT EST Davis Martin
Shane Bieber
CIN @COL 03:10 EDT EST Rhett Lowder
Tomoyuki Sugano
CLE vs PIT 01:10 EDT EST Gavin Williams
Jared Jones
DET @LAA 10:07 EDT EST Tarik Skubal
Grayson Rodriguez
KC vs SD 04:10 EDT EST Randy Dobnak
Griffin Canning
LAD @NYY 08:08 EDT EST Emmet Sheehan
Ryan Weathers
MIA @MIL 04:10 EDT EST Max Meyer
Shane Drohan
NYM @PHI 04:05 EDT EST Sean Manaea
Jesus Luzardo
SEA vs SF 08:08 EDT EST Bryan Woo
Logan Webb
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
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