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JJ Bleday or Kyle Karros

Who Should I Start? - Week 18 • Start New
JJ Bleday

JJ Bleday

LFCincinnati Reds CIN
Kyle Karros

Kyle Karros

3BColorado Rockies COL
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Bleday over Karros

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook JJ Bleday

JJ Bleday finds his power stroke again heading into a favorable weekend in Colorado

Bleday has rebounded nicely from a mid-season slump, slashing .286/.375/.714 with two home runs over his last seven days. He remains the everyday left fielder for a fifth-place Reds squad currently sitting at 43-52 and looking to snap a two-game losing streak. Despite various team injuries to the outfield depth, Bleday’s role as a primary run producer in the corner remains undisputed as he continues a career-best campaign.

While his .179 average over the last 30 days was a significant dip, his season-long performance of 16 homers and a .848 OPS across 67 games confirms this breakout is legitimate. Our models project him to add nearly 10 more home runs to his total through the rest of the season, putting him on a path to easily clear his previous career high. His improved walk rate this year suggests a more mature approach that should help stabilize his production even when the power isn't peaking.

The Reds finish the week with a three-game series at Colorado, the most hitter-friendly environment in the majors. With three games remaining at high altitude, our data projects Bleday to be a significant contributor in power and counting stats. Given the venue and his recent resurgence—highlighted by a 1.089 OPS over the last week—he is a priority play for managers looking for an offensive spark. Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News JJ Bleday
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Karros over Bleday

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Kyle Karros

Kyle Karros is surging in Colorado as a high-upside power source at third base

Karros has been one of the hottest hitters in baseball over the last 30 days, slashing .315/.412/.671 with six home runs and 15 RBI in 24 games. As the everyday third baseman for a fifth-place Rockies squad currently sitting at 39-59, he has solidified his spot in the middle of the order and shown impressive growth in his second big-league season. His recent highlights include a go-ahead knock on July 11 and a pair of three-run homers earlier in the month, anchoring a lineup missing veteran Kris Bryant.

While his career stats originally suggested a more modest .266 hitter with moderate power, his recent 1.083 OPS over the last month hints at a significant breakout. Our data shows he is far exceeding his earlier projections for power and on-base ability, and while a slight regression from his .315 mark is likely once his BABIP stabilizes, his .388 on-base percentage over the last 14 days remains elite. The consistent quality of contact and his role as a daily starter make this more than just a passing fluke.

The week ahead features a three-game home stand against a Cincinnati pitching staff that offers very favorable matchups for right-handed power. Karros will face Brady Singer (4.72 ERA) and Rhett Lowder (5.08 ERA) before a high-upside matchup against Hunter Greene, who enters with a 6.97 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP. Our models project Karros to maintain a high average near .312 with significant RBI potential through the weekend. Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Kyle Karros
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Performance JJ Bleday
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.300123.4170.60003
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.281366.3950.56319
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Kyle Karros
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.083112.0830.33303
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.231385.3020.513010
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START JJ Bleday
OWN
54%
+12.98 compared to last week
START
51%
+17.03 compared to last week
OWN/START Kyle Karros
OWN
44%
+2.93 compared to last week
START
41%
+4.52 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus JJ Bleday
38th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Kyle Karros
32nd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown JJ Bleday

    Overview

  • He is eligible to play multiple positions including: LF DH . However, he plays LF most often.
  • Experts rank this player at 38th among OF's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 25th.
  • The current leader among OF's is James Wood
  • He is doing better than most people thought he would.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 397th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.228
  • Ranked 331st in batting average with 0.213
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 209th with 0.320
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 205th with 0.416
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 201st with 0.736
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 332nd with 3
  • Top 100 in walks and is currently ranked 76th with 26
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 163rd in RBI with 24
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 210th in runs scored with 23
  • Top 100 in HRs and is currently ranked 82nd with 10
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.3 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.051, OBP: +0.064, HRs: +8, RBI: +21, Runs: +5, Wlks: +11, Stls: +3,
Breakdown Kyle Karros

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 33rd among 3B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 3rd.
  • The current leader among 3B's is Junior Caminero
  • He is doing much better than most people thought he would. Can he keep this up?
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Top 100 in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.339 and is currently ranked 98th
  • Top 50 in batting average with 0.303 and is currently ranked 45th
  • Top 50 on base percentage and is currently ranked 41st with 0.387
  • Top 25 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 23rd with 0.559
  • Top 35 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 26th with 0.946
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 237th with 1
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 172nd in RBI with 25
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 113th in runs scored with 29
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 1.6 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.266, OBP: +0.364, HRs: +9, RBI: +35, Runs: +47, Wlks: +40, Stls: +3,
Next Up Health Check
Injury JJ Bleday

No Injury Reported

Injury Kyle Karros

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups JJ Bleday
DateOpponentResult
Jul 17@COLBrady SingerW 2-7
Jul 18@COLTomoyuki Sugano
Jul 19@COLRyan Feltner
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.250001.4550.25003
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Kyle Karros
DateOpponentResult
Jul 17VS CINBrady SingerL 2-7
Jul 18VS CINRhett Lowder
Jul 19VS CINHunter Greene
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.250013.2500.25004
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating JJ Bleday
9.53
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Kyle Karros
9.51
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career JJ Bleday
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2022 MIA 53 30 5 17 13 4 24 .172 .279 .328 109
2023 OAK 81 50 10 35 27 5 42 .195 .310 .355 214
2024 OAK 156 139 20 74 60 2 65 .243 .322 .437 484
2025 ATH 95 64 14 47 39 1 34 .208 .287 .401 249
2026 CIN 68 59 16 36 43 4 40 .243 .354 .494 258
ON PACE 114 99 27 60 72 6 67 .243 .354 .494 435
3-YEAR AVG 111 84 15 52 42 3 47 .223 .310 .409 316
Career 453 342 65 209 182 16 205 .220 .313 .413
Career Kyle Karros
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2025 COL 42 31 1 20 9 0 15 .226 .312 .277 83
2026 COL 92 74 9 48 35 3 40 .262 .360 .436 275
ON PACE 150 121 14 78 57 4 65 .262 .360 .436 450
3-YEAR AVG 42 31 1 20 9 0 15 .226 .312 .277 83
Career 134 105 10 68 44 3 55 .251 .344 .384
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Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
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ARI vs STL 04:10 EDT EST Brandon Pfaadt
Dustin May
ATH vs WAS 10:05 EDT EST J.T. Ginn
Zack Littell
ATL vs TEX 04:10 EDT EST Owen Murphy
MacKenzie Gore
BAL @HOU 04:10 EDT EST Trevor Rogers
Spencer Arrighetti
BOS vs TB 04:10 EDT EST Patrick Sandoval
Ian Seymour
CHC vs MIN 02:20 EDT EST Matthew Boyd
Taj Bradley
CHW @TOR 03:07 EDT EST Davis Martin
Shane Bieber
CIN @COL 03:10 EDT EST Rhett Lowder
Tomoyuki Sugano
CLE vs PIT 01:10 EDT EST Gavin Williams
Jared Jones
DET @LAA 10:07 EDT EST Tarik Skubal
Grayson Rodriguez
KC vs SD 04:10 EDT EST Randy Dobnak
Griffin Canning
LAD @NYY 08:08 EDT EST Emmet Sheehan
Ryan Weathers
MIA @MIL 04:10 EDT EST Max Meyer
Shane Drohan
NYM @PHI 04:05 EDT EST Sean Manaea
Jesus Luzardo
SEA vs SF 08:08 EDT EST Bryan Woo
Logan Webb
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Matchup Time
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