Outlook JJ Bleday
JJ Bleday finds his power stroke again heading into a favorable weekend in Colorado
Bleday has rebounded nicely from a mid-season slump, slashing .286/.375/.714 with two home runs over his last seven days. He remains the everyday left fielder for a fifth-place Reds squad currently sitting at 43-52 and looking to snap a two-game losing streak. Despite various team injuries to the outfield depth, Bleday’s role as a primary run producer in the corner remains undisputed as he continues a career-best campaign.
While his .179 average over the last 30 days was a significant dip, his season-long performance of 16 homers and a .848 OPS across 67 games confirms this breakout is legitimate. Our models project him to add nearly 10 more home runs to his total through the rest of the season, putting him on a path to easily clear his previous career high. His improved walk rate this year suggests a more mature approach that should help stabilize his production even when the power isn't peaking.
The Reds finish the week with a three-game series at Colorado, the most hitter-friendly environment in the majors. With three games remaining at high altitude, our data projects Bleday to be a significant contributor in power and counting stats. Given the venue and his recent resurgence—highlighted by a 1.089 OPS over the last week—he is a priority play for managers looking for an offensive spark. Start.
Updated 1 day ago
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Outlook Kyle Karros
Kyle Karros is surging in Colorado as a high-upside power source at third base
Karros has been one of the hottest hitters in baseball over the last 30 days, slashing .315/.412/.671 with six home runs and 15 RBI in 24 games. As the everyday third baseman for a fifth-place Rockies squad currently sitting at 39-59, he has solidified his spot in the middle of the order and shown impressive growth in his second big-league season. His recent highlights include a go-ahead knock on July 11 and a pair of three-run homers earlier in the month, anchoring a lineup missing veteran Kris Bryant.
While his career stats originally suggested a more modest .266 hitter with moderate power, his recent 1.083 OPS over the last month hints at a significant breakout. Our data shows he is far exceeding his earlier projections for power and on-base ability, and while a slight regression from his .315 mark is likely once his BABIP stabilizes, his .388 on-base percentage over the last 14 days remains elite. The consistent quality of contact and his role as a daily starter make this more than just a passing fluke.
The week ahead features a three-game home stand against a Cincinnati pitching staff that offers very favorable matchups for right-handed power. Karros will face Brady Singer (4.72 ERA) and Rhett Lowder (5.08 ERA) before a high-upside matchup against Hunter Greene, who enters with a 6.97 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP. Our models project Karros to maintain a high average near .312 with significant RBI potential through the weekend. Start.
Updated 1 day ago

