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Trevor Rogers or Shane Drohan

Who Should I Start? - Week 18 • Start New
Trevor Rogers

Trevor Rogers

SPBaltimore Orioles BAL
Shane Drohan

Shane Drohan

RPMilwaukee Brewers MIL
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Rogers over Drohan

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Trevor Rogers

Trevor Rogers re-emerges as a fantasy ace during a dominant mid-summer stretch

Rogers is in the midst of a spectacular mid-season turnaround, posting a microscopic 0.75 ERA and 0.91 WHIP over his last four starts. The fourth-place Orioles (46-51) are currently riding a four-game win streak and desperately need this production given the season-ending injuries to starters Chris Bassitt and Zach Eflin. As the staff anchor at the top of the rotation, Rogers has completely reclaimed his role as a high-end fantasy starter.

While his 4.64 season ERA still bears the scars of a rocky spring, his recent metrics are beginning to align with his elite 2025 campaign where he maintained a 1.84 ERA. Our models projected a 3.69 ERA for the season, and his current underlying stats suggest he is finally regressing toward that favorable baseline after overcoming early-season mechanical issues. With his velocity and command both trending upward, this month-long hot streak appears to be a sustainable return to form.

The Orioles travel to Houston for a three-game weekend series starting July 17, and although Rogers is not currently the confirmed probable starter for those specific dates, he is a mandatory lineup lock whenever he takes the mound. Having delivered seven consecutive quality starts, he has moved past his early-season struggles to become a reliable ratio-stabilizer. Keep him active as the cornerstone of your rotation for the second half of the year. Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Trevor Rogers
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Drohan over Rogers

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Shane Drohan

Shane Drohan emerges as a reliable rotation fill-in for the first-place Brewers

Drohan has been sharp recently, posting a 2.98 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over his last two outings covering 12.1 innings. Despite his official designation in long relief, he has transitioned into a starting role for a Milwaukee squad that leads the NL Central with a 59-37 record. He is currently providing much-needed stability to the rotation with several key arms like Brandon Woodruff and Kyle Harrison sidelined on the injured list.

His performance over the last 30 days, highlighted by a 2.39 ERA and 23 strikeouts, is significantly outperforming our original season projection of a 4.24 ERA. While his career 1.25 WHIP suggests he may occasionally struggle with traffic, his ability to limit damage has been impressive. Given his career 3.21 ERA across 67.2 innings, this recent stretch looks more like a young pitcher finding his rhythm than a total fluke, though some slight regression toward a 3.50 ERA is likely.

The Brewers conclude the week with a three-game home series against the Marlins starting Friday. Following a heavy 83-pitch workload in his most recent start where he threw 6.1 innings, Drohan is not currently scheduled to take the mound again before this scoring period ends on July 19th. While he has been excellent for fantasy managers lately, he won't provide any volume for the remainder of this week. Sit.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Shane Drohan
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Performance Trevor Rogers
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.500-000421.171
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Shane Drohan
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.430-100600.821
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.981-100821.072
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Trevor Rogers
OWN
72%
+0.03 compared to last week
START
39%
-4.08 compared to last week
OWN/START Shane Drohan
OWN
37%
-3.58 compared to last week
START
23%
-7.88 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Trevor Rogers
66th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Shane Drohan
92nd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Trevor Rogers

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 66th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 53rd.
  • The current leader among SP's is Zack Wheeler
  • He is doing better than most people thought he would.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 75 in WHIP and is currently ranked 60th with 1.21
  • Top 75 in ERA and is currently ranked 68th with 3.84
  • Top 50 in walks and is currently ranked 50th with 18
  • Top 75 in wins and is currently ranked 54th with 4
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 2.4 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +4, L: +6, WHIP: +0.479, ERA: +2.998, K's: +37, Walks: +21
Breakdown Shane Drohan

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 93rd among RP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 42nd.
  • The current leader among RP's is Zack Wheeler
  • He is performing amazing in the past 30 days. Will he keep it up?
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 114th in wins with 3
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 2.5 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +4, L: +3, WHIP: +1.25, ERA: +3.21, K's: +67, Walks: +20
Next Up Health Check
Injury Trevor Rogers

No Injury Reported

Injury Shane Drohan

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Trevor Rogers
DateOpponentResult
Jul 17@HOUCam SandersW 2-3
Jul 18@HOUSpencer Arrighetti
Jul 19@HOUHunter Brown
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Shane Drohan
DateOpponentResult
Jul 17VS MIACraig YohoW 2-1
Jul 18VS MIAMax Meyer
Jul 19VS MIAEury Perez
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Trevor Rogers
10.10
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Shane Drohan
8.72
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Trevor Rogers
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2020 MIA 7 25.2 525 35 9 0 1-2 7.36 1.71 12.3 44
2021 MIA 24 128.0 2084 152 43 0 7-8 2.74 1.16 10.7 317
2022 MIA 20 94.0 1737 92 43 0 4-10 5.65 1.55 8.8 124
2023 MIA 4 18.0 330 19 6 0 1-2 4.5 1.22 9.5 33
2024 MIA 25 122.0 2243 97 56 0 2-11 5.02 1.61 7.2 144
2025 BAL 18 109.2 1627 103 29 0 9-3 1.81 0.9 8.5 325
2026 BAL 17 88.0 1502 69 31 0 6-7 4.6 1.34 7.1 162
ON PACE 28 146 2482 114 51 0 9-11 4.6 1.34 7.1 267
3-YEAR AVG 16 82 1400 73 30 0 4-5 3.56 1.26 7.9 167
Career 115 580.2 10048 567 217 0 0-0 4.08 1.33 8.8
Career Shane Drohan
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2026 MIL 19 67.2 1093 67 20 1 4-3 3.19 1.24 8.9 160
ON PACE 31 113 1825 111 33 1 6-5 3.19 1.24 8.9 267
3-YEAR AVG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0-0 NAN NAN NAN 0
Career 19 67.2 1093 67 20 0 0-0 3.19 1.24 8.9
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RECENT DECISIONS

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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs STL 04:10 EDT EST Brandon Pfaadt
Dustin May
ATH vs WAS 10:05 EDT EST J.T. Ginn
Zack Littell
ATL vs TEX 04:10 EDT EST Owen Murphy
MacKenzie Gore
BAL @HOU 04:10 EDT EST Trevor Rogers
Spencer Arrighetti
BOS vs TB 04:10 EDT EST Patrick Sandoval
Ian Seymour
CHC vs MIN 02:20 EDT EST Matthew Boyd
Taj Bradley
CHW @TOR 03:07 EDT EST Davis Martin
Shane Bieber
CIN @COL 03:10 EDT EST Rhett Lowder
Tomoyuki Sugano
CLE vs PIT 01:10 EDT EST Gavin Williams
Jared Jones
DET @LAA 10:07 EDT EST Tarik Skubal
Grayson Rodriguez
KC vs SD 04:10 EDT EST Randy Dobnak
Griffin Canning
LAD @NYY 08:08 EDT EST Emmet Sheehan
Ryan Weathers
MIA @MIL 04:10 EDT EST Max Meyer
Shane Drohan
NYM @PHI 04:05 EDT EST Sean Manaea
Jesus Luzardo
SEA vs SF 08:08 EDT EST Bryan Woo
Logan Webb
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled