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BOT 5 • Q • • NBC LIVE

Mick Abel or Troy Melton

Who Should I Start? - Week 15 • Start New
Mick Abel

Mick Abel

SPMinnesota Twins MIN
Troy Melton

Troy Melton

SPDetroit Tigers DET
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Abel over Melton

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Mick Abel

Mick Abel Shines in Rehab as Return to Twins Rotation Nears

Mick Abel has been sidelined since April 20 with an elbow injury, but he is trending toward a return after a stellar Triple-A rehab start on June 10 where he tossed three scoreless innings with five strikeouts. His return will boost the third-place Twins (35-40), who are riding a three-game win streak. Abel is scheduled for a bullpen session this Saturday before making another rehab start next week.

Before the injury, Abel posted a 4.03 ERA and an impressive 10.30 K/9 rate over four starts. Our models project a 4.60 ERA and 1.41 WHIP with 90 strikeouts over 88 innings for the rest of the season. His high strikeout rate is sustainable, though he must improve his control after walking 10 batters in 20.1 early innings.

Because Abel is still building up pitch count in the minors, he will not be active for the remaining games of this week's schedule against the Rangers and Diamondbacks. Keep him stashed on your injured list, but keep him benched for now. Verdict: Sit.

Updated 3 days ago

Latest News Mick Abel
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Melton over Abel

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Troy Melton

Back tightness clouds immediate outlook for Detroit's surging young starter

Melton has been stellar over his last 30 days, posting a brilliant 2.86 ERA and a tidy 1.03 WHIP across 25.2 innings. However, his momentum for the fourth-place Tigers has been halted after he was scratched from his June 15 start due to back tightness. He remains questionable, putting his current role as the number three starter in Detroit's rotation on ice.

Before the injury, Melton was easily outpacing our season projection of a 3.69 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. His elite run prevention lately aligns with the promise he showed last season, when he logged a solid 3.34 ERA over 51.2 innings. While his low walk rate is sustainable, his modest strikeout numbers suggest he might face slight regression once he returns.

Melton is tentatively scheduled to face the division-rival White Sox on June 20, but his active back tightness makes him impossible to trust. With the Tigers likely to be cautious, there is a strong chance his turn is skipped or he is heavily limited on the mound. Fantasy managers should keep him benched until he proves his health. Verdict: Sit.

Updated 3 days ago

Latest News Troy Melton
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Performance Mick Abel
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Troy Melton
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.501-000530.671
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.092-0001031.092
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Mick Abel
OWN
35%
+10.36 compared to last week
START
 
5%
+4.73 compared to last week
OWN/START Troy Melton
OWN
51%
+4.2 compared to last week
START
41%
+15.47 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Mick Abel
84th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Troy Melton
40th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Mick Abel

    Overview

  • I couldn't find any stats of this player even playing a game in the past 60 days. This is most likely due to an injury or time in the minors.
Breakdown Troy Melton

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 40th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 85th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He is in a heck of a slump. If he is star player then he should rebound.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 15 in WHIP and is currently ranked 11th with 0.96
  • Top 20 in ERA and is currently ranked 20th with 2.60
  • Top 75 in wins and is currently ranked 53rd with 4
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +4, L: EVEN, WHIP: +0.96, ERA: +2.6, K's: +19, Walks: +9
Next Up Health Check
Injury Mick Abel

ELBOW - Since Apr 20, 2026

Abel is dealing with an elbow injury and has been placed on the 15-day injured list.
Injury Troy Melton

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Mick Abel
DateOpponentResult
Jun 15@TEXTaylor RogersW 2-4
Jun 16@TEXZebby MatthewsW 2-12
Jun 18@TEXJoe RyanW 3-9
Jun 19@ARIJonathan LoaisigaL 9-5
Jun 20@ARITaj BradleyW 8-16
Jun 21@ARIJose Cabrera
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Troy Melton
DateOpponentResult
Jun 15@HOUKyle FinneganW 3-9
Jun 16@HOUBryan KingL 4-2
Jun 17@HOUPeter LambertL 4-2
Jun 19VS CHWDrew AndersonW 4-3
Jun 20VS CHWTroy MeltonW 4-1
Jun 21VS CHWDavis Martin
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.381-000640.852
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Mick Abel
7.10
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Troy Melton
9.98
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Mick Abel
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2025 PHI 10 . . . 0
2026 MIN 4 . . . 0
ON PACE 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 . . . 0
3-YEAR AVG 3 . . . 0
Career 14 . . .
Career Troy Melton
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 DET 20 51.2 779 44 19 0 4-3 3.31 1.12 7.7 112
2026 DET 5 31.2 434 19 9 0 4-0 2.56 0.95 5.4 87
ON PACE 10 67 925 40 19 0 8-0 2.56 0.95 5.4 186
3-YEAR AVG 20 51 779 44 19 0 4-3 3.31 1.12 7.7 112
Career 25 83.1 1213 63 28 0 0-0 3.02 1.06 6.8
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs MIN 03:15 EDT EST Jose Cabrera
Mike Paredes
ATH vs LAA 04:05 EDT EST Jack Perkins
Reid Detmers
ATL vs MIL 01:35 EDT EST Bryce Elder
Robert Gasser
BAL @LAD 04:10 EDT EST Brandon Young
Emmet Sheehan
BOS @SEA 04:10 EDT EST Payton Tolle
Logan Gilbert
CHC vs TOR 02:20 EDT EST Shota Imanaga
Dylan Cease
CHW @DET 01:40 EDT EST Davis Martin
Keider Montero
CIN @NYY 01:35 EDT EST Chase Burns
Elmer Rodriguez
CLE @HOU 02:10 EDT EST Slade Cecconi
Kai-Wei Teng
COL vs PIT 03:10 EDT EST Michael Lorenzen
Jared Jones
KC vs STL 02:10 EDT EST Stephen Kolek
Dustin May
MIA vs SF 01:40 EDT EST Ryan Gusto
Logan Webb
NYM @PHI 07:20 EDT EST David Peterson
Zack Wheeler
SD @TEX 02:35 EDT EST Lucas Giolito
Nathan Eovaldi
TB vs WAS 01:40 EDT EST Nick Martinez
Andrew Alvarez
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled