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BOT 8 • Q • • NBC LIVE

Ildemaro Vargas or Lars Nootbaar

Who Should I Start? - Week 15 • Start New
Ildemaro Vargas

Ildemaro Vargas

1BArizona Diamondbacks ARI
Lars Nootbaar

Lars Nootbaar

LFSt. Louis Cardinals STL
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Vargas over Nootbaar

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Ildemaro Vargas

Slumping Vargas Looks to Break Out of Historic Funk Against Twins

After a spectacular start to the year, Ildemaro Vargas has hit a massive wall. He is completely hitless over his last 14 days, dragging his past month's average down to .097. Despite these struggles, he remains the everyday starter at first base for the third-place Diamondbacks with Carlos Santana sidelined on the 60-day injured list. Vargas is healthy after a scary early-June collision, but his bat has gone completely cold.

This brutal stretch is a shocking departure from his overall season line of a .261 average and seven home runs. Given his established career history as a reliable contact hitter, this slump is more of an extreme outlier than a permanent skill loss. While he will not repeat his historic April peak, expect his numbers to stabilize closer to his career baselines as his luck turns around.

For the remainder of the week, Arizona hosts a three-game weekend set against Minnesota. Vargas faces some beatable pitching, including Connor Prielipp and his 5.26 ERA, followed by Taj Bradley. However, until he breaks this prolonged hitless streak, you cannot put him in your lineup. He is a clear Sit.

Updated 3 days ago

Latest News Ildemaro Vargas
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Nootbaar over Vargas

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Lars Nootbaar

Lars Nootbaar is a dynamic top-of-the-order spark plug when healthy

Lars Nootbaar enters the 2026 season as the Cardinals' primary left fielder, looking to cement himself as a premier table-setter. Now in his age-28 season, Nootbaar has proven to be an elite on-base threat, though keeping his heels and body healthy has been the primary hurdle in his career. When active, his premium plate discipline secures him a high-leverage spot near the top of the St. Louis batting order, surrounded by potent run producers.

Our models project Nootbaar for a solid campaign, highlighting nearly 460 at-bats, 10 home runs, and 46 RBIs alongside seven stolen bases. While his projected .242 batting average represents a slight risk in standard leagues, his expected .331 OBP carries significant value in points and on-base percentage formats. He has shown higher upside in the past, including a .263 average in 2023, making his projection a highly attainable baseline with room for more if his power-speed blend fully clicks.

For fantasy drafts, Nootbaar represents an outstanding post-hype target. He may not offer elite, single-category dominance, but his multi-category contributions and superb plate discipline provide a very safe floor. If you can stomach the moderate health risks, Nootbaar is a high-upside outfielder who can easily outperform his draft position.

Updated 3 days ago

Latest News Lars Nootbaar
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Performance Ildemaro Vargas
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.125054.2220.18806
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.083055.2140.12509
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Lars Nootbaar
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.294013.3680.29405
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.237136.3410.342011
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Ildemaro Vargas
OWN
34%
-8.38 compared to last week
START
26%
-0.82 compared to last week
OWN/START Lars Nootbaar
OWN
18%
+2.37 compared to last week
START
12%
+1.36 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Ildemaro Vargas
34th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Lars Nootbaar
66th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Ildemaro Vargas

    Overview

  • He is eligible to play multiple positions including: 1B 2B . However, he plays 1B most often.
  • Experts rank this player at 34th among 1B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 22nd.
  • The current leader among 1B's is Nick Kurtz
  • He is doing a better than most people thought he would.
  • In the past two weeks he has had an awful lot of time off. Either he isn't an every day player or he is coming back from an injury of some sort. I suggest checking out his news page to get a closer look.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 399th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.225
  • Ranked 284th in batting average with 0.228
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 352nd with 0.275
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 310th with 0.350
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 318th with 0.625
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 609th with 1
  • Top 75 in RBI and is currently ranked 61st with 34
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 200th in runs scored with 24
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 1.5 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: -0.016, OBP: +0.024, HRs: +6, RBI: +38, Runs: +31, Wlks: +12, Stls: +1,
Breakdown Lars Nootbaar

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 67th among OF's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 138th.
  • The current leader among OF's is Juan Soto
  • He is doing dreadful lately. If he is star player then he should rebound.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Top 100 in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.333 and is currently ranked 98th
  • Ranked 137th in batting average with 0.267
  • Top 100 on base percentage and is currently ranked 81st with 0.365
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 143rd with 0.444
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 109th with 0.810
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 450th in RBI with 6
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 427th in runs scored with 8
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.038, OBP: +0.029, HRs: -7, RBI: -25, Runs: -33, Wlks: -36, Stls: -4,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Ildemaro Vargas

No Injury Reported

Injury Lars Nootbaar

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Ildemaro Vargas
DateOpponentResult
Jun 15VS LAARyne NelsonW 4-3
Jun 16VS LAAReid DetmersL 0-7
Jun 17VS LAAEduardo RodriguezW 8-1
Jun 19VS MINJonathan LoaisigaW 9-5
Jun 20VS MINTaj BradleyL 8-16
Jun 21VS MINMike Paredes
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.167053.2860.25005
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Lars Nootbaar
DateOpponentResult
Jun 15VS SDDustin MayW 3-0
Jun 16VS SDAndre PallanteW 3-2
Jun 17VS SDGriffin CanningL 1-6
Jun 18@KCNoah CameronL 14-6
Jun 19@KCSeth LugoL 6-5
Jun 21@KCStephen Kolek
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.385013.4670.38504
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Ildemaro Vargas
8.61
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Lars Nootbaar
7.24
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Ildemaro Vargas
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2017 ARI 9 4 0 4 4 0 0 .308 .308 .385 12
2018 ARI 13 4 1 2 4 1 1 .211 .250 .368 14
2019 ARI 81 54 6 25 24 1 9 .269 .299 .413 131
2020 ARI 20 10 1 5 3 0 2 .196 .222 .314 21
2021 CHC 34 12 0 7 7 1 6 .156 .217 .221 56
2022 CHC 51 46 3 14 19 3 8 .274 .311 .405 146
2023 WAS 80 65 4 29 30 1 17 .252 .296 .364 228
2024 WAS 88 67 1 21 29 9 18 .246 .290 .316 229
2025 ARI 36 31 3 12 19 0 2 .274 .291 .389 100
2026 ARI 64 62 7 35 42 1 12 .262 .299 .409 223
ON PACE 136 132 14 74 89 2 25 .262 .299 .409 476
3-YEAR AVG 68 54 3 21 26 3 12 .253 .293 .348 186
Career 476 355 26 154 181 17 75 .252 .290 .367
Career Lars Nootbaar
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2021 STL 50 26 5 13 15 1 9 .241 .297 .426 108
2022 STL 90 60 11 40 32 3 46 .227 .341 .424 260
2023 STL 115 111 14 74 46 11 71 .263 .367 .424 410
2024 STL 103 85 12 39 44 7 51 .245 .341 .418 318
2025 STL 131 119 13 68 47 4 64 .234 .325 .361 383
2026 STL 13 12 2 8 6 0 7 .267 .365 .444 41
ON PACE 28 26 4 17 13 0 15 .267 .365 .444 89
3-YEAR AVG 116 105 13 60 46 7 62 .246 .343 .397 370
Career 502 413 57 242 190 26 248 .244 .341 .405
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs MIN 03:15 EDT EST Jose Cabrera
Mike Paredes
ATH vs LAA 04:05 EDT EST Jack Perkins
Reid Detmers
ATL vs MIL 01:35 EDT EST Bryce Elder
Robert Gasser
BAL @LAD 04:10 EDT EST Brandon Young
Emmet Sheehan
BOS @SEA 04:10 EDT EST Payton Tolle
Logan Gilbert
CHC vs TOR 02:20 EDT EST Shota Imanaga
Dylan Cease
CHW @DET 01:40 EDT EST Davis Martin
Keider Montero
CIN @NYY 01:35 EDT EST Chase Burns
Elmer Rodriguez
CLE @HOU 02:10 EDT EST Slade Cecconi
Kai-Wei Teng
COL vs PIT 03:10 EDT EST Michael Lorenzen
Jared Jones
KC vs STL 02:10 EDT EST Stephen Kolek
Dustin May
MIA vs SF 01:40 EDT EST Ryan Gusto
Logan Webb
NYM @PHI 07:20 EDT EST David Peterson
Zack Wheeler
SD @TEX 02:35 EDT EST Lucas Giolito
Nathan Eovaldi
TB vs WAS 01:40 EDT EST Nick Martinez
Andrew Alvarez
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled