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Javier Assad or Kevin Kelly

Who Should I Start? - Week 14 • Start New
Javier Assad

Javier Assad

SPChicago Cubs CHC
Kevin Kelly

Kevin Kelly

RPTampa Bay Rays TB
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Assad over Kelly

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Javier Assad

Assad solidifies rotation spot with spectacular run of scoreless frames

Javier Assad has quickly pitched his way into a secure role for the Cubs. With rotation mates Jameson Taillon and Matthew Boyd sidelined on the injured list, Assad has stepped up and slots in as the number four starter in the rotation. At 28 years old, the right-hander has shown the versatility to excel both in relief and as a starter, making him an invaluable depth piece for a Chicago pitching staff currently navigating several key injuries.

Our season projections expect Assad to post a solid 3.80 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 64.0 innings of work, with roughly 75 strikeouts. These marks align nicely with his 3.88 career ERA from 2024. While he is more of a pitch-to-contact option rather than a high-strikeout force, his ability to suppress hard hits and limit walks makes him a stabilizing force for fantasy rotations needing depth in standard formats.

Ultimately, Assad represents a high-floor fantasy asset who can provide valuable innings and ratio support when the matchups are right. While he lacks the elite strikeout upside of a true fantasy ace, his secure starting role and solid defense behind him make him a highly reliable option to plug into active lineups, especially during favorable home matchups.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Javier Assad
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Kelly over Assad

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Kevin Kelly

Kevin Kelly's elite control and solidifying setup role make him a key holds target

After a difficult 2025 season where his ERA ballooned to 6.96, Kevin Kelly has bounced back in a major way for the second-place Rays, asserting himself as a vital late-inning weapon. Currently slotting in as a key setup option in Tampa Bay's bullpen, Kelly has benefited from a series of injuries to fellow relievers Edwin Uceta and Steven Wilson. This has cleared a path for consistent high-leverage opportunities, which was highlighted by a recent crucial save against the Red Sox. At 28 years old, Kelly is pitching with the confidence of a seasoned high-leverage arm.

The underlying numbers suggest Kelly's turnaround is highly sustainable. Across 27.0 innings of work this year, he has logged a sparkling 2.67 ERA and an elite 0.93 WHIP, which stands in stark contrast to our conservative season projection of a 3.89 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. The secret to his success has been pinpoint control, having walked only six batters all season. While he remains more of a groundball specialist than a pure bat-misser—averaging under a strikeout per inning—his ability to limit base runners keeps his ratios incredibly clean and protects his fantasy value.

For fantasy managers, Kelly is a highly valuable asset in leagues that reward holds, and he is a useful ratio stabilizer even in standard formats. While his lack of consistent save opportunities caps his absolute ceiling, his reliable volume and ability to protect ERA and WHIP make him a very safe floor play. He should be rostered and active in all deep and holds-leagues as he continues to play a prominent late-inning role for a winning club.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Kevin Kelly
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Performance Javier Assad
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-000510.671
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-0001020.502
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Kevin Kelly
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-000300.501
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-020610.954
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Javier Assad
OWN
20%
+18.24 compared to last week
START
13%
+12.61 compared to last week
OWN/START Kevin Kelly
OWN
30%
+3.32 compared to last week
START
29%
+2.86 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Javier Assad
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Kevin Kelly
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Javier Assad

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 114th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 75 in wins and is currently ranked 71st with 3
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 5.2 PPG. If you don't have the confidence he can keep it up, then trade him for a sure thing.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +4, L: +1, WHIP: +1.08, ERA: +4.25, K's: +24, Walks: +9
Breakdown Kevin Kelly

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among RP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 40th.
  • The current leader among RP's is Cade Smith
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 15 in WHIP and is currently ranked 11th with 0.84
  • Top 20 in ERA and is currently ranked 16th with 1.20
  • Not too impressive with strikeouts and is currently ranked 234th with 20
  • Top 100 in wins and is currently ranked 85th
  • He holds a lot of games and is currently ranked 3rd with 12
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.7 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +4, L: +2, WHIP: -0.307, ERA: -1.041, K's: +17, Walks: +4
Next Up Health Check
Injury Javier Assad

No Injury Reported

Injury Kevin Kelly

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Javier Assad
DateOpponentResult
Jun 15VS COLDaniel PalenciaW 5-4
Jun 16VS COLRyan Feltner
Jun 17VS COLSean Sullivan
Jun 19VS TORKevin Gausman
Jun 20VS TORPatrick Corbin
Jun 21VS TORDylan Cease
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Kevin Kelly
DateOpponentResult
Jun 15@LADKyle HurtL 4-3
Jun 16@LADJustin Wrobleski
Jun 17@LADShohei Ohtani
Jun 19VS WASCade Cavalli
Jun 20VS WASMiles Mikolas
Jun 21VS WASAndrew Alvarez
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Javier Assad
6.69
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Kevin Kelly
9.23
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Javier Assad
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2022 CHC 6 23.0 423 18 15 0 2-1 2.35 1.61 7 48
2023 CHC 32 107.0 1710 93 41 0 5-3 3.11 1.25 7.8 230
2024 CHC 29 142.1 2538 124 63 0 7-6 3.86 1.45 7.8 277
2025 CHC 8 37.0 567 23 12 0 4-1 3.65 1.22 5.6 81
2026 CHC 10 36.0 575 24 9 0 4-1 4.25 1.08 6 82
ON PACE 22 80 1276 53 19 0 8-2 4.25 1.08 6 182
3-YEAR AVG 23 94 1605 80 39 0 5-3 3.61 1.36 7.6 196
Career 85 343.0 5813 282 140 0 0-0 3.57 1.34 7.4
Career Kevin Kelly
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2023 TB 57 57.2 1066 56 15 2 5-2 3.75 1.2 8.7 157
2024 TB 68 61.1 1033 63 9 1 5-2 3.08 1.11 9.2 169
2025 TB 41 35.0 588 35 9 0 2-5 6.69 1.54 9 46
2026 TB 30 27.0 444 25 6 2 4-2 2.67 0.93 8.3 88
ON PACE 70 64 1042 58 14 4 9-4 2.67 0.93 8.3 206
3-YEAR AVG 55 50 896 51 11 1 4-3 4.26 1.26 9.1 124
Career 196 178.2 3131 179 39 0 0-0 3.98 1.21 9
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs LAA 03:40 EDT EST Eduardo Rodriguez
Sam Aldegheri
ATH vs PIT 09:40 EDT EST Aaron Civale
Braxton Ashcraft
ATL vs SF 07:15 EDT EST JR Ritchie
Robbie Ray
BAL @SEA 09:40 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
George Kirby
BOS vs TOR 06:45 EDT EST Jake Bennett
Max Scherzer
CHC vs COL 08:05 EDT EST Javier Assad
Sean Sullivan
CHW @NYY 07:05 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Carlos Rodon
CIN vs NYM 12:40 EDT EST Nick Lodolo
Nolan McLean
CLE @MIL 07:40 EDT EST Gavin Williams
Brandon Sproat
DET @HOU 02:10 EDT EST Casey Mize
Peter Lambert
KC @WAS 01:05 EDT EST Luinder Avila
Zack Littell
LAD vs TB 03:10 EDT EST Shohei Ohtani
Shane McClanahan
MIA @PHI 01:05 EDT EST Sandy Alcantara
Andrew Painter
SD @STL 02:15 EDT EST
Kyle Leahy
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled