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Troy Melton or Brandon Young

Who Should I Start? - Week 13 • Start New
Troy Melton

Troy Melton

SPDetroit Tigers DET
Brandon Young

Brandon Young

SPBaltimore Orioles BAL
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Melton over Young

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Troy Melton

Troy Melton's strong return stabilizes a depleted Tigers rotation, making him a viable weekly option.

Melton has settled in nicely since returning from the injured list, posting a 2.86 ERA and a stellar 1.03 WHIP over 25.2 innings in his last four starts. This stretch is highlighted by a brilliant outing on June 3rd where he tossed a career-high eight innings. His stability is crucial for the fifth-place Tigers (28-40), who are missing several key starters like Tarik Skubal and Casey Mize. Melton currently slots in as the number three starter in the rotation.

While his recent 2.86 ERA is highly encouraging, our model projects a slight regression over the rest of the season to a 3.69 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. His strikeout rate is down slightly from his 2025 mark of 7.73 K/9, but his impeccable control of only six walks in his last 25.2 innings suggests this run is sustainable as a reliable mid-rotation starter.

Melton is a two-start option this week. After earning a win against the Twins on June 9th despite allowing four runs over five innings, he is scheduled to pitch again on June 14th at the second-place Cleveland Guardians. He faces a tough matchup against Gavin Williams and his 3.32 ERA, but the two-start volume makes him a worthy play. Verdict: Start.

Updated 11 hrs ago

Latest News Troy Melton
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Young over Melton

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Brandon Young

Brandon Young's sudden dominance secures his spot in Baltimore's rotation

Young enters the campaign with a golden opportunity to cement himself as a staple in the rotation. After a rough debut season that saw him struggle with ratios, the 27-year-old right-hander has taken major leaps forward in his development. With Baltimore facing several rotation injuries to key veteran starters, Young has transitioned from a depth option into a highly reliable starter who is expected to receive plenty of run.

Our projections anticipate a solid contribution over his remaining innings, forecasting a 4.50 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP alongside 80 strikeouts. While these overall season projections represent a safe, mid-rotation baseline, they are a massive step up from his 2025 campaign where he sputtered to a 6.45 ERA. Key repertoire changes—specifically a grip adjustment on his splitter and elite fastballs that have limited opponents to a low batting average—suggest he possesses a much higher ceiling than his career stats indicate.

For fantasy managers, Young is emerging as a priority waiver target or late-round flyer who can stabilize pitching ratios. He does carry some risk of regression given his limited track record, but his current run of quality starts makes him an incredibly intriguing upside play. Treat him as a high-priority add who could easily outperform his baseline projection if his improved pitch mix holds up.

Updated 11 hrs ago

Latest News Brandon Young
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Performance Troy Melton
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
7.201-000501.601
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.152-0001131.053
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Brandon Young
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.062-000920.842
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.252-0001630.953
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Troy Melton
OWN
49%
+10.31 compared to last week
START
35%
+6.63 compared to last week
OWN/START Brandon Young
OWN
26%
+15.45 compared to last week
START
21%
+14.8 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Troy Melton
36th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Brandon Young
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Troy Melton

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 36th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 174th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • Can't be doing much worse than he is right now. Failing to live up to expectations is one thing, but playing this bad is another.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 25 in WHIP and is currently ranked 22nd with 1.03
  • Top 35 in ERA and is currently ranked 30th with 2.86
  • Top 75 in wins and is currently ranked 70th with 3
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.1 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +3, L: EVEN, WHIP: +1.03, ERA: +2.86, K's: +14, Walks: +6
Breakdown Brandon Young

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 58th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 100 in WHIP and is currently ranked 95th
  • Top 75 in ERA and is currently ranked 68th with 4.04
  • Top 100 in walks and is currently ranked 79th with 17
  • Top 75 in wins and is currently ranked 53rd with 4
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 3.1 PPG. If you don't have the confidence he can keep it up, then trade him for a sure thing.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +5, L: EVEN, WHIP: -1.007, ERA: -2.915, K's: +33, Walks: +11
Next Up Health Check
Injury Troy Melton

No Injury Reported

Injury Brandon Young

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Troy Melton
DateOpponentResult
Jun 09VS MINTroy MeltonW 10-4
Jun 10VS MINTaylor RogersL 4-6
Jun 11VS MINZebby Matthews
Jun 12@CLETanner Bibee
Jun 13@CLEJoey Cantillo
Jun 14@CLEGavin Williams
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
7.201-000501.601
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Brandon Young
DateOpponentResult
Jun 08VS SEAEmerson HancockL 3-6
Jun 09VS SEAJose A. FerrerL 5-6
Jun 10VS SEABrandon YoungW 7-2
Jun 11VS SEABryan Woo
Jun 12VS SDGriffin Canning
Jun 13VS SDRandy Vasquez
Jun 14VS SDWalker Buehler
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-000520.571
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Troy Melton
9.48
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Brandon Young
8.66
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Troy Melton
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 DET 20 51.2 779 44 19 0 4-3 3.31 1.12 7.7 112
2026 DET 4 25.2 350 14 6 0 3-0 2.81 1.01 4.9 65
ON PACE 9 61 833 33 14 0 7-0 2.81 1.01 4.9 155
3-YEAR AVG 20 51 779 44 19 0 4-3 3.31 1.12 7.7 112
Career 24 77.1 1129 58 25 0 0-0 3.14 1.09 6.8
Career Brandon Young
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 BAL 12 57.2 940 47 22 0 1-7 6.24 1.54 7.3 54
2026 BAL 10 54.0 865 42 19 0 5-1 3.67 1.31 7 132
ON PACE 23 127 2030 98 44 0 11-2 3.67 1.31 7 310
3-YEAR AVG 12 56 940 47 22 0 1-7 6.24 1.54 7.3 54
Career 22 111.2 1805 89 41 0 0-0 5 1.43 7.2
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @MIA 01:10 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Tyler Phillips
ATL @CHW 07:40 EDT EST Martin Perez
Anthony Kay
BAL vs SEA 07:05 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Bryan Woo
CHC @COL 03:10 EDT EST Edward Cabrera
Ryan Feltner
DET vs MIN 01:10 EDT EST Keider Montero
Zebby Matthews
KC vs TEX 02:10 EDT EST Michael Wacha
Kumar Rocker
LAD @PIT 06:40 EDT EST Justin Wrobleski
Mitch Keller
NYM vs STL 01:10 EDT EST Christian Scott
Hunter Dobbins
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
VGK @CAR 8:00 PM EST