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Curtis Mead or Lars Nootbaar

Who Should I Start? - Week 13 • Start New
Curtis Mead

Curtis Mead

1BWashington Nationals WAS
Lars Nootbaar

Lars Nootbaar

LFSt. Louis Cardinals STL
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Mead over Nootbaar

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Curtis Mead

Mead's Surging Power Outburst Secures Everyday Role in Washington

Curtis Mead is carving out a secure, everyday role in Washington's lineup, primarily serving as the starting third baseman while providing valuable defensive flexibility at first and second. At just 25 years old and entering his fourth big-league season, the young infielder has historically struggled with a low launch angle, but recent mechanical adjustments have unlocked a significant power surge. His development and solid defense have solidified his spot in the heart of the Nationals' batting order.

Our models project Mead for 10 home runs, 42 RBIs, and a .238/.307/.362 slash line over his remaining 80 projected at-bats. While his career average sits closer to .240, his improved plate discipline (highlighted by a projected .307 OBP) and neutral batting average profile make him a stabilizing presence rather than a risk. If he maintains his strong metrics against right-handed pitching, his run and RBI counting stats will continue to climb in a surprisingly productive Washington offense.

For fantasy managers, Mead represents an intriguing post-hype sleeper who has finally secured the volume required to be relevant in mixed leagues. He won't provide much in the speed category, but his potential to chip in double-digit home runs with dual-position eligibility makes him an excellent corner-infield target. He offers a very safe playing-time floor with room for significant ceiling if his newfound fly-ball revolution fully takes root.

Updated 11 hrs ago

Latest News Curtis Mead
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Nootbaar over Mead

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Lars Nootbaar

Lars Nootbaar’s Return Invigorates Cardinals During Hot Streak

Lars Nootbaar recently returned from the 60-day injured list to provide a crucial spark for the second-place Cardinals, who are currently riding an impressive six-game win streak. In his first five games back on the active roster, he has quickly reclaimed his everyday role in the outfield and has already contributed key hits, including a clutch, go-ahead home run.

While his initial .167 batting average over 18 at-bats reflects a predictable post-injury adjustment period, his superb plate discipline remains fully intact with four walks. Our models project him to finish with a solid .242 average, 10 home runs, and seven stolen bases, suggesting his ratios will quickly rise to meet his career standards.

The Cardinals wrap up their current road trip against Christian Scott before a weekend series in Minnesota against Joe Ryan, Connor Prielipp, and Taj Bradley. Aside from Ryan, these matchups are highly exploitable, particularly Prielipp and his inflated 5.15 ERA. Verdict: Start Nootbaar as his high-OBP leadoff profile will translate directly to runs.

Updated 11 hrs ago

Latest News Lars Nootbaar
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Performance Curtis Mead
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.238235.3330.57106
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.262398.3400.524012
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Lars Nootbaar
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.167142.3180.38905
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.167142.3180.38905
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Curtis Mead
OWN
37%
-1.14 compared to last week
START
22%
-6.15 compared to last week
OWN/START Lars Nootbaar
OWN
13%
+7.37 compared to last week
START
11%
+10.77 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Curtis Mead
27th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Lars Nootbaar
82nd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Curtis Mead

    Overview

  • He is eligible to play multiple positions including: 1B 3B . However, he plays 1B most often.
  • Experts rank this player at 28th among 1B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 20th.
  • The current leader among 1B's is Nick Kurtz
  • He is putting up better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 391st in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.234
  • Ranked 258th in batting average with 0.234
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 127th with 0.347
  • Top 100 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 88th with 0.476
  • Top 100 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 98th with 0.823
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 252nd with 2
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 183rd in RBI with 25
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 156th in runs scored with 28
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.1 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.025, OBP: +0.065, HRs: +7, RBI: +22, Runs: +24, Wlks: +18, Stls: EVEN,
Breakdown Lars Nootbaar

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 83rd among OF's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 173rd.
  • The current leader among OF's is James Wood
  • He is doing dreadful lately. If he is star player then he should rebound.
  • In the past two weeks he has had an awful lot of time off. Either he isn't an every day player or he is coming back from an injury of some sort. I suggest checking out his news page to get a closer look.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 451st in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.167
  • Ranked 429th in batting average with 0.167
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 232nd with 0.318
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 214th with 0.389
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 218th with 0.707
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 497th in RBI with 4
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 567th in runs scored with 2
  • On second thought, he hasn't played in quite enough games for me to calculate a reliable analysis for you. Expect his rating to evolve over the next few days.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: -0.066, OBP: -0.018, HRs: -7, RBI: -24, Runs: -37, Wlks: -34, Stls: -4,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Curtis Mead

No Injury Reported

Injury Lars Nootbaar

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Curtis Mead
DateOpponentResult
Jun 08@SFClayton BeeterW 3-4
Jun 09@SFBrad LordW 3-6
Jun 10@SFReiver SanmartinL 11-10
Jun 12VS SEABryce Miller
Jun 13VS SEALuis Castillo
Jun 14VS SEAEmerson Hancock
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.158233.2000.47406
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Lars Nootbaar
DateOpponentResult
Jun 09@NYMDustin MayW 0-7
Jun 10@NYMAndre PallanteW 2-9
Jun 11@NYMChristian Scott
Jun 12@MINJoe Ryan
Jun 13@MINConnor Prielipp
Jun 14@MINTaj Bradley
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.000010.1110.00002
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Curtis Mead
9.50
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Lars Nootbaar
6.87
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Curtis Mead
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2023 TB 26 23 1 12 6 0 7 .258 .327 .348 59
2024 TB 38 29 1 10 7 2 6 .238 .282 .287 70
2025 TB 86 56 3 25 18 5 15 .233 .298 .321 168
2026 WAS 54 40 10 31 29 3 24 .242 .349 .485 191
ON PACE 126 93 23 72 68 7 56 .242 .349 .485 448
3-YEAR AVG 50 36 2 16 10 2 9 .239 .299 .317 99
Career 204 148 15 78 60 10 52 .240 .313 .362
Career Lars Nootbaar
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2021 STL 50 26 5 13 15 1 9 .241 .297 .426 108
2022 STL 90 60 11 40 32 3 46 .227 .341 .424 260
2023 STL 115 111 14 74 46 11 71 .263 .367 .424 410
2024 STL 103 85 12 39 44 7 51 .245 .341 .418 318
2025 STL 131 119 13 68 47 4 64 .234 .325 .361 383
2026 STL 5 3 1 2 4 0 4 .167 .318 .389 17
ON PACE 12 7 2 4 9 0 9 .167 .318 .389 42
3-YEAR AVG 116 105 13 60 46 7 62 .246 .343 .397 370
Career 494 404 56 236 188 26 245 .242 .340 .403
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @MIA 01:10 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Tyler Phillips
ATL @CHW 07:40 EDT EST Martin Perez
Anthony Kay
BAL vs SEA 07:05 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Bryan Woo
CHC @COL 03:10 EDT EST Edward Cabrera
Ryan Feltner
DET vs MIN 01:10 EDT EST Keider Montero
Zebby Matthews
KC vs TEX 02:10 EDT EST Michael Wacha
Kumar Rocker
LAD @PIT 06:40 EDT EST Justin Wrobleski
Mitch Keller
NYM vs STL 01:10 EDT EST Christian Scott
Hunter Dobbins
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
VGK @CAR 8:00 PM EST