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Divisional Round Top Prop Bets for Texans, Chiefs Game: Kareem Hunt, C.J. Stroud, Patrick Mahomes, Joe Mixon and More

All the top prop bets for Saturday's big playoff game between the Houston Texans and Kansas City Chiefs.

Mark Morales-Smith Jan 18th 9:50 AM EST.

Jan 11, 2025; Houston, Texas, USA; -Los Angeles Chargers defensive back Deane Leonard (33) reaches for Houston Texans running back Joe Mixon (28) in the fourth quarter in an AFC wild card game at NRG Stadium. Credit: Thomas Shea-Imagn Images
Jan 11, 2025; Houston, Texas, USA; -Los Angeles Chargers defensive back Deane Leonard (33) reaches for Houston Texans running back Joe Mixon (28) in the fourth quarter in an AFC wild card game at NRG Stadium. Credit: Thomas Shea-Imagn Images

Prop #1: Kareem Hunt, Anytime TD Scorer (+170)

Hunt has always had a knack for finding the end zone throughout his career, and the Chiefs have turned to him often when down near the goal line, even when Isiah Pacheco is active and healthy. We aren't sure how healthy Pacheco is heading into this game, and even if he is, there isn't any reason to believe that they won't still trust Hunt in the red zone. We could see his carries between the 20s getting significantly limited if Pacheco is anywhere close to 100%, but Hunt should still get at least a few shots to score regardless. 

Prop #2: C.J. Stroud, Over 0.5 Interceptions (-160)

What got lost in the mix last week because of how absolutely horrendous Justin Herbert played was the fact that Stroud looked terrible as well much like he had for the majority of the season. He was making head-scratching decisions and bouncing the ball off the chest of the Chargers' defenders who didn't even seem to be covering anyone. It's hard to imagine the struggling sophomore going up to Arrowhead in January and suddenly turning things around. When these teams faced off just a few weeks ago, he was picked off twice and we expect to see similar results on Saturday. 

Prop #3: Joe Mixon, Under 76.5 Rushing Yards + Receiving Yards (-110)

It's going to be a long day for Mixon on Saturday as he goes up against the toughest defense for running backs to deal with all season. We have watched the aging running back slow down as we've gotten deeper into the season and facing the Chiefs isn't going to do him any favors. The game script also is unlikely to be in his favor with the Texans being 8.5-point underdogs on the road. This entire offense is going to struggle and Mixon will not be an exception. 

Check out the best NFL Player Prop Bets every week of the season and be sure to also use Prop Bet Rankings to compare over/unders across popular categories.

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Dec 25, 2024; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA;  Kansas City Chiefs running back Kareem Hunt (29) takes a hand-off from quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) against the Pittsburgh Steelers during the first quarter at Acrisure Stadium. Credit: Charles LeClaire-Imagn Images
Dec 25, 2024; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; Kansas City Chiefs running back Kareem Hunt (29) takes a hand-off from quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) against the Pittsburgh Steelers during the first quarter at Acrisure Stadium. Credit: Charles LeClaire-Imagn Images

Prop #4: Patrick Mahomes Over 24.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

In these big games, Mahomes has a knack for rushing more and making big plays with his legs. Whether it's getting big first downs or breaking a long run, it always seems to happen. When these teams faced off in Week 17, he rushed for 33 yards and that's about what we expect again this weekend. Last year in the playoffs, his rushing yards per game jumped to over 35 yards per game. This is just another trick he tends to pull out of his bag when it's needed in the big games. 

Prop #5: Samaje Perine, Over 10.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

This is a line that Perine hits just about every week with ease. It's confusing why this number is so low. He's topped this mark in 12 of his last 13 games and in all but one game since September. This feels like an oversite because Vegas usually isn't in the business of just giving away money. That's what they are doing here. I was so surprised I went and double-checked the injury report before finalizing this to make sure I didn't miss something. 

Prop #6: Samaje Perine, Over 1.5 Receptions (+110)

Along with the yardage, we will take the receptions for Perine as well. This isn't quite as much of a slam dunk as he is more than capable of topping this mark as he has in two of his three games, but there are a lot of one-catch games on his resume this season. Still, we like him to catch a few passes. As we get into the playoffs, the Chiefs have always liked dumping the ball off to their third-down backs a bit more in the playoffs than in the regular season. 

Prop #7: Nico Collins, Over 6.5 Receptions (+100)

This is a bet that we also made last week which hit with ease. We said that Stroud had no other option but to target Collins on a near-constant basis to have any chance of winning the game. He didn't do so early and things went awful. Once he figured out what we already knew, Collins took over and dominated the game. We don't expect Collins to have quite as much success this week when it comes to yards and TDs, however, we do expect him to see a ton of targets purely out of necessity if nothing else.  

Longshot Prop: Justin Watson 2+ TDs (+10000)

This is a long shot, but it's worth throwing a few dollars down on if you're looking to win big on a few bucks. Watson is +10000 to score two TDs. This means if you throw down $5 you'd win $500 if this bet hits. This is a wide receiver that Mahomes likes to utilize downfield and in the end zone. The Chiefs have an ambiguous WRs corps and any guy can step up and have a monster game on any given weekend. Watson scoring a couple of times is far from out of the realm of possibilities.  

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