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Josh Naylor or Otto Lopez

Who Should I Start? - Week 26 • Start New
Josh Naylor

Josh Naylor

1BSeattle Mariners SEA
Otto Lopez

Otto Lopez

SSMiami Marlins MIA
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Naylor over Lopez

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Josh Naylor

Josh Naylor offers steady contact and speed ahead of a soft schedule

Naylor continues to lock down everyday duties at first base for the third-place Mariners (67-77) after brushing off an August injury scare. Over the past 30 days, he has maintained a sturdy .307 batting average with four stolen bases, although his bat has cooled over the last two weeks to a .265 mark without a homer.

While Naylor has surprisingly morphed into a burner on the bases with 27 steals this season, his power has completely dried up relative to our 20-homer projection. With just 10 home runs on the year, fantasy managers should not expect a sudden power resurgence, but his elite contact skills and .267 season average keep his fantasy floor remarkably stable.

Seattle gets six games this week against Texas and the Athletics, featuring an appetizing slate of opposing pitching. Aside from Cal Quantrill, Naylor faces four vulnerable starters sporting ERAs over 4.40, including Jeffrey Springs (6.13 ERA) and Gage Jump (5.34 ERA). Start him with confidence across all standard formats. Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Josh Naylor
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Lopez over Naylor

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Otto Lopez

Otto Lopez brings speed floor into favorable six-game home stand

Lopez continues to anchor shortstop for an even 72-72 Marlins team staying in the wild card hunt, recently being honored with the club's Heart and Hustle Award. Over his last 14 days, he has provided solid table-setting with five stolen bases and eight runs scored despite a modest .264 batting average. With middle infield partner Xavier Edwards sidelined by an arm injury, Lopez's everyday role remains completely secure.

While his bat has cooled recently—hitting .245 over the past month—Lopez has authored a career breakout that far exceeded our original projections. Carrying a .300 batting average alongside 10 home runs and 30 steals on the year, the contact specialist has cemented his value. Late-season regression is natural after an All-Star first half, but his base-stealing volume keeps his floor exceptionally high.

Miami hosts six games this week, opening with three exploitable matchups against Mets hurlers like Sean Manaea (5.00 ERA) and Robert Stock (5.81 ERA). The weekend brings a stiff test against Dodgers aces Blake Snell and Tyler Glasnow, but Lopez's locked-in lineup spot and speed upside keep him viable across all fantasy formats. Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Otto Lopez
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Performance Josh Naylor
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.240021.2400.28016
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.222024.2390.267111
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Otto Lopez
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.222034.3000.33317
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.250158.2910.365313
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Josh Naylor
OWN
85%
-2.08 compared to last week
START
66%
-6.12 compared to last week
OWN/START Otto Lopez
OWN
98%
-0.24 compared to last week
START
91%
-2.57 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Josh Naylor
20th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Otto Lopez
7th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Josh Naylor

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 20th among 1B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 11th.
  • The current leader among 1B's is Rafael Devers
  • He is doing a better than most people thought he would.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Top 100 in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.340 and is currently ranked 91st
  • Top 75 in batting average with 0.297 and is currently ranked 54th
  • Top 100 on base percentage and is currently ranked 97th with 0.350
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 239th with 0.378
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 196th with 0.728
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 218th with 9
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 333rd in RBI with 13
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 275th in runs scored with 18
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 1.1 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: -0.019, OBP: -0.023, HRs: -9, RBI: -31, Runs: -18, Wlks: -4, Stls: +2,
Breakdown Otto Lopez

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 8th among SS's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 10th.
  • The current leader among SS's is Elly De La Cruz
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 341st in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.251
  • Ranked 295th in batting average with 0.220
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 361st with 0.271
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 399th with 0.280
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 392nd with 0.551
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 398th with 13
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 215th in RBI with 19
  • Top 100 in runs scored and is currently ranked 99th with 24
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.05, OBP: +0.025, HRs: -4, RBI: -7, Runs: +25, Wlks: -12, Stls: +17,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Josh Naylor

No Injury Reported

Injury Otto Lopez

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Josh Naylor
DateOpponentResult
Sep 08VS TEXCal QuantrillL 5-10
Sep 09VS TEXCody Bradford
Sep 10VS TEXJacob deGrom
Sep 11@ATHJeffrey Springs
Sep 12@ATHGage Jump
Sep 13@ATHJacob Lopez
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.311058.3540.365119
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Otto Lopez
DateOpponentResult
Sep 07VS NYMJonah TongL 4-9
Sep 08VS NYMSean ManaeaL 5-7
Sep 09VS NYMRobert Stock
Sep 11VS LADBlake Snell
Sep 12VS LADTyler Glasnow
Sep 13VS LAD
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.193036.2070.263215
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Josh Naylor
8.50
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Otto Lopez
10.20
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Josh Naylor
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2019 SD 92 63 8 29 31 1 24 .249 .314 .403 156
2020 SD 41 29 2 16 9 1 4 .279 .312 .413 68
2021 CLE 67 59 7 28 21 1 14 .258 .306 .406 181
2022 CLE 118 114 21 47 77 5 33 .260 .316 .463 412
2023 CLE 121 140 17 52 97 10 33 .310 .356 .491 477
2024 CLE 161 146 31 86 113 6 59 .242 .315 .444 584
2025 ARI 158 176 23 88 97 32 52 .298 .358 .471 648
2026 SEA 135 141 10 52 49 27 41 .267 .326 .362 448
ON PACE 150 157 11 58 54 30 45 .267 .326 .362 500
3-YEAR AVG 147 154 24 75 102 16 48 .281 .341 .467 570
Career 893 868 119 398 494 83 260 .272 .330 .438
Career Otto Lopez
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2021 TOR 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 0
2024 MIA 112 109 6 48 39 19 24 .270 .310 .377 338
2025 MIA 142 134 15 66 77 15 44 .246 .306 .368 477
2026 MIA 142 170 10 85 63 30 32 .299 .342 .435 549
ON PACE 157 188 11 94 69 33 35 .299 .342 .435 609
3-YEAR AVG 85 81 7 38 39 11 23 .257 .308 .372 272
Career 397 413 31 199 179 64 100 .272 .320 .395
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RECENT DECISIONS

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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @KC 07:40 EDT EST Zac Gallen
Daniel Lynch IV
ATH vs TOR 03:05 EDT EST Brady Basso
Braydon Fisher
ATL vs TB 07:15 EDT EST Reynaldo Lopez
Griffin Jax
BAL vs CLE 06:35 EDT EST Shane Baz
Foster Griffin
BOS vs LAA 06:45 EDT EST Jake Bennett
Ryan Johnson
CHC @MIL 07:40 EDT EST Kevin Gausman
Logan Henderson
CHW vs PIT 07:40 EDT EST Davis Martin
Lake Bachar
CIN @LAD 10:10 EDT EST Rhett Lowder
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
COL @NYY 07:05 EDT EST Tomoyuki Sugano
Will Warren
DET vs MIN 01:10 EDT EST Keider Montero
Zebby Matthews
HOU @PHI 06:40 EDT EST Hunter Brown
Cristopher Sanchez
MIA vs NYM 06:40 EDT EST Janson Junk
Robert Stock
SD vs WAS 04:10 EDT EST Walker Buehler
Jackson Kent
SEA vs TEX 04:10 EDT EST Kade Anderson
Cody Bradford
SF vs STL 03:45 EDT EST Blade Tidwell
Andre Pallante
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled