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Byron Buxton or Esmerlyn Valdez

Who Should I Start? - Week 19 • Start New
Byron Buxton

Byron Buxton

CFMinnesota Twins MIN
Esmerlyn Valdez

Esmerlyn Valdez

RFPittsburgh Pirates PIT
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Buxton over Valdez

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Byron Buxton

Byron Buxton returns from injury to anchor the Minnesota outfield

Buxton has been limited recently, playing in just two games over the last 14 days and recording three singles in seven at-bats while managing his lingering health concerns. The Twins currently sit in third place in the AL Central with a 50-53 record, looking to regain offensive momentum. Buxton slots in as the everyday center fielder when healthy, though the team is currently missing several key arms on the injured list like Pablo Lopez.

His .275 batting average and 25 home runs through 77 games heavily outpace our season projection of 17 homers, showcasing a massive power surge that highlights his elite offensive ceiling when on the field. While his recent quiet stretch points to typical post-injury rust rather than a skills decline, his lengthy history of lower-body issues suggests that sustaining this exact MVP-caliber power pace will require careful workload management.

The Twins are lined up for a busy week ahead, highlighted by upcoming games against Cleveland and a weekend series hosting the Athletics. Buxton will face some manageable pitching matchups, such as Jacob Lopez and his 6.91 ERA alongside Jeffrey Springs and his 6.10 ERA, giving him prime opportunities to drive the ball. Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Byron Buxton
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Valdez over Buxton

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Esmerlyn Valdez

Esmerlyn Valdez continues historic rookie tear with elite power surge

Valdez has been an absolute revelation for the Pirates over the last 14 days, slashing .286/.432/.943 with seven home runs and 17 RBIs. The Pirates currently sit in third place in the NL Central with a 53-50 record and a six-game win streak in their recent ten-game window, holding steady despite a lengthy injury list that includes Oneil Cruz and Spencer Horwitz. Valdez anchors the outfield as the everyday right fielder and is carrying the offense through an impressive rookie campaign.

His absurd recent tear, highlighted by 13 home runs across 34 total career games, easily surpasses our season projection of 20 homers. While a regression in his jaw-dropping .717 slugging percentage and .211 weekly batting average is likely given his high strikeout rate, his immense raw power is very real and makes him a must-start fantasy asset.

The Pirates face a seven-game slate this week, opening with a brief road stop against the Yankees before returning home for a three-game series against the Cubs. Valdez will face manageable pitching matchups against starters like Matthew Boyd and Jameson Taillon, who carry high ERAs above 4.00 and 5.00 respectively. With a massive seven-game volume and a red-hot bat, keep him locked into all fantasy lineups. Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Esmerlyn Valdez
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Performance Byron Buxton
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.286000.3750.28604
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.286000.3750.28604
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Esmerlyn Valdez
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.174373.3670.60907
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.2576168.3950.829010
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Byron Buxton
OWN
100%
No change since last week.
START
87%
+68.82 compared to last week
OWN/START Esmerlyn Valdez
OWN
88%
+7.35 compared to last week
START
83%
+16.9 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Byron Buxton
11th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Esmerlyn Valdez
46th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Byron Buxton

    Overview

  • He is eligible to play multiple positions including: CF DH . However, he plays CF most often.
  • Experts rank this player at 11th among OF's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 54th.
  • The current leader among OF's is Pete Crow-Armstrong
  • He is in a heck of a slump. If he is star player then he should rebound.
  • In the past two weeks he has had an awful lot of time off. Either he isn't an every day player or he is coming back from an injury of some sort. I suggest checking out his news page to get a closer look.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 161st in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.315
  • Top 100 in batting average with 0.286 and is currently ranked 85th
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 116th with 0.349
  • Top 50 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 39th with 0.541
  • Top 50 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 50th with 0.891
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 182nd with 3
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 236th in RBI with 19
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 166th in runs scored with 21
  • Top 100 in HRs and is currently ranked 77th with 9
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 2.2 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: -0.013, OBP: -0.015, HRs: +2, RBI: -14, Runs: -11, Wlks: -5, Stls: -10,
Breakdown Esmerlyn Valdez

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 46th among OF's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 51st.
  • The current leader among OF's is Pete Crow-Armstrong
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Top 25 in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.392 and is currently ranked 24th
  • Top 75 in batting average with 0.294 and is currently ranked 69th
  • Top 50 on base percentage and is currently ranked 48th with 0.384
  • Among the best in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 4th with 0.706
  • Among the best in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 6th with 1.090
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 128th in RBI with 32
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 210th in runs scored with 23
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 1.3 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.282, OBP: +0.373, HRs: +13, RBI: +34, Runs: +24, Wlks: +17, Stls: EVEN,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Byron Buxton

No Injury Reported

Injury Esmerlyn Valdez

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Byron Buxton
DateOpponentResult
Jul 20@CLETanner BibeeL 13-4
Jul 21@CLEColin HoldermanL 5-2
Jul 22@CLETravis AdamsW 6-10
Jul 23@CLETaylor RogersW 1-3
Jul 24VS ATHJacob LopezL 0-2
Jul 25VS ATHMason Barnett
Jul 26VS ATHJeffrey Springs
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.357244.4190.64317
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Esmerlyn Valdez
DateOpponentResult
Jul 20@NYYAngel ChivilliL 8-5
Jul 21@NYY
Jul 22@NYYPaul BlackburnL 2-0
Jul 22@NYYMason MontgomeryW 3-5
Jul 24VS CHCCaleb ThielbarL 2-3
Jul 25VS CHCShota Imanaga
Jul 26VS CHCJameson Taillon
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.100252.3080.40006
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Byron Buxton
12.25
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Esmerlyn Valdez
11.15
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Byron Buxton
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2015 MIN 37 27 2 16 6 2 6 .209 .250 .326 52
2016 MIN 87 67 10 44 38 8 22 .225 .280 .430 189
2017 MIN 134 117 16 69 51 28 38 .253 .314 .413 330
2018 MIN 27 14 0 8 4 5 3 .156 .183 .200 29
2019 MIN 77 71 10 46 46 13 18 .262 .312 .513 241
2020 MIN 37 33 13 19 27 3 2 .254 .267 .577 110
2021 MIN 59 69 18 47 30 9 13 .307 .361 .644 252
2022 MIN 91 76 28 61 51 6 34 .224 .306 .526 312
2023 MIN 86 63 17 49 42 9 35 .207 .293 .436 254
2024 MIN 96 99 18 60 56 6 20 .279 .335 .524 331
2025 MIN 125 129 35 96 83 23 41 .264 .327 .551 512
2026 MIN 79 87 25 57 45 7 24 .272 .332 .563 314
ON PACE 121 134 38 87 69 10 37 .272 .332 .563 484
3-YEAR AVG 102 97 23 68 60 13 32 .253 .320 .512 366
Career 935 852 192 572 479 119 256 .250 .310 .494
Career Esmerlyn Valdez
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2026 PIT 35 33 13 24 34 0 17 .282 .373 .692 140
ON PACE 54 51 20 37 52 0 26 .282 .373 .692 218
3-YEAR AVG . . . 0
Career 35 33 13 24 34 0 17 .282 .373 .692
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @WAS 04:05 EDT EST Mitch Bratt
Foster Griffin
ATH @MIN 07:10 EDT EST Mason Barnett
ATL @BAL 07:05 EDT EST Bryce Elder
Brandon Young
BOS vs TOR 04:10 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Dylan Cease
CHC @PIT 06:40 EDT EST Shota Imanaga
Paul Skenes
CHW vs HOU 07:10 EDT EST Sean Burke
Hunter Brown
CIN @STL 07:15 EDT EST Hunter Greene
Andre Pallante
CLE @TB 06:10 EDT EST Tanner Bibee
Nick Martinez
COL @MIL 07:10 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Robert Gasser
DET vs KC 01:10 EDT EST Casey Mize
Michael Wacha
LAA @SF 04:05 EDT EST Ryan Johnson
Robbie Ray
LAD @NYM 07:15 EDT EST Yoshinobu Yamamoto
Nolan McLean
MIA vs SD 04:10 EDT EST Eury Perez
JP Sears
NYY @PHI 06:05 EDT EST Ryan Weathers
SEA @TEX 07:15 EDT EST Bryan Woo
Nathan Eovaldi
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled