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Matthew Boyd or Troy Melton

Who Should I Start? - Week 19 • Start New
Matthew Boyd

Matthew Boyd

SPChicago Cubs CHC
Troy Melton

Troy Melton

SPDetroit Tigers DET
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Boyd over Melton

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Matthew Boyd

Matthew Boyd returns to the rotation as a solid mid-rotation starter for the Cubs

Matthew Boyd has delivered steady work over the last 30 days, posting a 2.64 ERA and 1.17 WHIP across 27.3 innings. The Chicago Cubs currently sit in second place in the NL Central with a 57-45 record, keeping themselves right in the thick of the postseason race. Boyd slots in as the number two starter in the rotation and has quickly re-established his value following an earlier knee surgery that sidelined him earlier in the summer.

His recent strong performance largely aligns with our baseline season projection, signaling that this is sustainable production rather than a fleeting hot streak. While his career strikeout rates and overall control suggest occasional traffic on the base paths, his 1.19 WHIP projection and steady ability to pitch deep into games provide reliable ratios for fantasy managers.

Looking at the week ahead, Boyd is lined up for a single road start on July 24 against the Pittsburgh Pirates. He will face opposing starter Jared Jones, who holds a 4.05 ERA and 1.10 WHIP, presenting a manageable matchup for the veteran left-hander. With a strong weekly projection of 15.4 fantasy points, Boyd is a recommended option to plug into active rosters this week. Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Matthew Boyd
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Melton over Boyd

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Troy Melton

Troy Melton flashing elite strikeout stuff as rotation cornerstone

Melton has been electric on the mound over his last 30 days, racking up 31 strikeouts across 22.4 innings with a sparkling 0.80 ERA and 0.80 WHIP. The right-hander slots in as the number three starter for a Detroit Tigers squad currently sitting fourth in the AL Central with a 48-54 record. Despite a brief injury scare earlier in the summer involving back tightness, he has returned to form seamlessly and anchors the middle of the rotation.

His recent dominance builds upon a strong 2026 campaign where he has posted a 1.85 ERA and a 0.90 WHIP across 53.6 innings, easily outperforming our baseline season projection of a 3.69 ERA. While a 15.58 strikeouts-per-nine-innings rate over his last seven days indicates a bit of a spike relative to his career norms, his elite velocity and swinging-strike rates suggest his stellar ratios are mostly legitimate rather than a total fluke.

Melton is lined up for a strong week ahead as he prepares to make his scheduled start at home against the Kansas City Royals. He will be opposed by Randy Dobnak, presenting a very favorable matchup against an opposing starter with limited high-level experience and a high-traffic profile. Fire him up with supreme confidence across all fantasy formats. Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Troy Melton
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Performance Matthew Boyd
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.381-000841.082
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.832-0001151.103
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Troy Melton
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.600-000541.801
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.650-0001481.672
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Matthew Boyd
OWN
81%
+7.08 compared to last week
START
65%
+13.2 compared to last week
OWN/START Troy Melton
OWN
89%
+0.1 compared to last week
START
60%
-15.93 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Matthew Boyd
69th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Troy Melton
35th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Matthew Boyd

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 69th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 82nd.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He has been under achieving. Look for him to bounce back.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 75 in WHIP and is currently ranked 59th with 1.22
  • Top 15 in ERA and is currently ranked 15th with 2.36
  • Top 50 in wins and is currently ranked 48th with 4
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 1.3 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: -5, L: -2, WHIP: +0.225, ERA: +1.602, K's: -53, Walks: -7
Breakdown Troy Melton

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 35th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 17th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He is doing much better than most people thought he would.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 20 in WHIP and is currently ranked 19th with 0.97
  • ERA is among the best in the league currently ranked 9th with 2.02
  • Top 75 in walks and is currently ranked 65th with 16
  • Top 75 in wins and is currently ranked 57th with 4
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 2.2 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +5, L: EVEN, WHIP: -0.85, ERA: -8.85, K's: +48, Walks: +17
Next Up Health Check
Injury Matthew Boyd

No Injury Reported

Injury Troy Melton

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Matthew Boyd
DateOpponentResult
Jul 20VS DETKenley JansenL 6-8
Jul 21VS DETDavid PetersonW 11-2
Jul 22VS DETKeider MonteroL 1-5
Jul 24@PITCaleb ThielbarW 2-3
Jul 25@PITPaul Skenes
Jul 26@PITBraxton Ashcraft
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.290-000431.431
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Troy Melton
DateOpponentResult
Jul 20@CHCKenley JansenW 6-8
Jul 21@CHCDavid PetersonL 11-2
Jul 22@CHCKeider MonteroW 1-5
Jul 23VS KCDrew AndersonW 4-3
Jul 24VS KCTarik SkubalW 2-1
Jul 25VS KCMichael Wacha
Jul 26VS KCLuinder Avila
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.600-000541.801
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Matthew Boyd
10.54
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Troy Melton
9.62
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Matthew Boyd
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2021 DET 15 80.1 1273 67 23 0 3-8 3.81 1.24 7.5 133
2022 SEA 10 14.0 176 12 8 0 2-0 1.29 1 7.7 38
2023 DET 15 68.2 1180 73 25 0 5-5 5.77 1.38 9.6 132
2024 CLE 11 51.1 849 60 19 0 2-2 2.28 1.13 10.5 130
2025 CHC 34 187.0 2901 163 47 0 14-9 3.22 1.13 7.8 445
2026 CHC 11 59.0 955 55 17 0 6-1 3.81 1.24 8.4 148
ON PACE 17 93 1502 86 26 0 9-1 3.81 1.24 8.4 233
3-YEAR AVG 20 102 1643 99 30 0 7-5 3.58 1.17 8.7 236
Career 96 453.1 7334 430 139 0 0-0 3.67 1.22 8.5
Career Troy Melton
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 DET 20 51.2 779 44 19 0 4-3 3.31 1.12 7.7 112
2026 DET 10 60.0 881 55 19 0 5-1 1.95 0.95 8.3 169
ON PACE 15 94 1372 85 29 0 7-1 1.95 0.95 8.3 262
3-YEAR AVG 20 51 779 44 19 0 4-3 3.31 1.12 7.7 112
Career 30 111.2 1660 99 38 0 0-0 2.58 1.03 8
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @WAS 04:05 EDT EST Mitch Bratt
Foster Griffin
ATH @MIN 07:10 EDT EST Mason Barnett
ATL @BAL 07:05 EDT EST Bryce Elder
Brandon Young
BOS vs TOR 04:10 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Dylan Cease
CHC @PIT 06:40 EDT EST Shota Imanaga
Paul Skenes
CHW vs HOU 07:10 EDT EST Sean Burke
Hunter Brown
CIN @STL 07:15 EDT EST Hunter Greene
Andre Pallante
CLE @TB 06:10 EDT EST Tanner Bibee
Nick Martinez
COL @MIL 07:10 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Robert Gasser
DET vs KC 01:10 EDT EST Casey Mize
Michael Wacha
LAA @SF 04:05 EDT EST Ryan Johnson
Robbie Ray
LAD @NYM 07:15 EDT EST Yoshinobu Yamamoto
Nolan McLean
MIA vs SD 04:10 EDT EST Eury Perez
JP Sears
NYY @PHI 06:05 EDT EST Ryan Weathers
SEA @TEX 07:15 EDT EST Bryan Woo
Nathan Eovaldi
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled