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Hunter Brown or Parker Messick

Who Should I Start? - Week 19 • Start New
Hunter Brown

Hunter Brown

SPHouston Astros HOU
Parker Messick

Parker Messick

SPCleveland Guardians CLE
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Brown over Messick

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Hunter Brown

Hunter Brown looks to rebound on the road after an inconsistent stretch

Hunter Brown has endured a bumpy stretch over his last 30 days, posting a 6.68 ERA and walking 17 batters across 20.2 innings of work. The Astros sit third in the AL West with a 50-54 record, relying heavily on Brown as their staff anchor in the rotation despite his recent control issues. His active role remains secure at the front of the Houston pitching staff.

While his recent walk totals and high ERA raise some eyebrows, Brown's season projection still calls for a strong 3.42 ERA and 220 strikeouts over 179 innings. His career numbers and underlying strikeout rates suggest that his recent struggles are a temporary bump rather than a complete regression of his baseline skill set. Patience is warranted as he works through these mechanical adjustments.

Brown is slated for a single start this week on the road against the Chicago White Sox, squaring off against Sean Burke. The White Sox matchup provides a favorable environment for Brown to rein in his command and attack hitters with confidence. Expect him to bounce back and deliver solid ratio stabilization for fantasy managers this week. Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Hunter Brown
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Messick over Brown

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Parker Messick

Parker Messick claims All-Star honors and anchors the Cleveland rotation

Messick continues to impress during his sophomore campaign, putting up solid numbers over his last 30 days with a 2.74 ERA and 25 strikeouts across 29.6 innings. The Guardians sit in second place in the AL Central with a 54-49 record and are benefiting from a strong rookie All-Star season out of their back-end starter. He occupies a key spot in the rotation as the team navigates minor injury absences on the pitching staff.

His current 2.79 ERA and 1.10 WHIP over 113.0 innings significantly outperform our baseline season projection of a 4.08 ERA and 1.30 WHIP, pointing to sustainable run-prevention skills despite some positive regression risk in the ratios. While his strikeout rate has settled at a respectable level compared to his historic minor league milestones, his overall control and ability to pitch deep into games solidify his role as a trusted fantasy option.

Messick lines up as a two-start pitcher this week for Cleveland, opening at home against Minnesota before heading on the road to face Tampa Bay. The opening matchup against the Twins features a favorable clash against Kendry Rojas, while the weekend series finale brings a tough test against Drew Rasmussen and his stellar 0.97 WHIP. Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Parker Messick
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Performance Hunter Brown
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
8.570-100462.141
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
8.570-100462.141
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Parker Messick
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.730-000600.771
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.730-000600.771
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Hunter Brown
OWN
95%
-4.02 compared to last week
START
55%
-2.82 compared to last week
OWN/START Parker Messick
OWN
99%
No change since last week.
START
55%
No change since last week.
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Hunter Brown
25th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Parker Messick
23rd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Hunter Brown

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 26th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 236th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • Can't be doing much worse than he is right now. Failing to live up to expectations is one thing, but playing this bad is another.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 149th in WHIP with 1.65
  • Currently ranked 125th in ERA with 5.39
  • Top 25 in walks and is currently ranked 22nd with 22
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 2.2 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: -8, L: -3, WHIP: +0.453, ERA: +1.463, K's: -101, Walks: -8
Breakdown Parker Messick

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 24th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 68th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He is in a heck of a slump. If he is star player then he should rebound.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 50 in WHIP and is currently ranked 39th with 1.12
  • Top 50 in ERA and is currently ranked 50th with 3.35
  • Top 75 in walks and is currently ranked 56th with 17
  • Top 100 in strikeouts and is currently ranked 99th with 46
  • Currently ranked 157th in wins with 2
  • Top 100 in innings pitched and is currently ranked 85th with 51.0
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.6 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +8, L: +5, WHIP: +1.1, ERA: +2.79, K's: +116, Walks: +36
Next Up Health Check
Injury Hunter Brown

No Injury Reported

Injury Parker Messick

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Hunter Brown
DateOpponentResult
Jul 20VS MIAEnyel De Los SantosW 8-5
Jul 21VS MIATatsuya ImaiW 5-3
Jul 22VS MIASteven OkertW 5-2
Jul 24@CHWKai-Wei TengW 5-9
Jul 25@CHWSean Burke
Jul 26@CHWErick Fedde
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Parker Messick
DateOpponentResult
Jul 20VS MINTanner BibeeW 13-4
Jul 21VS MINColin HoldermanW 5-2
Jul 22VS MINTravis AdamsL 6-10
Jul 23VS MINTaylor RogersL 1-3
Jul 24@TBShane McClanahanL 11-3
Jul 25@TBNick Martinez
Jul 26@TBDrew Rasmussen
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.591-0002231.003
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Hunter Brown
10.35
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Parker Messick
12.74
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Hunter Brown
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2022 HOU 8 22.1 324 18 9 0 2-0 0.81 1.12 7.3 61
2023 HOU 35 160.1 2830 184 56 0 11-13 5 1.37 10.3 334
2024 HOU 32 173.1 2988 188 62 0 11-9 3.48 1.27 9.8 429
2025 HOU 31 183.0 2962 206 57 0 12-9 2.46 1.04 10.1 515
2026 HOU 8 40.0 732 43 28 0 1-1 4.05 1.45 9.7 85
ON PACE 12 62 1129 66 43 0 1-1 4.05 1.45 9.7 131
3-YEAR AVG 33 172 2927 193 58 0 11-10 3.59 1.21 10 426
Career 114 574.1 9836 639 212 0 0-0 3.54 1.24 10
Career Parker Messick
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 CLE 7 39.2 625 38 6 0 3-1 2.72 1.31 8.6 101
2026 CLE 20 113.0 1823 116 36 0 8-5 2.79 1.1 9.2 290
ON PACE 30 175 2812 178 55 0 12-7 2.79 1.1 9.2 447
3-YEAR AVG 7 39 625 38 6 0 3-1 2.72 1.31 8.6 101
Career 27 152.2 2448 154 42 0 0-0 2.77 1.15 9.1
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @WAS 04:05 EDT EST Mitch Bratt
Foster Griffin
ATH @MIN 07:10 EDT EST Mason Barnett
ATL @BAL 07:05 EDT EST Bryce Elder
Brandon Young
BOS vs TOR 04:10 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Dylan Cease
CHC @PIT 06:40 EDT EST Shota Imanaga
Paul Skenes
CHW vs HOU 07:10 EDT EST Sean Burke
Hunter Brown
CIN @STL 07:15 EDT EST Hunter Greene
Andre Pallante
CLE @TB 06:10 EDT EST Tanner Bibee
Nick Martinez
COL @MIL 07:10 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Robert Gasser
DET vs KC 01:10 EDT EST Casey Mize
Michael Wacha
LAA @SF 04:05 EDT EST Ryan Johnson
Robbie Ray
LAD @NYM 07:15 EDT EST Yoshinobu Yamamoto
Nolan McLean
MIA vs SD 04:10 EDT EST Eury Perez
JP Sears
NYY @PHI 06:05 EDT EST Ryan Weathers
SEA @TEX 07:15 EDT EST Bryan Woo
Nathan Eovaldi
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled