Outlook Justin Wrobleski
Breakout lefty Justin Wrobleski remains a locked-in option for the first-place Dodgers.
The first-place Dodgers, sitting comfortably atop the NL West with a 43-25 record, have leaned heavily on Wrobleski, who has been sensational with a tiny 0.69 ERA and a 0.54 WHIP over his last 13 innings. With rotation mates like Tyler Glasnow and Blake Snell sidelined on the injured list, his spot as a vital starter in the rotation is incredibly secure.
Wrobleski's current 2.64 ERA on the year is a massive step forward from last season's 4.21 mark, driven by a sharp 1.01 WHIP. While our rest-of-season model projects a more conservative 4.17 ERA, his improved control and analytical self-adjustments suggest he has permanently raised his floor.
Wrobleski is scheduled for a single start this week, taking the mound on the road today, June 11th, against the Pirates and Mitch Keller, who struggles with a 4.81 ERA. With the powerful Dodgers offense backing him and his own elite recent form, this is a prime matchup to exploit. Verdict: Start.
Updated 3 days ago
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Outlook Pete Fairbanks
Pete Fairbanks struggles with elevated ratios but remains locked into the Marlins' ninth-inning role
Pete Fairbanks continues to serve as the Marlins' primary closer, but his recent performances have been highly unstable. Over his last five appearances, he has struggled with control, leading to an 8.18 ERA and an unsightly 2.73 WHIP over 3.3 innings. He still holds down the ninth inning for a fourth-place Miami club sporting a 33-35 record, especially with setup man Andrew Nardi currently sidelined on the injured list.
His current 7.59 ERA on the season is a massive outlier compared to his previous dominant years, during which he consistently posted sub-3.00 ERAs. Our models expect significant positive regression, projecting a 3.43 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP, and 22 saves by season's end. This rough patch is likely a fluke driven by bad luck and walk issues, making him a strong bounce-back candidate.
Looking at the remainder of the week, the Marlins finish their series against Arizona before heading to Pittsburgh for three games. These matchups offer realistic save chances, particularly in games started by vulnerable arms like Merrill Kelly and Bubba Chandler. Despite his shaky recent ratios, he must be kept in active lineups for his locked-in ninth-inning volume. Verdict: Start.
Updated 3 days ago
