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Trevor McDonald or Trevor Rogers

Who Should I Start? - Week 12 • Start New
Trevor McDonald

Trevor McDonald

SPSan Francisco Giants SF
Trevor Rogers

Trevor Rogers

SPBaltimore Orioles BAL
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting McDonald over Rogers

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Trevor McDonald

Trevor McDonald's rookie magic fades amid recent ratio struggles, making him a risky option despite a two-start week.

McDonald has hit a rough patch, posting a 7.55 ERA and 1.40 WHIP over his last 14 days for the fourth-place Giants (24-38). Despite his struggles, he remains locked in as the number four starter in the rotation with teammate Tyler Mahle sidelined on the injured list. His latest outing on June 2 against Milwaukee resulted in a loss, yielding a 5.40 ERA over five innings.

While his recent 5.63 ERA over the last 30 days is concerning, McDonald's overall 4.69 ERA and 1.20 WHIP over 32.6 innings align closely with our season projection of a 4.43 ERA. His strikeout ability remains intact, but his walk rate has crept up recently, suggesting his current slump is a normal rookie adjustment period rather than a permanent regression.

As a two-start pitcher this week, McDonald has one remaining matchup on June 7 against the Cubs and Jameson Taillon, who enters with a vulnerable 5.13 ERA. Although the matchup is favorable on paper, McDonald's recent command issues and high ratio risk make him difficult to trust. Our verdict is to Sit him in standard formats until he stabilizes.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Trevor McDonald
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Rogers over McDonald

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Trevor Rogers

Ratios Remain Risky as Rogers Searches for Stability in Boston Matchup

Rogers continues to search for the elite form he flashed last season, carrying a painful 10.86 ERA and a 1.84 WHIP over his last 30 days. Despite these severe struggles, he remains locked in as the staff anchor for the fourth-place Orioles, who currently sit at 29-33 in the highly competitive AL East. With rotation depth depleted by injuries to Zach Eflin, Dean Kremer, and Cade Povich, Rogers' spot in the rotation is incredibly secure.

Under the hood, there is reason for cautious optimism. While his current 7.12 ERA is highly alarming, our models project a significant rest-of-season bounce-back toward a much more respectable 3.69 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. His bloated .337 BABIP and struggles to put hitters away with two strikes suggest a mix of bad luck and pitch-tipping, meaning positive regression should arrive as his mechanics normalize.

Rogers is scheduled for a single start this week on Thursday night, facing a division rival in the Red Sox on the road. He matches up against Brayan Bello, who brings his own shaky 5.63 ERA into the contest. Given his extreme ratio risk and a 1.62 WHIP on the season, fantasy managers should keep him sidelined for now. Verdict: Sit.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Trevor Rogers
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Performance Trevor McDonald
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
5.400-100431.601
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.050-2001051.442
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Trevor Rogers
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.731-000311.151
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
5.031-100841.183
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Trevor McDonald
OWN
21%
+2.51 compared to last week
START
12%
+1.43 compared to last week
OWN/START Trevor Rogers
OWN
39%
+0.4 compared to last week
START
21%
-6.19 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Trevor McDonald
122nd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Trevor Rogers
83rd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Trevor McDonald

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 122nd among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 169th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • He is in a heck of a slump. If he is star player then he should rebound.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 75 in WHIP and is currently ranked 59th with 1.20
  • Currently ranked 110th in ERA with 4.69
  • Currently ranked 130th in wins with 2
  • Decline in numbers lately by 3.5 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +2, L: +3, WHIP: +1.15, ERA: +4.5, K's: +31, Walks: +9
Breakdown Trevor Rogers

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 84th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 381st.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • Can't be doing much worse than he is right now. Failing to live up to expectations is one thing, but playing this bad is another.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 166th in WHIP with 1.74
  • Currently ranked 170th in ERA with 8.31
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.7 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +3, L: +6, WHIP: +1.252, ERA: +6.58, K's: +36, Walks: +19
Next Up Health Check
Injury Trevor McDonald

No Injury Reported

Injury Trevor Rogers

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Trevor McDonald
DateOpponentResult
Jun 01@MILChad PatrickL 16-2
Jun 02@MILKyle HarrisonL 8-3
Jun 03@MILLogan WebbW 0-1
Jun 04@MILSam HentgesW 9-12
Jun 05@CHCRobbie RayW 3-18
Jun 06@CHCBen Brown
Jun 07@CHCJameson Taillon
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
5.400-100431.601
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Trevor Rogers
DateOpponentResult
Jun 02@BOSShane BazW 2-4
Jun 03@BOSPayton TolleL 8-1
Jun 04@BOSTrevor RogersW 2-8
Jun 05@TORBrandon YoungW 3-13
Jun 06@TORBraydon Fisher
Jun 07@TORKevin Gausman
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
5.501-100841.453
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Trevor McDonald
7.67
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Trevor Rogers
9.33
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Trevor McDonald
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2024 SF 1 3.0 39 1 1 0 0-0 0 0.33 3 7
2025 SF 3 15.0 212 14 2 0 1-0 3.6 1.07 8.4 41
2026 SF 6 34.0 511 31 9 0 2-3 4.5 1.15 8.2 67
ON PACE 15 87 1293 78 22 0 5-7 4.5 1.15 8.2 168
3-YEAR AVG 2 9 126 8 2 0 1-0 3 1 8 24
Career 10 52.0 762 46 12 0 0-0 3.98 1.08 8
Career Trevor Rogers
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2020 MIA 7 25.2 525 35 9 0 1-2 7.36 1.71 12.3 44
2021 MIA 24 128.0 2084 152 43 0 7-8 2.74 1.16 10.7 317
2022 MIA 20 94.0 1737 92 43 0 4-10 5.65 1.55 8.8 124
2023 MIA 4 18.0 330 19 6 0 1-2 4.5 1.22 9.5 33
2024 MIA 25 122.0 2243 97 56 0 2-11 5.02 1.61 7.2 144
2025 BAL 18 109.2 1627 103 29 0 9-3 1.81 0.9 8.5 325
2026 BAL 11 52.0 958 41 19 0 3-6 6.58 1.58 7.1 65
ON PACE 27 132 2424 103 48 0 7-15 6.58 1.58 7.1 163
3-YEAR AVG 16 82 1400 73 30 0 4-5 3.56 1.26 7.9 167
Career 109 544.2 9504 539 205 0 0-0 4.23 1.35 8.9
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs WAS 04:10 EDT EST Eduardo Rodriguez
Zack Littell
ATH @HOU 04:10 EDT EST Kade Morris
Tatsuya Imai
ATL vs PIT 04:10 EDT EST Spencer Strider
Braxton Ashcraft
BAL @TOR 03:07 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Braydon Fisher
BOS @NYY 07:35 EDT EST Ranger Suarez
Will Warren
CHC vs SF 02:20 EDT EST Ben Brown
Landen Roupp
CHW @PHI 04:05 EDT EST Brandon Eisert
Andrew Painter
CIN @STL 02:15 EDT EST Nick Lodolo
Matthew Liberatore
CLE @TEX 07:35 EDT EST Tanner Bibee
Jack Leiter
COL vs MIL 09:10 EDT EST
Jacob Misiorowski
DET vs SEA 01:10 EDT EST Keider Montero
Bryce Miller
KC @MIN 02:10 EDT EST Luinder Avila
Joe Ryan
LAA @LAD 10:10 EDT EST Jack Kochanowicz
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
MIA vs TB 04:10 EDT EST Lake Bachar
Shane McClanahan
NYM @SD 10:10 EDT EST Nolan McLean
Griffin Canning
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
CAR @VGK 8:00 PM EST