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Trevor McDonald or Walker Buehler

Who Should I Start? - Week 12 • Start New
Trevor McDonald

Trevor McDonald

SPSan Francisco Giants SF
Walker Buehler

Walker Buehler

SPSan Diego Padres SD
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting McDonald over Buehler

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Trevor McDonald

Trevor McDonald's rookie magic fades amid recent ratio struggles, making him a risky option despite a two-start week.

McDonald has hit a rough patch, posting a 7.55 ERA and 1.40 WHIP over his last 14 days for the fourth-place Giants (24-38). Despite his struggles, he remains locked in as the number four starter in the rotation with teammate Tyler Mahle sidelined on the injured list. His latest outing on June 2 against Milwaukee resulted in a loss, yielding a 5.40 ERA over five innings.

While his recent 5.63 ERA over the last 30 days is concerning, McDonald's overall 4.69 ERA and 1.20 WHIP over 32.6 innings align closely with our season projection of a 4.43 ERA. His strikeout ability remains intact, but his walk rate has crept up recently, suggesting his current slump is a normal rookie adjustment period rather than a permanent regression.

As a two-start pitcher this week, McDonald has one remaining matchup on June 7 against the Cubs and Jameson Taillon, who enters with a vulnerable 5.13 ERA. Although the matchup is favorable on paper, McDonald's recent command issues and high ratio risk make him difficult to trust. Our verdict is to Sit him in standard formats until he stabilizes.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Trevor McDonald
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Buehler over McDonald

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Walker Buehler

Walker Buehler flashes improved form, but season-long ratio risks keep him on the fantasy fringe.

Walker Buehler has shown encouraging progress lately, registering a 3.91 ERA and a tidy 1.09 WHIP over his last six starts, including six strong innings of one-run ball on June 3rd. The second-place Padres are currently on a four-game losing streak and desperately need stability with Yu Darvish, Joe Musgrove, and Nick Pivetta all sidelined on the injured list. This rash of injuries firmly locks Buehler in as a key member of the starting rotation.

While his recent stretch is promising, our models expect some regression, projecting a 5.06 ERA and 1.50 WHIP over the rest of the season. Buehler's current 4.68 ERA and 1.33 WHIP are a far cry from his elite 2021 form, but his guaranteed rotation spot makes him worth keeping on rosters. Treat him as a high-risk, volume-based starter rather than a reliable ratio anchor.

Because Buehler already made his scheduled start this week on June 3rd, he has no remaining matchups through the weekend. He can be safely left on your bench for the next few days while you evaluate his stability. Weekly Verdict: Sit.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Walker Buehler
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Performance Trevor McDonald
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
5.400-100431.601
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.050-2001051.442
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Walker Buehler
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.500-000621.001
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.430-100820.812
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Trevor McDonald
OWN
21%
+2.51 compared to last week
START
12%
+1.43 compared to last week
OWN/START Walker Buehler
OWN
 
9%
+2.08 compared to last week
START
 
3%
+0.7 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Trevor McDonald
122nd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Walker Buehler
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Trevor McDonald

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 122nd among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 169th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • He is in a heck of a slump. If he is star player then he should rebound.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 75 in WHIP and is currently ranked 59th with 1.20
  • Currently ranked 110th in ERA with 4.69
  • Currently ranked 130th in wins with 2
  • Decline in numbers lately by 3.5 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +2, L: +3, WHIP: +1.15, ERA: +4.5, K's: +31, Walks: +9
Breakdown Walker Buehler

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 72nd.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 75 in WHIP and is currently ranked 69th with 1.23
  • Top 75 in ERA and is currently ranked 73rd with 3.99
  • Currently ranked 101st in wins with 3
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.1 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: -1, L: -1, WHIP: -0.184, ERA: -0.745, K's: +5, Walks: +3
Next Up Health Check
Injury Trevor McDonald

No Injury Reported

Injury Walker Buehler

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Trevor McDonald
DateOpponentResult
Jun 01@MILChad PatrickL 16-2
Jun 02@MILKyle HarrisonL 8-3
Jun 03@MILLogan WebbW 0-1
Jun 04@MILSam HentgesW 9-12
Jun 05@CHCRobbie RayW 3-18
Jun 06@CHCBen Brown
Jun 07@CHCJameson Taillon
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
5.400-100431.601
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Walker Buehler
DateOpponentResult
Jun 02@PHIJose AlvaradoL 3-2
Jun 03@PHICristopher SanchezL 3-2
Jun 04@PHIZack WheelerL 6-4
Jun 05VS NYMChristian ScottL 0-5
Jun 06VS NYMNolan McLean
Jun 07VS NYMSean Manaea
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.430-100820.812
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Trevor McDonald
7.67
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Walker Buehler
8.13
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Trevor McDonald
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2024 SF 1 3.0 39 1 1 0 0-0 0 0.33 3 7
2025 SF 3 15.0 212 14 2 0 1-0 3.6 1.07 8.4 41
2026 SF 6 34.0 511 31 9 0 2-3 4.5 1.15 8.2 67
ON PACE 15 87 1293 78 22 0 5-7 4.5 1.15 8.2 168
3-YEAR AVG 2 9 126 8 2 0 1-0 3 1 8 24
Career 10 52.0 762 46 12 0 0-0 3.98 1.08 8
Career Walker Buehler
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2017 LAD 8 9.1 192 12 8 0 1-0 7.71 2.04 11.6 17
2018 LAD 24 137.1 2173 151 37 0 8-5 2.62 0.96 9.9 391
2019 LAD 32 195.0 3055 230 43 0 15-4 3.09 1.03 10.6 568
2020 LAD 13 61.2 1050 81 23 0 3-0 2.77 1.05 11.8 174
2021 LAD 36 220.0 3380 225 59 0 16-5 2.7 1.02 9.2 623
2022 LAD 12 65.0 1046 58 17 0 5-3 4.02 1.29 8 141
2024 LAD 20 90.1 1595 77 33 1 2-7 4.88 1.48 7.7 131
2025 BOS 26 123.2 2189 92 61 0 10-7 5.02 1.54 6.7 216
2026 SD 12 57.2 964 49 20 0 3-3 4.53 1.28 7.7 107
ON PACE 31 150 2518 128 52 0 7-7 4.53 1.28 7.7 280
3-YEAR AVG 15 71 1261 56 31 0 4-5 4.88 1.5 7 115
Career 183 950.2 15644 975 301 0 0-0 3.56 1.18 9.2
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs WAS 04:10 EDT EST Eduardo Rodriguez
Zack Littell
ATH @HOU 04:10 EDT EST Kade Morris
Tatsuya Imai
ATL vs PIT 04:10 EDT EST Spencer Strider
Braxton Ashcraft
BAL @TOR 03:07 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Braydon Fisher
BOS @NYY 07:35 EDT EST Ranger Suarez
Will Warren
CHC vs SF 02:20 EDT EST Ben Brown
Landen Roupp
CHW @PHI 04:05 EDT EST Brandon Eisert
Andrew Painter
CIN @STL 02:15 EDT EST Nick Lodolo
Matthew Liberatore
CLE @TEX 07:35 EDT EST Tanner Bibee
Jack Leiter
COL vs MIL 09:10 EDT EST
Jacob Misiorowski
DET vs SEA 01:10 EDT EST Keider Montero
Bryce Miller
KC @MIN 02:10 EDT EST Luinder Avila
Joe Ryan
LAA @LAD 10:10 EDT EST Jack Kochanowicz
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
MIA vs TB 04:10 EDT EST Lake Bachar
Shane McClanahan
NYM @SD 10:10 EDT EST Nolan McLean
Griffin Canning
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
CAR @VGK 8:00 PM EST