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Hunter Greene or Justin Steele

Who Should I Start? - Week 12 • Start New
Hunter Greene

Hunter Greene

SPCincinnati Reds CIN
Justin Steele

Justin Steele

SPChicago Cubs CHC
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Greene over Steele

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Hunter Greene

Hunter Greene continues elbow rehab with mid-July return on the horizon

Hunter Greene continues to recover from March arthroscopic surgery to remove bone chips from his right elbow. The fifth-place Reds (31-30) placed their flame-throwing right-hander on the 60-day injured list to start the year, and he is currently projected to remain out of the active rotation until mid-July. With no recent game activity, Greene's fantasy managers must continue to exercise patience while he progresses through his rehab program.

Prior to the injury, Greene was coming off a stellar 2025 campaign where he posted a 3.12 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 109.5 innings. Our models project him for a 3.49 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP with 135 strikeouts once he returns to health. Given his historic velocity—frequently hitting triple digits—his upside remains elite, making him a highly valuable asset to stash rather than a regression risk.

The Reds' schedule this week features matchups against the Royals and Cardinals, but Greene will watch from the dugout as he is not scheduled to pitch. He remains owned in 71% of fantasy leagues but is started in virtually none as he works his way back. Do not drop him; continue to stash him in an IL slot. Verdict: Hold.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Hunter Greene
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Steele over Greene

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Justin Steele

Justin Steele Sidelined Indefinitely After Rehab Setback

Justin Steele has not pitched this season as he continues to recover from elbow surgery on the injured list. The fourth-place Cubs (32-30) are fighting to stay competitive, but they will have to proceed without their lefty anchor for now. Steele suffered a frustrating setback in late April that temporarily shut down his throwing program, leaving his return timeline completely up in the air.

When healthy, Steele is a premier ratio stabilizer, as evidenced by his superb 3.37 ERA and 1.12 WHIP over 130.7 innings in 2024. Our models project him for a strong 3.67 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, and 100 strikeouts across 81.0 innings of work rest-of-season. However, until he resumes bullpen sessions, those numbers remain purely speculative.

Looking at the week ahead, the Cubs host the Giants for a weekend series, but Steele is nowhere near fantasy lineups. He remains a clear stash candidate in deeper leagues with open IL spots, but for now, he cannot help your active roster. Weekly Verdict: Sit.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Justin Steele
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Performance Hunter Greene
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Justin Steele
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Hunter Greene
OWN
72%
-0.19 compared to last week
START
 
2%
+0.69 compared to last week
OWN/START Justin Steele
OWN
15%
-0.85 compared to last week
START
 
1%
+0.35 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Hunter Greene
60th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Justin Steele
118th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Hunter Greene

    Overview

  • I couldn't find any stats of this player even playing a game in the past 60 days. This is most likely due to an injury or time in the minors.
Breakdown Justin Steele

    Overview

  • I couldn't find any stats of this player even playing a game in the past 60 days. This is most likely due to an injury or time in the minors.
Next Up Health Check
Injury Hunter Greene

ELBOW - Since Mar 10, 2026

Greene is recovering from right elbow surgery and has been placed on the 60-day injured list. He is expected to be out until mid-July.
Injury Justin Steele

ELBOW - Since Mar 25, 2026

Steele is recovering from UCL surgery and has been placed on the 60-day injured list.
Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Hunter Greene
DateOpponentResult
Jun 01VS KCLuinder AvilaL 2-9
Jun 02VS KCBrock BurkeW 4-3
Jun 03VS KCDaniel Lynch IVL 2-5
Jun 05@STLHunter DobbinsL 10-3
Jun 06@STLMatthew Liberatore
Jun 07@STLMichael McGreevy
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Justin Steele
DateOpponentResult
Jun 02VS ATHGage JumpL 1-2
Jun 03VS ATHHogan HarrisL 4-5
Jun 04VS ATHRyan RolisonW 7-6
Jun 05VS SFRobbie RayL 3-18
Jun 06VS SFLanden Roupp
Jun 07VS SFTrevor McDonald
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Hunter Greene
8.51
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Justin Steele
6.73
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Hunter Greene
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2022 CIN 23 120.2 2119 153 48 0 5-13 4.62 1.23 11.4 240
2023 CIN 22 109.2 2090 152 48 0 4-7 4.76 1.45 12.5 248
2024 CIN 26 148.0 2563 169 57 0 9-5 2.8 1.03 10.3 406
2025 CIN 20 110.2 1813 136 28 0 7-5 3.09 0.98 11.1 313
ON PACE 52 288 4737 355 73 0 18-13 3.09 0.98 11.1 817
3-YEAR AVG 23 122 2155 152 44 0 7-6 3.45 1.14 11.2 322
Career 91 486.2 8585 610 181 0 0-0 3.77 1.17 11.3
Career Justin Steele
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2021 CHC 19 52.0 886 55 25 0 4-4 4.33 1.38 9.5 101
2022 CHC 24 119.1 2032 126 50 0 4-7 3.17 1.35 9.5 250
2023 CHC 30 173.1 2680 176 36 0 16-5 3.38 1.18 9.1 464
2024 CHC 24 132.1 2046 135 37 0 5-5 3.33 1.11 9.2 320
2025 CHC 4 22.2 313 21 5 0 3-1 4.76 1.15 8.3 54
ON PACE 10 57 792 53 12 0 7-2 4.76 1.15 8.3 137
3-YEAR AVG 19 108 1680 111 26 0 8-4 3.48 1.16 9.2 279
Career 101 497.1 7957 513 153 0 0-0 3.49 1.23 9.3
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs WAS 04:10 EDT EST Eduardo Rodriguez
Zack Littell
ATH @HOU 04:10 EDT EST Kade Morris
Tatsuya Imai
ATL vs PIT 04:10 EDT EST Spencer Strider
Braxton Ashcraft
BAL @TOR 03:07 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Braydon Fisher
BOS @NYY 07:35 EDT EST Ranger Suarez
Will Warren
CHC vs SF 02:20 EDT EST Ben Brown
Landen Roupp
CHW @PHI 04:05 EDT EST Brandon Eisert
Andrew Painter
CIN @STL 02:15 EDT EST Nick Lodolo
Matthew Liberatore
CLE @TEX 07:35 EDT EST Tanner Bibee
Jack Leiter
COL vs MIL 09:10 EDT EST
Jacob Misiorowski
DET vs SEA 01:10 EDT EST Keider Montero
Bryce Miller
KC @MIN 02:10 EDT EST Luinder Avila
Joe Ryan
LAA @LAD 10:10 EDT EST Jack Kochanowicz
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
MIA vs TB 04:10 EDT EST Lake Bachar
Shane McClanahan
NYM @SD 10:10 EDT EST Nolan McLean
Griffin Canning
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
CAR @VGK 8:00 PM EST